← Smart money
0x2fad…9d04
SharpEdge
+21.4pp
ROI
+39%
Win rate
83% @ 62.0¢
Brier
0.059
Resolved
36
Avg size
$178
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Science | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Politics | 100% (1/1) | +46% | 1 |
| Other | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Crypto | 100% (1/1) | +115% | 1 |
- Science1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +46%
- Other1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +115%
Track record
50% hit · 2/4| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | Up | $2.7k | 46.6¢ | Won |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers? | Yes | $30 | 3.8¢ | Lost |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | $282 | 4.7¢ | Lost |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | $6.1k | 68.4¢ | Won |
- Up$2.7k @ 46.6¢
- Yes$30 @ 3.8¢
- No$282 @ 4.7¢
- Yes$6.1k @ 68.4¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | Crypto | Up | $2.7k | 46.6¢ |
- Up$2.7k @ 46.6¢