0x2f15…50cb

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x2f15e0191f4c640db8259f8142257921263650cb
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+16.7pp

ROI

+46%

Win rate

43% @ 26.6¢

Brier

0.260

Resolved

215

Avg size

$69

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	26% (42/162)	+14%	162
Sports	38% (15/39)	+6%	39
Crypto	0% (0/5)	-100%	5
Politics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other162 bets
Hit rate
26% (42/162)
ROI
+14%
Sports39 bets
Hit rate
38% (15/39)
ROI
+6%
Crypto5 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/5)
ROI
-100%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

28% hit · 57/207

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	$55	23.7¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	$100	53.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	$5	50.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	$50	71.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	$150	63.9¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	$25	53.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	$10	59.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	$125	63.7¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	$35	21.6¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	$25	9.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	$55	50.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	$25	12.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	$200	57.5¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	$125	15.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	$100	28.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	$125	58.3¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	$15	62.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	$25	7.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	$25	33.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	$300	50.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	$15	14.3¢	Lost
Will France vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	$10	18.6¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	$75	63.5¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	$200	53.5¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	$100	43.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	$25	18.1¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	$30	2.5¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	$100	58.2¢	Lost
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	$18	33.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	$100	37.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	$5	1.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	$100	35.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	$100	51.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	$5	52.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	$15	50.7¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	$5	9.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	$65	51.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	$5	50.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 9AM ET	Up	$25	27.0¢	Lost
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	$10	26.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	$5	5.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	$5	52.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	$10	44.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	$100	50.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	$100	54.9¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	$100	54.5¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	$225	56.3¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	$100	53.7¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	$10	34.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	$3	43.0¢	Lost

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETLost
Up$55 @ 23.7¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETLost
Up$100 @ 53.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETLost
Down$5 @ 50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETLost
Up$50 @ 71.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETLost
Up$150 @ 63.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETLost
Down$25 @ 53.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETLost
Down$10 @ 59.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETLost
Up$125 @ 63.7¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETLost
Down$35 @ 21.6¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETLost
Up$25 @ 9.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETLost
Down$55 @ 50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETLost
Up$25 @ 12.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETLost
Down$200 @ 57.5¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETLost
Down$125 @ 15.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETLost
Down$100 @ 28.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETLost
Up$125 @ 58.3¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETLost
Up$15 @ 62.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETLost
Down$25 @ 7.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETLost
Down$25 @ 33.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETLost
Down$300 @ 50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETLost
Down$15 @ 14.3¢
Will France vs. England end in a draw?Lost
Yes$10 @ 18.6¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETLost
Up$75 @ 63.5¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETLost
Down$200 @ 53.5¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETLost
Down$100 @ 43.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETLost
Up$25 @ 18.1¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETLost
Down$30 @ 2.5¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETLost
Down$100 @ 58.2¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?Lost
Yes$18 @ 33.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETLost
Up$100 @ 37.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETLost
Down$5 @ 1.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETLost
Up$100 @ 35.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETLost
Up$100 @ 51.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETLost
Up$5 @ 52.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETLost
Down$15 @ 50.7¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETLost
Down$5 @ 9.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETLost
Up$65 @ 51.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETLost
Down$5 @ 50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 9AM ETLost
Up$25 @ 27.0¢
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?Lost
Yes$10 @ 26.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETLost
Down$5 @ 5.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETLost
Down$5 @ 52.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETLost
Down$10 @ 44.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETLost
Down$100 @ 50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETLost
Down$100 @ 54.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETLost
Up$100 @ 54.5¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETLost
Down$225 @ 56.3¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETLost
Up$100 @ 53.7¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETLost
Up$10 @ 34.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETLost
Down$3 @ 43.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-06?	—	Yes	$316	48.0¢
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Sports	Yes	$304	32.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	—	Down	$300	50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	—	Up	$225	35.5¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	—	Down	$225	56.3¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	—	Down	$200	57.5¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	—	Up	$200	51.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	—	Down	$200	76.1¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	—	Down	$200	53.5¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	—	Down	$200	52.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	—	Down	$200	37.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	—	Up	$150	63.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	—	Up	$125	63.7¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	—	Up	$125	58.3¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	—	Up	$125	53.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	—	Down	$125	15.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	—	Down	$100	50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	—	Down	$100	54.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	—	Down	$100	48.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Crypto	Up	$100	40.2¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	—	Down	$100	58.2¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	—	Up	$100	53.7¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	—	Up	$100	54.5¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	—	Up	$100	53.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	—	Up	$100	47.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	—	Down	$100	43.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	—	Up	$100	37.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	—	Up	$100	35.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	—	Down	$100	28.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	—	Up	$100	51.0¢

Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-06?—
Yes$316 @ 48.0¢
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Sports
Yes$304 @ 32.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET—
Down$300 @ 50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET—
Up$225 @ 35.5¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET—
Down$225 @ 56.3¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET—
Down$200 @ 57.5¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET—
Up$200 @ 51.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET—
Down$200 @ 76.1¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET—
Down$200 @ 53.5¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET—
Down$200 @ 52.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET—
Down$200 @ 37.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET—
Up$150 @ 63.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET—
Up$125 @ 63.7¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET—
Up$125 @ 58.3¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET—
Up$125 @ 53.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET—
Down$125 @ 15.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET—
Down$100 @ 50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET—
Down$100 @ 54.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET—
Down$100 @ 48.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ETCrypto
Up$100 @ 40.2¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET—
Down$100 @ 58.2¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET—
Up$100 @ 53.7¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET—
Up$100 @ 54.5¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET—
Up$100 @ 53.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET—
Up$100 @ 47.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET—
Down$100 @ 43.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET—
Up$100 @ 37.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET—
Up$100 @ 35.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET—
Down$100 @ 28.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET—
Up$100 @ 51.0¢