← Smart money
0x2ef7…85ec
SharpEdge
+12.8pp
ROI
+73%
Win rate
41% @ 28.0¢
Brier
0.176
Resolved
365
Avg size
$94
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 44% (52/117) | +120% | 117 |
| Politics | 31% (18/58) | +17% | 58 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/4) | -100% | 4 |
| Sports | 33% (1/3) | -31% | 3 |
| Business | 50% (1/2) | -13% | 2 |
- Other117 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (52/117)
- ROI
- +120%
- Politics58 bets
- Hit rate
- 31% (18/58)
- ROI
- +17%
- Geopolitics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/4)
- ROI
- -100%
- Sports3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- -31%
- Business2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -13%
Track record
39% hit · 72/184- No$130 @ 14.0¢
- No$0 @ 0.1¢
- Miami Heretics$4 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$28 @ 7.0¢
- No$2 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$180 @ 32.0¢
- No$81 @ 8.6¢
- Yes$244 @ 95.8¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$39 @ 5.5¢
- Yes$233 @ 10.9¢
- No$260 @ 43.4¢
- No$291 @ 72.7¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$38 @ 86.1¢
- Yes$188 @ 78.9¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$45 @ 4.7¢
- Yes$70 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$47 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
- No$463 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$3.0k @ 32.1¢
- No$236 @ 3.5¢
- Yes$238 @ 78.2¢
- FaZe Vegas$51 @ 62.4¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$128 @ 42.7¢
- Yes$184 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$154 @ 38.7¢
- Yes$29 @ 13.9¢
- Yes$742 @ 20.2¢
- Yes$34 @ 4.8¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$38 @ 37.0¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 10.0¢
- No$179 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$561 @ 26.1¢
- Yes$178 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$387 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$151 @ 65.1¢
- Yes$278 @ 77.4¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$64 @ 21.9¢
- Yes$256 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.6¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $18 | 0.3¢ |
- Yes$18 @ 0.3¢