← Smart money
0x2ed6…b0b3
ProfitableSniperEdge
+23.5pp
ROI
+63%
Win rate
70% @ 46.2¢
Brier
0.194
Resolved
33
Avg size
$130
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 50% (6/12) | +54% | 12 |
| Sports | 100% (6/6) | +101% | 6 |
- Other12 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (6/12)
- ROI
- +54%
- Sports6 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (6/6)
- ROI
- +101%
Track record
67% hit · 12/18| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) | Nuggets | $57 | 57.0¢ | Won |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5 | Over | $189 | 74.4¢ | Won |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? | Yes | $1.4k | 53.0¢ | Won |
| Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5 | Under | $49 | 48.9¢ | Lost |
| England vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5 | Over | $71 | 69.2¢ | Won |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | $11 | 8.1¢ | Lost |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | $346 | 46.9¢ | Won |
| England vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5 | Under | $51 | 60.0¢ | Won |
| Magic vs. Celtics | Magic | $60 | 0.6¢ | Lost |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | No | $155 | 77.0¢ | Won |
| Spread: Knicks (-7.5) | 76ers | $152 | 50.0¢ | Lost |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? | No | $163 | 81.0¢ | Won |
| Spread: Rockets (-14.5) | Rockets | $52 | 52.0¢ | Won |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | $121 | 0.6¢ | Lost |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5 | Over | $30 | 10.0¢ | Won |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5 | Under | $1.3k | 59.0¢ | Won |
| Pelicans vs. Timberwolves | Pelicans | $40 | 40.0¢ | Lost |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? | No | $50 | 71.0¢ | Won |
- Nuggets$57 @ 57.0¢
- Over$189 @ 74.4¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 53.0¢
- Under$49 @ 48.9¢
- Over$71 @ 69.2¢
- Yes$11 @ 8.1¢
- Yes$346 @ 46.9¢
- Under$51 @ 60.0¢
- Magic$60 @ 0.6¢
- No$155 @ 77.0¢
- 76ers$152 @ 50.0¢
- No$163 @ 81.0¢
- Rockets$52 @ 52.0¢
- Yes$121 @ 0.6¢
- Over$30 @ 10.0¢
- Under$1.3k @ 59.0¢
- Pelicans$40 @ 40.0¢
- No$50 @ 71.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Geopolitics | No | $1.2k | 97.0¢ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Politics | No | $775 | 75.0¢ |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? | Politics | No | $433 | 98.0¢ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Politics | No | $405 | 54.0¢ |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $400 | 50.0¢ |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | No | $400 | 50.0¢ |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Politics | No | $400 | 99.1¢ |
| Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? | Politics | No | $300 | 96.0¢ |
| Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? | Geopolitics | No | $200 | 97.3¢ |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026? | — | No | $200 | 99.4¢ |
| Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $174 | 91.9¢ |
| Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? | Politics | No | $145 | 98.8¢ |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $108 | 54.0¢ |
| Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30? | Politics | No | $75 | 83.0¢ |
- No$1.2k @ 97.0¢
- No$775 @ 75.0¢
- No$433 @ 98.0¢
- No$405 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$400 @ 50.0¢
- No$400 @ 50.0¢
- No$400 @ 99.1¢
- No$300 @ 96.0¢
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?GeopoliticsNo$200 @ 97.3¢
- No$200 @ 99.4¢
- Yes$174 @ 91.9¢
- No$145 @ 98.8¢
- No$108 @ 54.0¢
- No$75 @ 83.0¢