0x2e34…9434

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x2e346a8c56f07ce0b566042e00f220b3e2599434
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.7pp

ROI

+11%

Win rate

57% @ 49.7¢

Brier

0.152

Resolved

331

Avg size

$30

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	47% (31/66)	+5%	66
Sports	61% (17/28)	+12%	28
Politics	50% (6/12)	-1%	12
Tech	11% (1/9)	-85%	9
Crypto	44% (4/9)	+45%	9
Business	56% (5/9)	+13%	9
Culture	75% (3/4)	+33%	4
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Economy	100% (1/1)	+105%	1

Other66 bets
Hit rate
47% (31/66)
ROI
+5%
Sports28 bets
Hit rate
61% (17/28)
ROI
+12%
Politics12 bets
Hit rate
50% (6/12)
ROI
-1%
Tech9 bets
Hit rate
11% (1/9)
ROI
-85%
Crypto9 bets
Hit rate
44% (4/9)
ROI
+45%
Business9 bets
Hit rate
56% (5/9)
ROI
+13%
Culture4 bets
Hit rate
75% (3/4)
ROI
+33%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+105%

Track record

49% hit · 68/139

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	$177	76.3¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	$3	14.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	$95	62.5¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 June 22-28?	No	$69	85.9¢	Won
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?	No	$104	79.0¢	Won
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$6	2.3¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	$7	3.1¢	Lost
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$211	86.5¢	Won
Octra FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	$3	9.6¢	Lost
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	Yes	$14	2.4¢	Lost
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	$2	5.8¢	Lost
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	$1	16.0¢	Won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	$108	87.8¢	Won
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	$124	79.0¢	Lost
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	$10	13.0¢	Won
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	$181	43.7¢	Won
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	$119	63.6¢	Won
Will Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$10	10.9¢	Lost
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	$92	48.8¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?	Yes	$6	23.0¢	Lost
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	$37	38.2¢	Won
Will Valve remove Inferno from the Map Pool?	No	$78	73.5¢	Won
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?	No	$283	83.7¢	Won
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?	No	$85	88.0¢	Won
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?	No	$48	82.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 0 France?	Yes	$15	5.0¢	Lost
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	$53	33.0¢	Won
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $700 in June?	No	$76	78.0¢	Won
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?	Yes	$2	57.5¢	Won
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	$1	16.0¢	Won
XMAQUINA FDV above $60M one day after launch?	Yes	$20	22.0¢	Lost
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$156	69.9¢	Won
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $328 in June?	No	$196	56.0¢	Won
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $328 in June?	Yes	$39	38.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	$134	88.0¢	Won
No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	$45	47.8¢	Won
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	$24	48.9¢	Lost
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	$12	1.0¢	Lost
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	$55	50.0¢	Lost
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$169	82.0¢	Won
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?	Yes	$1	21.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 France?	Yes	$4	4.1¢	Lost
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	$11	66.0¢	Lost
Will Discord’s market cap be between $20B and $25B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$19	17.4¢	Lost
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 France?	Yes	$5	1.1¢	Lost
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?	No	$78	75.0¢	Won
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	$7	17.0¢	Lost
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in June?	No	$229	83.0¢	Won
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 in May?	No	$38	80.9¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	No	$247	67.5¢	Lost

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?Won
Yes$177 @ 76.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Lost
No$3 @ 14.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Won
Yes$95 @ 62.5¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 June 22-28?Won
No$69 @ 85.9¢
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?Won
No$104 @ 79.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 2.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Lost
Yes$7 @ 3.1¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
No$211 @ 86.5¢
Octra FDV above $400M one day after launch?Lost
Yes$3 @ 9.6¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?Lost
Yes$14 @ 2.4¢
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Lost
Yes$2 @ 5.8¢
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionWon
No$1 @ 16.0¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Won
No$108 @ 87.8¢
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Lost
No$124 @ 79.0¢
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Won
Yes$10 @ 13.0¢
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?Won
No$181 @ 43.7¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Won
Yes$119 @ 63.6¢
Will Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 10.9¢
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Won
Yes$92 @ 48.8¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?Lost
Yes$6 @ 23.0¢
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?Won
Yes$37 @ 38.2¢
Will Valve remove Inferno from the Map Pool?Won
No$78 @ 73.5¢
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?Won
No$283 @ 83.7¢
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?Won
No$85 @ 88.0¢
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?Lost
No$48 @ 82.0¢
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 0 France?Lost
Yes$15 @ 5.0¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Won
No$53 @ 33.0¢
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $700 in June?Won
No$76 @ 78.0¢
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?Won
Yes$2 @ 57.5¢
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?Won
Yes$1 @ 16.0¢
XMAQUINA FDV above $60M one day after launch?Lost
Yes$20 @ 22.0¢
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Won
Yes$156 @ 69.9¢
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $328 in June?Won
No$196 @ 56.0¢
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $328 in June?Lost
Yes$39 @ 38.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?Won
No$134 @ 88.0¢
No one announced as next James Bond?Won
Yes$45 @ 47.8¢
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?Lost
No$24 @ 48.9¢
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Lost
No$12 @ 1.0¢
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
No$55 @ 50.0¢
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Won
Yes$169 @ 82.0¢
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?Won
Yes$1 @ 21.0¢
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 France?Lost
Yes$4 @ 4.1¢
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Lost
Yes$11 @ 66.0¢
Will Discord’s market cap be between $20B and $25B at market close on IPO day?Lost
Yes$19 @ 17.4¢
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 France?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.1¢
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?Won
No$78 @ 75.0¢
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Lost
Yes$7 @ 17.0¢
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in June?Won
No$229 @ 83.0¢
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 in May?Won
No$38 @ 80.9¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?Lost
No$247 @ 67.5¢

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