0x2e1e…9961

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x2e1e440d209ce85d5a4992a3cfc9702e12279961
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+16.4pp

ROI

+17%

Win rate

44% @ 28.1¢

Brier

0.201

Resolved

Avg size

$124

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	45% (14/31)	+8%	31
Other	32% (6/19)	-34%	19
Politics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Sports31 bets
Hit rate
45% (14/31)
ROI
+8%
Other19 bets
Hit rate
32% (6/19)
ROI
-34%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

39% hit · 20/51

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	$10	8.9¢	Lost
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	$4	28.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	$10	20.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	$3.3k	5.9¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	$500	42.6¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	$10	32.0¢	Lost
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	$10	31.0¢	Lost
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	$15	3.9¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$10	66.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$156	19.0¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	$89	33.0¢	Lost
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	No	$1000	70.0¢	Won
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	$10	23.0¢	Lost
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	46.0¢	Won
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	$102	30.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	$250	62.2¢	Lost
Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	34.0¢	Lost
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	$1.0k	6.0¢	Lost
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime?	Yes	$10	4.0¢	Lost
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$51	6.7¢	Lost
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$51	8.6¢	Lost
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$51	3.8¢	Lost
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	32.0¢	Won
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$101	80.0¢	Won
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$3	58.0¢	Lost
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$20	70.0¢	Won
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$514	9.7¢	Lost
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	43.0¢	Won
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$51	2.8¢	Lost
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	$10	9.0¢	Lost
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	$10	28.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	$200	65.0¢	Won
Will Germany reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	26.0¢	Lost
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$51	1.4¢	Lost
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$230	14.2¢	Won
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$51	7.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	$15	11.0¢	Won
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	$10	28.0¢	Won
Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	$409	24.4¢	Won
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?	Yes	$150	31.5¢	Lost
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$373	27.1¢	Lost
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$309	4.6¢	Lost
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland?	Yes	$15	15.0¢	Lost
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$10	18.0¢	Lost
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?	No	$1000	66.3¢	Won
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	$10	26.0¢	Won
Switzerland leading at halftime?	Yes	$10	64.0¢	Won
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$10	51.0¢	Won
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$202	73.0¢	Won
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$51	43.0¢	Won

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETLost
Up$10 @ 8.9¢
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETLost
Up$4 @ 28.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETLost
Up$10 @ 20.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETLost
Down$3.3k @ 5.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETLost
Down$500 @ 42.6¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETLost
Down$10 @ 32.0¢
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETLost
Down$10 @ 31.0¢
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?Lost
Yes$15 @ 3.9¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$10 @ 66.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$156 @ 19.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Lost
No$89 @ 33.0¢
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Won
No$1000 @ 70.0¢
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?Lost
Yes$10 @ 23.0¢
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$10 @ 46.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Won
Yes$102 @ 30.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Lost
No$250 @ 62.2¢
Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$10 @ 34.0¢
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Lost
No$1.0k @ 6.0¢
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime?Lost
Yes$10 @ 4.0¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$51 @ 6.7¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$51 @ 8.6¢
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$51 @ 3.8¢
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$10 @ 32.0¢
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$101 @ 80.0¢
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?Lost
Yes$3 @ 58.0¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Won
Yes$20 @ 70.0¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$514 @ 9.7¢
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$10 @ 43.0¢
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$51 @ 2.8¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?Lost
Yes$10 @ 9.0¢
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?Won
Yes$10 @ 28.0¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Won
Yes$200 @ 65.0¢
Will Germany reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$10 @ 26.0¢
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$51 @ 1.4¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$230 @ 14.2¢
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$51 @ 7.0¢
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Won
Yes$15 @ 11.0¢
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?Won
Yes$10 @ 28.0¢
Ousmane Dembele: Anytime GoalscorerWon
Yes$409 @ 24.4¢
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?Lost
Yes$150 @ 31.5¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$373 @ 27.1¢
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$309 @ 4.6¢
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland?Lost
Yes$15 @ 15.0¢
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?Lost
Yes$10 @ 18.0¢
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Won
No$1000 @ 66.3¢
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?Won
Yes$10 @ 26.0¢
Switzerland leading at halftime?Won
Yes$10 @ 64.0¢
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?Won
Yes$10 @ 51.0¢
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$202 @ 73.0¢
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$51 @ 43.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	—	Down	$3.3k	5.9¢
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	—	No	$999	6.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	—	Down	$500	42.6¢
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$500	13.3¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$209	9.7¢
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$150	4.6¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$142	21.0¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	No	$95	55.0¢
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$50	7.0¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$50	6.7¢
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$50	2.8¢
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$50	1.4¢
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland?	Sports	Yes	$15	15.0¢
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	—	Yes	$15	3.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	—	Down	$10	32.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Sports	Yes	$10	8.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	—	Up	$10	20.0¢
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime?	—	Yes	$10	4.0¢
Will Germany reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$10	26.0¢
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	—	Yes	$10	23.0¢
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	Sports	Yes	$10	18.0¢
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	—	Down	$10	31.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	—	Up	$10	8.9¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Sports	Yes	$10	9.0¢
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	—	Up	$4	28.0¢
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?	Sports	Yes	$3	58.0¢

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET—
Down$3.3k @ 5.9¢
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?—
No$999 @ 6.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET—
Down$500 @ 42.6¢
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$500 @ 13.3¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$209 @ 9.7¢
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$150 @ 4.6¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$142 @ 21.0¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
No$95 @ 55.0¢
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$50 @ 7.0¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$50 @ 6.7¢
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$50 @ 2.8¢
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$50 @ 1.4¢
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland?Sports
Yes$15 @ 15.0¢
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?—
Yes$15 @ 3.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET—
Down$10 @ 32.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Sports
Yes$10 @ 8.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET—
Up$10 @ 20.0¢
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime?—
Yes$10 @ 4.0¢
Will Germany reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$10 @ 26.0¢
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?—
Yes$10 @ 23.0¢
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?Sports
Yes$10 @ 18.0¢
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET—
Down$10 @ 31.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET—
Up$10 @ 8.9¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?Sports
Yes$10 @ 9.0¢
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET—
Up$4 @ 28.0¢
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?Sports
Yes$3 @ 58.0¢