0x2e0b…8070

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x2e0b70d482e6b389e81dea528be57d825dd48070
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+15.6pp

ROI

+19%

Win rate

99% @ 83.3¢

Brier

0.030

Resolved

183

Avg size

$829

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	9% (4/46)	-16%	46
Politics	77% (24/31)	+2%	31
Other	100% (10/10)	+5%	10
Geopolitics	88% (7/8)	+9%	8
Crypto	67% (4/6)	+1%	6

Sports46 bets
Hit rate
9% (4/46)
ROI
-16%
Politics31 bets
Hit rate
77% (24/31)
ROI
+2%
Other10 bets
Hit rate
100% (10/10)
ROI
+5%
Geopolitics8 bets
Hit rate
88% (7/8)
ROI
+9%
Crypto6 bets
Hit rate
67% (4/6)
ROI
+1%

Track record

49% hit · 49/101

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	$25	77.0¢	Won
Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	$88	74.1¢	Won
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	$89	88.8¢	Won
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	$17.7k	88.4¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	$6.8k	83.0¢	Won
Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	$391	4.3¢	Lost
Will Jimmy Patronis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	$391	4.3¢	Lost
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	$298	99.3¢	Won
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	$315	4.3¢	Lost
Will Wilton Simpson be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	$391	4.3¢	Lost
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	$130	97.0¢	Won
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	$466	98.3¢	Won
Will Matt Gaetz be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	$391	4.3¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$498	1.7¢	Lost
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$498	1.7¢	Lost
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$498	1.7¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	No	$1.2k	98.9¢	Won
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$498	1.7¢	Won
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$498	1.7¢	Lost
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$15.0k	50.0¢	Lost
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$498	1.7¢	Lost
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$498	1.7¢	Lost
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$498	1.7¢	Lost
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$498	1.7¢	Lost
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$498	1.7¢	Lost
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	$61.5k	98.4¢	Won
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$249	99.7¢	Won
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$498	1.7¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	$159	83.0¢	Won
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$498	1.7¢	Lost
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$498	1.7¢	Lost
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$498	1.7¢	Lost
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	$130	98.2¢	Won
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$498	1.7¢	Lost
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$498	1.7¢	Lost
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$498	1.7¢	Lost
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$498	1.7¢	Lost
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$498	1.7¢	Lost
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$498	1.7¢	Lost
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$498	1.7¢	Lost
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$498	1.7¢	Lost
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$498	1.7¢	Lost
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$498	1.7¢	Lost
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$498	1.7¢	Lost
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$498	1.7¢	Lost
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$498	1.7¢	Lost
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$498	1.7¢	Lost
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$498	1.7¢	Lost
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$498	1.7¢	Lost
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$498	1.7¢	Lost

Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Won
No$25 @ 77.0¢
Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Won
No$88 @ 74.1¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Won
No$89 @ 88.8¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Won
Yes$17.7k @ 88.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Won
No$6.8k @ 83.0¢
Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Lost
Yes$391 @ 4.3¢
Will Jimmy Patronis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Lost
Yes$391 @ 4.3¢
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Won
No$298 @ 99.3¢
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Lost
Yes$315 @ 4.3¢
Will Wilton Simpson be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Lost
Yes$391 @ 4.3¢
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Won
Yes$130 @ 97.0¢
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Won
No$466 @ 98.3¢
Will Matt Gaetz be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Lost
Yes$391 @ 4.3¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$498 @ 1.7¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$498 @ 1.7¢
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$498 @ 1.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Won
No$1.2k @ 98.9¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$498 @ 1.7¢
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$498 @ 1.7¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$15.0k @ 50.0¢
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$498 @ 1.7¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$498 @ 1.7¢
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$498 @ 1.7¢
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$498 @ 1.7¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$498 @ 1.7¢
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Won
No$61.5k @ 98.4¢
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$249 @ 99.7¢
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$498 @ 1.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Won
No$159 @ 83.0¢
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$498 @ 1.7¢
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$498 @ 1.7¢
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$498 @ 1.7¢
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Won
Yes$130 @ 98.2¢
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$498 @ 1.7¢
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$498 @ 1.7¢
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$498 @ 1.7¢
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$498 @ 1.7¢
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$498 @ 1.7¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$498 @ 1.7¢
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$498 @ 1.7¢
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$498 @ 1.7¢
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$498 @ 1.7¢
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$498 @ 1.7¢
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$498 @ 1.7¢
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$498 @ 1.7¢
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$498 @ 1.7¢
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$498 @ 1.7¢
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$498 @ 1.7¢
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$498 @ 1.7¢
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$498 @ 1.7¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Politics	No	$102.2k	60.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	—	No	$55.6k	97.7¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Politics	No	$29.5k	98.2¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$28.1k	83.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Politics	No	$24.2k	88.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Politics	No	$16.1k	86.8¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$15.5k	97.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Politics	No	$9.7k	86.0¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?	Politics	No	$5.1k	94.1¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?	Politics	No	$3.0k	97.0¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$1.9k	91.7¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$1.3k	96.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Politics	No	$43	86.0¢
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Politics	No	$11	87.6¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Politics	No	$8	78.0¢
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$5	89.0¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
No$102.2k @ 60.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?—
No$55.6k @ 97.7¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics
No$29.5k @ 98.2¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
No$28.1k @ 83.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics
No$24.2k @ 88.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics
No$16.1k @ 86.8¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Geopolitics
No$15.5k @ 97.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics
No$9.7k @ 86.0¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?Politics
No$5.1k @ 94.1¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?Politics
No$3.0k @ 97.0¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Geopolitics
No$1.9k @ 91.7¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Geopolitics
No$1.3k @ 96.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
No$43 @ 86.0¢
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics
No$11 @ 87.6¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics
No$8 @ 78.0¢
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$5 @ 89.0¢