0x2e0b…8070

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics62 bets

  Hit rate

  85% (53/62)

  ROI

  +2%

• Sports46 bets

  Hit rate

  9% (4/46)

  ROI

  -16%

• Other43 bets

  Hit rate

  91% (39/43)

  ROI

  +10%

• Crypto12 bets

  Hit rate

  83% (10/12)

  ROI

  +1%

• Geopolitics10 bets

  Hit rate

  90% (9/10)

  ROI

  +9%

• Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?Lost
  Yes$556 @ 11.1¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?Won
  No$1.5k @ 94.1¢
• Will Graham Platner drop out by July 7?Won
  No$2.3k @ 98.6¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Won
  No$3 @ 97.3¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Won
  No$5 @ 99.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$110 @ 99.0¢
• Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Won
  No$17 @ 84.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Won
  Yes$4.6k @ 84.0¢
• Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Won
  No$26.9k @ 92.6¢
• Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Won
  Yes$14.5k @ 92.0¢
• Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Won
  No$1.1k @ 93.5¢
• Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Won
  Yes$365 @ 93.6¢
• Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Won
  Yes$6.3k @ 95.1¢
• Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?Won
  No$1.2k @ 95.1¢
• Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 4.9¢
• Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Won
  No$3.1k @ 92.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Won
  Yes$10.1k @ 95.0¢
• Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?Won
  No$209 @ 99.9¢
• Senate control favorite on November 2?Won
  Democratic Party$572 @ 97.0¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?Won
  No$7.0k @ 98.0¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?Won
  No$39.7k @ 99.2¢
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Won
  No$1.3k @ 96.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?Won
  No$977 @ 97.7¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?Won
  No$15.0k @ 98.6¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?Won
  No$1.6k @ 96.6¢
• Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Won
  No$25 @ 77.0¢
• Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Won
  No$88 @ 74.1¢
• Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?Won
  No$9.3k @ 86.9¢
• Karen Bass out as Mayor of LA in 2025?Won
  No$2.0k @ 87.4¢
• Will Ethereum reach $3200 in June?Won
  No$157 @ 83.0¢
• Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Won
  Yes$278 @ 72.0¢
• Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Won
  Yes$29 @ 58.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
  No$63.3k @ 87.0¢
• Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?Won
  No$2.0k @ 89.0¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$89 @ 88.8¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?Won
  No$1.7k @ 87.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?Won
  No$4 @ 76.0¢
• Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Won
  Yes$8.7k @ 86.3¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Won
  No$13.2k @ 87.0¢
• Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?Won
  No$3.4k @ 86.0¢
• Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Won
  No$11.4k @ 76.0¢
• Will Powell say "Spike" during July Press Conference?Won
  No$8 @ 74.0¢
• Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Won
  Yes$5.3k @ 88.0¢
• Zohran Mamdani ParlayLost
  Yes$738 @ 69.2¢
• Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Won
  Yes$17 @ 87.7¢
• Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Won
  Yes$17.7k @ 88.4¢
• Democratic sweep?Won
  Yes$1.0k @ 84.0¢
• Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?Won
  No$22 @ 74.2¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Won
  No$6.8k @ 83.0¢
• Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Won
  No$2.9k @ 98.1¢

Current positions

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
  No$118.4k @ 62.6¢
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  No$80.0k @ 50.0¢
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$80.0k @ 50.0¢
• Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$63.9k @ 98.2¢
• Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$54.1k @ 98.3¢
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$43.4k @ 85.7¢
• Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$31.0k @ 99.3¢
• Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$29.9k @ 99.3¢
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$18.5k @ 96.8¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics
  No$9.8k @ 86.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in November?Crypto
  No$7.6k @ 94.5¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in November?Crypto
  No$5.0k @ 96.6¢
• Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$2.1k @ 79.2¢
• Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?Politics
  Yes$1.5k @ 75.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$927 @ 97.5¢
• Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?Politics
  No$687 @ 95.5¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
  No$43 @ 86.0¢
• Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics
  No$11 @ 87.6¢
• Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
  No$10 @ 92.0¢
• Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$5 @ 89.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November?Crypto
  No$5 @ 96.3¢
• US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics
  No$5 @ 95.0¢