0x2def…6dc1

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x2def6f266d628557138668f28baae5f337d86dc1
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.7pp

ROI

+72%

Win rate

36% @ 27.8¢

Brier

0.180

Resolved

148

Avg size

$26

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	29% (24/84)	+64%	84
Sports	9% (2/22)	-78%	22

Other84 bets
Hit rate
29% (24/84)
ROI
+64%
Sports22 bets
Hit rate
9% (2/22)
ROI
-78%

Track record

25% hit · 26/106

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	$1	37.0¢	Lost
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 12.5 Total Corners	Over	$10	10.0¢	Lost
Giuliano Simeone: 1+ goals	Yes	$1	8.1¢	Lost
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goals	Yes	$1	10.0¢	Lost
Fabián Ruiz: 1+ goals	Yes	$1	10.0¢	Lost
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	$5	7.0¢	Lost
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	$2	23.0¢	Lost
Will Brazil vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	$1	6.0¢	Lost
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	$1	3.0¢	Lost
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5	Over	$2	4.1¢	Lost
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5	Over	$2	11.0¢	Lost
Will Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	$1	24.0¢	Lost
Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	$3	8.3¢	Lost
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5	Over	$2	24.0¢	Lost
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5	Over	$2	46.0¢	Lost
Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	$229	13.5¢	Lost
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	$1	9.0¢	Lost
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	$5	44.0¢	Lost
Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Lakers	$15	59.1¢	Lost
Heat vs. Warriors	Heat	$38	23.5¢	Lost
Wizards vs. Magic	Magic	$5	32.0¢	Lost
Celtics vs. Pistons	Celtics	$11	20.0¢	Lost
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	$3	4.2¢	Lost
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$10	16.0¢	Lost
Spurs vs. Knicks	Spurs	$9	51.5¢	Won
Will Norway win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	$5	9.8¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$16	8.7¢	Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	$4	15.7¢	Lost
Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5	Over	$3	16.7¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 14?	Yes	$3	19.8¢	Lost
76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	$10	23.0¢	Lost
Hornets vs. Magic	Hornets	$1	1.5¢	Lost
Will Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?	Yes	$1	4.0¢	Lost
Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)	Como 1907	$11	0.2¢	Lost
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-18?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	$2	38.0¢	Lost
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Over	$33	45.6¢	Lost
Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	$148	34.1¢	Won
Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	$107	46.0¢	Lost
Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5	Over	$5	33.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 14?	Yes	$1	1.3¢	Lost
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	$20	68.0¢	Won
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5	Over	$2	13.0¢	Lost
Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Cavaliers	$1	31.0¢	Lost
Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	$19	19.1¢	Lost
76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	$20	38.1¢	Lost
Lionel Messi: 2+ goals	Yes	$10	9.0¢	Lost
Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	$20	33.0¢	Won
Warriors vs. Clippers	Warriors	$12	19.7¢	Won
Warriors vs. Suns	Warriors	$33	26.5¢	Lost

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ETLost
Up$1 @ 37.0¢
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 12.5 Total CornersLost
Over$10 @ 10.0¢
Giuliano Simeone: 1+ goalsLost
Yes$1 @ 8.1¢
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goalsLost
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
Fabián Ruiz: 1+ goalsLost
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?Lost
Yes$5 @ 7.0¢
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?Lost
Yes$2 @ 23.0¢
Will Brazil vs. Egypt end in a draw?Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.0¢
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5Lost
Over$2 @ 4.1¢
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$2 @ 11.0¢
Will Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?Lost
Yes$1 @ 24.0¢
Thunder vs. SpursLost
Spurs$3 @ 8.3¢
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$2 @ 24.0¢
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$2 @ 46.0¢
Magic vs. PistonsLost
Magic$229 @ 13.5¢
Trail Blazers vs. NuggetsLost
Nuggets$1 @ 9.0¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12?Lost
Yes$5 @ 44.0¢
Trail Blazers vs. LakersLost
Lakers$15 @ 59.1¢
Heat vs. WarriorsLost
Heat$38 @ 23.5¢
Wizards vs. MagicLost
Magic$5 @ 32.0¢
Celtics vs. PistonsLost
Celtics$11 @ 20.0¢
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?Lost
Yes$3 @ 4.2¢
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?Lost
Yes$10 @ 16.0¢
Spurs vs. KnicksWon
Spurs$9 @ 51.5¢
Will Norway win on 2026-09-27?Lost
Yes$5 @ 9.8¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$16 @ 8.7¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Lost
Yes$4 @ 15.7¢
Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$3 @ 16.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 14?Lost
Yes$3 @ 19.8¢
76ers vs. KnicksLost
76ers$10 @ 23.0¢
Hornets vs. MagicLost
Hornets$1 @ 1.5¢
Will Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.0¢
Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)Lost
Como 1907$11 @ 0.2¢
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-18?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Knicks vs. CavaliersLost
Cavaliers$2 @ 38.0¢
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$33 @ 45.6¢
Magic vs. PistonsWon
Magic$148 @ 34.1¢
Rockets vs. LakersLost
Lakers$107 @ 46.0¢
Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5Won
Over$5 @ 33.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 14?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.3¢
Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesWon
Timberwolves$20 @ 68.0¢
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$2 @ 13.0¢
Cavaliers vs. RaptorsLost
Cavaliers$1 @ 31.0¢
Thunder vs. LakersLost
Lakers$19 @ 19.1¢
76ers vs. CelticsLost
Celtics$20 @ 38.1¢
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsLost
Yes$10 @ 9.0¢
Rockets vs. LakersWon
Lakers$20 @ 33.0¢
Warriors vs. ClippersWon
Warriors$12 @ 19.7¢
Warriors vs. SunsLost
Warriors$33 @ 26.5¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Magic vs. Pistons	—	Magic	$229	13.5¢
Magic vs. Pistons	—	Magic	$70	27.0¢
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-12?	—	Yes	$40	41.5¢
Heat vs. Warriors	Sports	Heat	$38	23.5¢
Lakers vs. Thunder	—	Lakers	$31	12.0¢
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	—	Cavaliers	$30	7.0¢
Udinese Calcio vs. SS Lazio: Udinese Calcio O/U 1.5	—	Over	$20	20.0¢
76ers vs. Celtics	—	Celtics	$20	38.1¢
Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce: Cagliari Calcio O/U 1.5	—	Over	$20	39.0¢
Thunder vs. Lakers	—	Lakers	$19	19.1¢
76ers vs. Knicks	—	76ers	$19	8.2¢
Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Sports	Lakers	$15	59.1¢
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-09?	—	Yes	$15	24.6¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$15	8.7¢
Celtics vs. Pistons	Sports	Celtics	$11	20.0¢
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?	Sports	Yes	$10	16.0¢
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 12.5 Total Corners	—	Over	$10	10.0¢
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score	—	Yes	$10	49.0¢
Hawks vs. Magic	Sports	Magic	$10	4.7¢
76ers vs. Knicks	—	76ers	$10	23.0¢
Philadelphia Union vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 2.5	—	Under	$10	16.4¢
Warriors vs. Lakers	Sports	Warriors	$10	18.0¢
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Sports	Yes	$10	12.0¢
Lionel Messi: 2+ goals	—	Yes	$10	9.0¢
Lakers vs. Thunder	—	Lakers	$9	13.0¢
Thunder vs. Spurs	Sports	Spurs	$8	13.5¢
Getafe CF to score first vs. Real Betis Balompié?	—	Yes	$6	0.5¢
Wizards vs. Magic	Sports	Magic	$5	32.0¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12?	—	Yes	$5	44.0¢
Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to Score	—	Yes	$5	42.0¢

Magic vs. Pistons—
Magic$229 @ 13.5¢
Magic vs. Pistons—
Magic$70 @ 27.0¢
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-12?—
Yes$40 @ 41.5¢
Heat vs. WarriorsSports
Heat$38 @ 23.5¢
Lakers vs. Thunder—
Lakers$31 @ 12.0¢
Knicks vs. Cavaliers—
Cavaliers$30 @ 7.0¢
Udinese Calcio vs. SS Lazio: Udinese Calcio O/U 1.5—
Over$20 @ 20.0¢
76ers vs. Celtics—
Celtics$20 @ 38.1¢
Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce: Cagliari Calcio O/U 1.5—
Over$20 @ 39.0¢
Thunder vs. Lakers—
Lakers$19 @ 19.1¢
76ers vs. Knicks—
76ers$19 @ 8.2¢
Trail Blazers vs. LakersSports
Lakers$15 @ 59.1¢
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-09?—
Yes$15 @ 24.6¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$15 @ 8.7¢
Celtics vs. PistonsSports
Celtics$11 @ 20.0¢
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?Sports
Yes$10 @ 16.0¢
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 12.5 Total Corners—
Over$10 @ 10.0¢
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score—
Yes$10 @ 49.0¢
Hawks vs. MagicSports
Magic$10 @ 4.7¢
76ers vs. Knicks—
76ers$10 @ 23.0¢
Philadelphia Union vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 2.5—
Under$10 @ 16.4¢
Warriors vs. LakersSports
Warriors$10 @ 18.0¢
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
Yes$10 @ 12.0¢
Lionel Messi: 2+ goals—
Yes$10 @ 9.0¢
Lakers vs. Thunder—
Lakers$9 @ 13.0¢
Thunder vs. SpursSports
Spurs$8 @ 13.5¢
Getafe CF to score first vs. Real Betis Balompié?—
Yes$6 @ 0.5¢
Wizards vs. MagicSports
Magic$5 @ 32.0¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12?—
Yes$5 @ 44.0¢
Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to Score—
Yes$5 @ 42.0¢