← Smart money
0x2da1…964d
ProfitableSniperEdge
+12.8pp
ROI
+12%
Win rate
88% @ 75.5¢
Brier
0.044
Resolved
153
Avg size
$218
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 75% (9/12) | +12% | 12 |
| Politics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other12 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (9/12)
- ROI
- +12%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
69% hit · 9/13| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? | No | $4.7k | 81.4¢ | Won |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | No | $1.2k | 84.8¢ | Won |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? | No | $2.8k | 85.9¢ | Won |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | No | $803 | 82.2¢ | Won |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | $5.8k | 81.9¢ | Won |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | No | $2.0k | 84.0¢ | Won |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 6? | Yes | $776 | 34.3¢ | Lost |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | $1.6k | 54.9¢ | Lost |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | $10.3k | 77.3¢ | Won |
| Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | $59 | 89.8¢ | Won |
| Suns vs. Pacers | Pacers | $687 | 22.0¢ | Lost |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | No | $2.7k | 87.0¢ | Won |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | $8 | 25.6¢ | Lost |
- No$4.7k @ 81.4¢
- No$1.2k @ 84.8¢
- No$2.8k @ 85.9¢
- No$803 @ 82.2¢
- Yes$5.8k @ 81.9¢
- No$2.0k @ 84.0¢
- Yes$776 @ 34.3¢
- No$1.6k @ 54.9¢
- No$10.3k @ 77.3¢
- Yes$59 @ 89.8¢
- Suns vs. PacersLostPacers$687 @ 22.0¢
- No$2.7k @ 87.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 25.6¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? | Other | No | $681 | 98.1¢ |
- No$681 @ 98.1¢