← Smart money
0x2d7d…8a52
SharpEdge
+17.4pp
ROI
+42%
Win rate
81% @ 63.8¢
Brier
0.183
Resolved
48
Avg size
$73
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 78% (14/18) | +45% | 18 |
| Geopolitics | 67% (2/3) | -1% | 3 |
| Politics | 100% (2/2) | +32% | 2 |
- Other18 bets
- Hit rate
- 78% (14/18)
- ROI
- +45%
- Geopolitics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- -1%
- Politics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +32%
Track record
78% hit · 18/23- No$118 @ 59.0¢
- No$197 @ 85.0¢
- No$12 @ 83.1¢
- Yes$269 @ 53.8¢
- Yes$107 @ 81.7¢
- No$20 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$412 @ 30.0¢
- No$144 @ 21.0¢
- No$22 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$69 @ 69.0¢
- No$482 @ 74.1¢
- No$204 @ 49.0¢
- No$1 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$26 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$382 @ 85.8¢
- Yes$64 @ 32.0¢
- No$10 @ 81.2¢
- No$401 @ 84.2¢
- No$83 @ 82.8¢
- Yes$14 @ 64.0¢
- No$142 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 15.1¢
- Yes$341 @ 63.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maduro out by December 31, 2026? | — | No | $144 | 21.0¢ |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30? | Geopolitics | Yes | $64 | 32.0¢ |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by March 31, 2027? | Geopolitics | Yes | $44 | 39.9¢ |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027? | Geopolitics | Yes | $31 | 62.0¢ |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by January 31? | — | Yes | $1 | 15.1¢ |
- No$144 @ 21.0¢
- Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?GeopoliticsYes$64 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$44 @ 39.9¢
- Yes$31 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 15.1¢