← Smart money
0x2d35…1869
SharpEdge
+29.7pp
ROI
+47%
Win rate
96% @ 66.1¢
Brier
0.121
Resolved
72
Avg size
$107
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 67% (4/6) | +47% | 6 |
| Tech | 100% (2/2) | +14% | 2 |
- Other6 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (4/6)
- ROI
- +47%
- Tech2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +14%
Track record
75% hit · 6/8| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | Yes | $105 | 58.9¢ | Lost |
| GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%? | No | $61 | 87.3¢ | Won |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | $4 | 88.0¢ | Won |
| Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6? | No | $73 | 37.0¢ | Lost |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Yes | $5 | 88.2¢ | Won |
| Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election? | Yes | $72 | 87.7¢ | Won |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | No | $2.5k | 65.5¢ | Won |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $4.9k | 66.4¢ | Won |
- Yes$105 @ 58.9¢
- No$61 @ 87.3¢
- Yes$4 @ 88.0¢
- No$73 @ 37.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 88.2¢
- Yes$72 @ 87.7¢
- No$2.5k @ 65.5¢
- Yes$4.9k @ 66.4¢
Recent trades
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