← Smart money
0x2c6f…deee
SharpEdge
+4.7pp
ROI
+15%
Win rate
53% @ 48.4¢
Brier
0.183
Resolved
688
Avg size
$94
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 51% (42/82) | +3% | 82 |
| Politics | 48% (12/25) | +12% | 25 |
| Geopolitics | 50% (2/4) | +39% | 4 |
| Sports | 50% (1/2) | +2% | 2 |
- Other82 bets
- Hit rate
- 51% (42/82)
- ROI
- +3%
- Politics25 bets
- Hit rate
- 48% (12/25)
- ROI
- +12%
- Geopolitics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (2/4)
- ROI
- +39%
- Sports2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +2%
Track record
50% hit · 57/113- Stars$26 @ 56.0¢
- Wild vs. StarsLostWild$70 @ 46.2¢
- No$3 @ 56.0¢
- Hornets$98 @ 87.0¢
- Knicks$39 @ 29.6¢
- Yes$18 @ 40.0¢
- No$218 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$630 @ 81.1¢
- No$4 @ 69.8¢
- Yes$0 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 12.1¢
- Mavericks$144 @ 18.0¢
- Timberwolves$254 @ 31.0¢
- No$214 @ 45.1¢
- Yes$251 @ 53.0¢
- No$7 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$17 @ 76.0¢
- Clippers$5 @ 67.0¢
- No$696 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 12.5¢
- No$12.9k @ 64.7¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 14.2¢
- Nets$475 @ 59.4¢
- No$143 @ 25.4¢
- Yes$416 @ 74.0¢
- No$23 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$22 @ 48.9¢
- Hawks vs. HeatLostHawks$876 @ 67.0¢
- Heat$288 @ 72.0¢
- Bruins$3 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$36 @ 71.1¢
- No$676 @ 37.3¢
- Yes$29 @ 3.1¢
- No$114 @ 88.7¢
- Yes$13 @ 10.3¢
- Wizards$230 @ 16.3¢
- No$9.8k @ 85.9¢
- Yes$19 @ 1.6¢
- No$81 @ 63.6¢
- Yes$22 @ 17.3¢
- Panthers$25 @ 41.0¢
- Senators$37 @ 59.4¢
- Yes$15 @ 33.0¢
- Blues$474 @ 57.1¢
- Penguins$347 @ 43.4¢
- Magic$560 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 54.2¢
- Suns vs. BullsLostBulls$152 @ 19.0¢
- Suns$332 @ 83.0¢
- Ducks$57 @ 47.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$3.6k @ 59.7¢
- No$3.3k @ 40.6¢
- No$2.8k @ 90.7¢
- Yes$726 @ 20.4¢
- No$490 @ 84.8¢
- Yes$396 @ 58.7¢
- No$91 @ 61.1¢
- Yes$64 @ 10.3¢
- Discord IPO before 2027?BusinessYes$50 @ 16.4¢
- No$40 @ 30.1¢
- Yes$40 @ 24.6¢
- Yes$39 @ 57.4¢
- Yes$36 @ 39.7¢
- No$27 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 18.0¢
- No$4 @ 74.6¢
- Yes$4 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 18.4¢
- Yes$1 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 37.6¢
- Yes$0 @ 7.5¢
- OpenAI IPO before 2027?BusinessYes$0 @ 18.8¢