← Smart money
0x2c33…0563
ProfitableEdge
+21.6pp
ROI
+4%
Win rate
73% @ 51.7¢
Brier
0.207
Resolved
8655
Avg size
$1.6k
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 52% (219/424) | +0% | 424 |
| Sports | 51% (201/392) | +6% | 392 |
| Politics | 10% (2/20) | +12% | 20 |
- Other424 bets
- Hit rate
- 52% (219/424)
- ROI
- +0%
- Sports392 bets
- Hit rate
- 51% (201/392)
- ROI
- +6%
- Politics20 bets
- Hit rate
- 10% (2/20)
- ROI
- +12%
Track record
50% hit · 422/836- Houston Astros$1.1k @ 45.7¢
- Seattle Mariners$17 @ 43.0¢
- Los Angeles Dodgers$59 @ 59.0¢
- San Diego Padres$20.2k @ 83.0¢
- Kimberly Birrell$14.1k @ 67.0¢
- Kings$2.2k @ 93.0¢
- Broncos$56.6k @ 51.0¢
- Callum Connor$2.5k @ 28.1¢
- Over$0 @ 54.0¢
- Over$267.5k @ 48.9¢
- Under$1.8k @ 50.0¢
- West Virginia$7.5k @ 53.9¢
- No$21 @ 17.0¢
- Indiana Fever$41.4k @ 82.0¢
- Atlanta Dream$1.4k @ 51.0¢
- New York Liberty$27 @ 44.0¢
- Boston Red Sox$4.8k @ 26.7¢
- Texas Rangers$741 @ 83.6¢
- Detroit Tigers$1 @ 8.0¢
- No$55 @ 62.3¢
- San Diego State$21.6k @ 51.2¢
- Over$910 @ 30.0¢
- No$0 @ 77.0¢
- Under$12.2k @ 57.0¢
- Michael Aswell$9.5k @ 39.0¢
- No$3.0k @ 8.9¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 59.0¢
- Sean Sharaf$1.1k @ 9.0¢
- Over$7 @ 41.0¢
- Chiefs$959.7k @ 71.2¢
- Colts vs. ChiefsLostColts$45.4k @ 27.9¢
- Packers$13.0k @ 84.0¢
- Aliona Falei$2 @ 31.0¢
- Houston$164 @ 34.0¢
- Texas Tech$8 @ 79.0¢
- Colorado Rockies$572 @ 21.0¢
- Seattle Mariners$28.7k @ 64.7¢
- Bernard Tomic$3 @ 32.0¢
- New York Yankees$31.6k @ 58.8¢
- Tampa Bay Rays$366.5k @ 40.1¢
- No$4.5k @ 51.0¢
- Yes$5.5k @ 51.0¢
- Under$1 @ 51.0¢
- Falcons$20.3k @ 57.0¢
- No$7 @ 67.0¢
- Paris Moran$90 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$8.3k @ 73.0¢
- No$894 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 58.0¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Politics | No | $3000.0k | 50.0¢ |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Politics | Yes | $3000.0k | 50.0¢ |
| San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Sports | San Diego Padres | $20.2k | 83.0¢ |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | No | $17.0k | 85.0¢ |
| Korea Open: Yexin Ma vs Kimberly Birrell | Sports | Kimberly Birrell | $14.1k | 67.0¢ |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Sports | No | $4.4k | 86.0¢ |
| Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-09-05? | Sports | Yes | $3.5k | 57.2¢ |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | No | $2.7k | 92.0¢ |
| Kings vs. Ducks | Sports | Kings | $2.2k | 93.0¢ |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16? | Sports | Yes | $1.5k | 38.0¢ |
| Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners | Sports | Houston Astros | $1.1k | 45.7¢ |
| San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Sports | Los Angeles Dodgers | $59 | 59.0¢ |
| Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners | Sports | Seattle Mariners | $17 | 43.0¢ |
- No$3000.0k @ 50.0¢
- Yes$3000.0k @ 50.0¢
- San Diego Padres$20.2k @ 83.0¢
- No$17.0k @ 85.0¢
- Kimberly Birrell$14.1k @ 67.0¢
- No$4.4k @ 86.0¢
- Yes$3.5k @ 57.2¢
- No$2.7k @ 92.0¢
- Kings vs. DucksSportsKings$2.2k @ 93.0¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 38.0¢
- Houston Astros$1.1k @ 45.7¢
- Los Angeles Dodgers$59 @ 59.0¢
- Seattle Mariners$17 @ 43.0¢