0x2c1a…5cb0

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x2c1aef4a4adfa75eede4ba87c853916bfec65cb0
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+7.1pp

ROI

+8%

Win rate

45% @ 38.0¢

Brier

0.222

Resolved

752

Avg size

$194

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	41% (74/181)	+12%	181
Sports	43% (30/69)	+8%	69
Politics	50% (3/6)	-1%	6
Geopolitics	100% (2/2)	+36%	2
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other181 bets
Hit rate
41% (74/181)
ROI
+12%
Sports69 bets
Hit rate
43% (30/69)
ROI
+8%
Politics6 bets
Hit rate
50% (3/6)
ROI
-1%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+36%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

42% hit · 109/259

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	$390	39.0¢	Lost
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	$380	38.0¢	Lost
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	$430	43.0¢	Lost
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	$420	42.0¢	Won
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	No	$998	64.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?	No	$500	33.0¢	Won
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5	Over	$100	26.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	No	$83	41.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	$102	5.7¢	Lost
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5	Under	$577	57.0¢	Lost
Valencia CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5	Under	$100	20.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Senegal?	Yes	$41	3.4¢	Lost
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?	Yes	$500	48.0¢	Won
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?	No	$500	25.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$103	8.3¢	Lost
Uruguay leading at halftime?	Yes	$457	45.0¢	Lost
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	$300	34.0¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?	No	$116	51.0¢	Lost
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	$200	44.0¢	Lost
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?	No	$200	51.0¢	Won
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?	Yes	$20	3.0¢	Lost
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5	Over	$650	65.0¢	Lost
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5	Under	$1.0k	47.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$780	78.0¢	Won
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	$1.0k	26.0¢	Lost
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	No	$1.5k	49.0¢	Won
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	Club Atlético de Madrid	$500	68.0¢	Won
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?	No	$300	49.6¢	Lost
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5	Over	$100	21.0¢	Won
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	$1.0k	21.8¢	Lost
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Over	$517	51.0¢	Lost
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	Yes	$1000	28.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 2 FC Barcelona?	Yes	$100	7.7¢	Lost
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?	Yes	$500	39.0¢	Lost
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-16?	No	$0	48.0¢	Won
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5	Under	$1.0k	53.0¢	Lost
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score	No	$457	45.0¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?	Yes	$332	30.0¢	Won
Spread: Germany (-1.5)	Côte dIvoire	$998	58.0¢	Won
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)	Argentina	$1.0k	41.0¢	Won
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?	Yes	$100	52.0¢	Lost
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)	Bosnia and Herzegovina	$882	45.0¢	Won
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)	Qatar	$1000	51.0¢	Lost
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	No	$1.0k	52.0¢	Won
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?	Yes	$500	62.0¢	Lost
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Under	$997	57.0¢	Lost
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-20?	Yes	$200	30.0¢	Lost
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?	Yes	$100	22.2¢	Lost
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05?	Yes	$500	32.0¢	Won
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	$1.7k	55.0¢	Lost

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?Lost
No$390 @ 39.0¢
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-18?Lost
Yes$380 @ 38.0¢
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-17?Lost
No$430 @ 43.0¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17?Won
Yes$420 @ 42.0¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Lost
No$998 @ 64.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?Won
No$500 @ 33.0¢
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$100 @ 26.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Lost
No$83 @ 41.0¢
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia?Lost
Yes$102 @ 5.7¢
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$577 @ 57.0¢
Valencia CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5Lost
Under$100 @ 20.0¢
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Senegal?Lost
Yes$41 @ 3.4¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?Won
Yes$500 @ 48.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?Lost
No$500 @ 25.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$103 @ 8.3¢
Uruguay leading at halftime?Lost
Yes$457 @ 45.0¢
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime GoalscorerLost
Yes$300 @ 34.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?Lost
No$116 @ 51.0¢
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Lost
Manchester City FC$200 @ 44.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?Won
No$200 @ 51.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?Lost
Yes$20 @ 3.0¢
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$650 @ 65.0¢
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5Won
Under$1.0k @ 47.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$780 @ 78.0¢
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?Lost
Yes$1.0k @ 26.0¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Won
No$1.5k @ 49.0¢
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)Won
Club Atlético de Madrid$500 @ 68.0¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?Lost
No$300 @ 49.6¢
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5Won
Over$100 @ 21.0¢
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?Lost
Yes$1.0k @ 21.8¢
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 10.5 Total CornersLost
Over$517 @ 51.0¢
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?Won
Yes$1000 @ 28.0¢
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 2 FC Barcelona?Lost
Yes$100 @ 7.7¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?Lost
Yes$500 @ 39.0¢
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-16?Won
No$0 @ 48.0¢
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$1.0k @ 53.0¢
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreWon
No$457 @ 45.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?Won
Yes$332 @ 30.0¢
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Won
Côte dIvoire$998 @ 58.0¢
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Won
Argentina$1.0k @ 41.0¢
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?Lost
Yes$100 @ 52.0¢
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)Won
Bosnia and Herzegovina$882 @ 45.0¢
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)Lost
Qatar$1000 @ 51.0¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Won
No$1.0k @ 52.0¢
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?Lost
Yes$500 @ 62.0¢
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$997 @ 57.0¢
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-20?Lost
Yes$200 @ 30.0¢
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?Lost
Yes$100 @ 22.2¢
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05?Won
Yes$500 @ 32.0¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Lost
Yes$1.7k @ 55.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$535	53.5¢
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Sports	Yes	$520	26.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	Sports	No	$390	39.0¢
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-18?	Sports	Yes	$380	38.0¢

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$535 @ 53.5¢
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Sports
Yes$520 @ 26.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?Sports
No$390 @ 39.0¢
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-18?Sports
Yes$380 @ 38.0¢