← Smart money
0x2c0e…524c
SharpEdge
-1.9pp
ROI
+7%
Win rate
7% @ 8.8¢
Brier
0.055
Resolved
2272
Avg size
$8
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 8% (65/848) | +8% | 848 |
| Crypto | 7% (17/229) | +5% | 229 |
| Sports | 25% (5/20) | -27% | 20 |
| Politics | 0% (0/9) | -100% | 9 |
| Tech | 80% (4/5) | +53% | 5 |
| Geopolitics | 33% (1/3) | +13% | 3 |
| Science | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Culture | 50% (1/2) | -2% | 2 |
- Other848 bets
- Hit rate
- 8% (65/848)
- ROI
- +8%
- Crypto229 bets
- Hit rate
- 7% (17/229)
- ROI
- +5%
- Sports20 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (5/20)
- ROI
- -27%
- Politics9 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/9)
- ROI
- -100%
- Tech5 bets
- Hit rate
- 80% (4/5)
- ROI
- +53%
- Geopolitics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- +13%
- Science2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Culture2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -2%
Track record
8% hit · 93/1118- Yes$2 @ 3.3¢
- Yes$3 @ 4.7¢
- Yes$3 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 1.4¢
- No$3 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 1.1¢
- No$2 @ 4.0¢
- No$9 @ 1.4¢
- Yes$17 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.4¢
- Yes$4 @ 4.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 11.1¢
- Yes$2 @ 2.1¢
- No$9 @ 4.4¢
- Yes$2 @ 20.0¢
- No$8 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 1.4¢
- Yes$4 @ 3.5¢
- No$11 @ 2.1¢
- Yes$3 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 3.8¢
- No$1 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$3 @ 22.1¢
- Yes$4 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$7 @ 12.1¢
- No$1 @ 11.6¢
- No$3 @ 3.5¢
- Yes$9 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
- No$12 @ 8.6¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
- No$2 @ 2.1¢
- No$2 @ 16.0¢
- No$14 @ 1.3¢
- Yes$6 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 1.4¢
- Yes$5 @ 5.1¢
- Yes$15 @ 1.4¢
- Yes$10 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 2.6¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $11 | 9.3¢ |
- Yes$11 @ 9.3¢