0x2bcf…0710

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x2bcffd47b2c8f59675ae94295744bcb8a25a0710
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-7.0pp

ROI

+19%

Win rate

14% @ 20.8¢

Brier

0.091

Resolved

101

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	19% (5/27)	-6%	27
Science	0% (0/24)	-100%	24
Politics	33% (4/12)	+37%	12
Sports	67% (2/3)	+207%	3
Geopolitics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Crypto	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Other27 bets
Hit rate
19% (5/27)
ROI
-6%
Science24 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/24)
ROI
-100%
Politics12 bets
Hit rate
33% (4/12)
ROI
+37%
Sports3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+207%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Track record

16% hit · 11/70

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$15	23.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 18?	Yes	$1	0.5¢	Lost
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $83 on June 17?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5	Over	$14	10.1¢	Won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5	Under	$26	44.6¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	90.0¢	Won
Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 20?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 18?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 21?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C or below on June 19?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 18?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 18?	Yes	$2	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 19?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 20?	Yes	$1	7.6¢	Lost
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 18?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 18?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 21?	Yes	$2	0.5¢	Lost
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5	Over	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 20?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 18?	Yes	$2	0.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 18?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 94°F or higher on June 19?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$10	87.0¢	Won
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 20?	Yes	$2	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 21?	Yes	$2	0.5¢	Lost
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	No	$10	70.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 21?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$20	89.0¢	Won
Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	Yes	$30	84.0¢	Won
Will Kenyan McDuffie win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 18?	Yes	$2	0.9¢	Lost
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 23?	No	$1	79.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 19?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 19?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 18?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 17?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5	Under	$15	49.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 78°F or higher on June 19?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 19?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	$31	38.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 59°F or below on June 19?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 18?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?	No	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 18?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on June 19?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?Won
Yes$15 @ 23.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 18?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $83 on June 17?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5Won
Over$14 @ 10.1¢
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5Lost
Under$26 @ 44.6¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?Won
Yes$1 @ 90.0¢
Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 20?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 18?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 21?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C or below on June 19?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 18?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 18?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 19?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 20?Lost
Yes$1 @ 7.6¢
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 18?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 18?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 21?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.5¢
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5Lost
Over$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 20?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 18?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 18?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 94°F or higher on June 19?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Won
No$10 @ 87.0¢
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 20?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 21?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.5¢
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Lost
No$10 @ 70.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 21?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?Won
Yes$20 @ 89.0¢
Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?Won
Yes$30 @ 84.0¢
Will Kenyan McDuffie win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 18?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.9¢
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 23?Won
No$1 @ 79.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 19?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 19?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 18?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 17?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5Won
Under$15 @ 49.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 78°F or higher on June 19?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 19?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 0.5Lost
Under$31 @ 38.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 59°F or below on June 19?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 18?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?Lost
No$2 @ 0.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 18?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on June 19?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$407	83.1¢
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$218	91.1¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$216	92.8¢
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$142	96.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$119	30.0¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$90	42.0¢
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$23	69.6¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$9	55.0¢
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?	Politics	Yes	$7	83.0¢
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$2	3.8¢
Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by less than 5%?	Politics	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$0	3.9¢

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$407 @ 83.1¢
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?—
Yes$218 @ 91.1¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Geopolitics
No$216 @ 92.8¢
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?—
Yes$142 @ 96.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
Yes$119 @ 30.0¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
Yes$90 @ 42.0¢
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
Yes$23 @ 69.6¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics
Yes$9 @ 55.0¢
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?Politics
Yes$7 @ 83.0¢
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$2 @ 3.8¢
Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by less than 5%?Politics
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$0 @ 3.9¢