← Smart money
0x2bbc…d633
SharpEdge
+13.2pp
ROI
+32%
Win rate
87% @ 74.0¢
Brier
0.083
Resolved
70
Avg size
$104
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 86% (12/14) | +18% | 14 |
| Other | 67% (6/9) | +54% | 9 |
| Tech | 100% (3/3) | +23% | 3 |
| Culture | 100% (1/1) | +24% | 1 |
| Crypto | 100% (1/1) | +25% | 1 |
- Politics14 bets
- Hit rate
- 86% (12/14)
- ROI
- +18%
- Other9 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (6/9)
- ROI
- +54%
- Tech3 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (3/3)
- ROI
- +23%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +24%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +25%
Track record
82% hit · 23/28- No$406 @ 80.3¢
- No$296 @ 83.7¢
- No$10 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$104 @ 87.0¢
- No$206 @ 23.0¢
- No$200 @ 74.0¢
- No$103 @ 79.0¢
- No$302 @ 81.7¢
- No$270 @ 83.9¢
- No$30 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 78.2¢
- No$60 @ 60.0¢
- No$644 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$130 @ 52.0¢
- No$101 @ 78.0¢
- No$244 @ 89.0¢
- No$217 @ 89.3¢
- No$807 @ 78.7¢
- No$196 @ 89.0¢
- No$308 @ 77.0¢
- No$213 @ 85.0¢
- No$202 @ 81.0¢
- No$253 @ 80.0¢
- No$102 @ 51.0¢
- No$51 @ 73.0¢
- No$430 @ 86.0¢
- No$201 @ 89.9¢
- Yes$201 @ 83.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Politics | No | $3.8k | 81.1¢ |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | — | No | $103 | 79.0¢ |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | Politics | No | $60 | 60.0¢ |
- No$3.8k @ 81.1¢
- No$103 @ 79.0¢
- No$60 @ 60.0¢