0x2ba9…2210

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x2ba924a033a10182ad8720132b1c14a1d2122210
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.9pp

ROI

+14%

Win rate

55% @ 48.2¢

Brier

0.199

Resolved

372

Avg size

$37

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	59% (138/233)	+6%	233
Sports	57% (17/30)	+77%	30
Politics	33% (6/18)	-41%	18
Geopolitics	43% (3/7)	-30%	7
Tech	100% (1/1)	+35%	1
Economy	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+77%	1

Other233 bets
Hit rate
59% (138/233)
ROI
+6%
Sports30 bets
Hit rate
57% (17/30)
ROI
+77%
Politics18 bets
Hit rate
33% (6/18)
ROI
-41%
Geopolitics7 bets
Hit rate
43% (3/7)
ROI
-30%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+35%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+77%

Track record

57% hit · 166/291

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 17?	No	$71	87.1¢	Lost
Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5	Over	$70	81.0¢	Won
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	$46	57.0¢	Lost
Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 163.5	Under	$36	56.0¢	Won
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	$46	74.0¢	Won
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?	No	$60	86.0¢	Won
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	$71	69.0¢	Won
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)	Inter Miami CF	$41	51.0¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$71	73.0¢	Won
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-08-15?	Yes	$41	56.0¢	Lost
Cincinnati Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Magdalena Frech	Jelena Ostapenko	$36	51.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$26	59.2¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$31	19.1¢	Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	$16	12.6¢	Lost
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	$20	50.0¢	Won
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	No	$42	51.0¢	Lost
Prague 2: Florian Broska vs Sean Cuenin	Sean Cuenin	$36	57.0¢	Won
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-30?	No	$46	63.0¢	Won
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$26	6.0¢	Lost
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	Yes	$52	80.0¢	Won
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$5	4.8¢	Lost
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	$51	57.0¢	Lost
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?	Yes	$79	71.0¢	Won
Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?	No	$51	58.6¢	Lost
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$52	5.2¢	Lost
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	$17	55.0¢	Lost
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	Yes	$26	29.0¢	Won
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06?	No	$36	51.0¢	Won
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	$6	7.0¢	Lost
Istanbul 3: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Maxim Zhukov	Samir Hamza Reguig	$51	71.0¢	Won
US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Yunchaokete Bu	Yunchaokete Bu	$71	64.0¢	Won
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros	Houston Astros	$51	60.0¢	Won
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-08-19?	No	$51	44.0¢	Won
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	$158	74.0¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	$48	31.4¢	Lost
Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	$46	57.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C	PARIVISION	$36	55.0¢	Won
Will CF América win on 2026-08-13?	No	$41	55.0¢	Won
Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstat	Jan Kumstat	$41	60.0¢	Won
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	$46	53.0¢	Won
Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Cavaliers	$8	20.3¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 6?	Yes	$46	71.4¢	Won
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?	Yes	$51	74.0¢	Won
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	$30	49.0¢	Lost
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Coventry City FC	$46	40.0¢	Won
Spread: Delaware (-4.5)	Delaware	$25	54.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?	No	$51	65.0¢	Won
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen	Alex Michelsen	$51	43.0¢	Lost
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	Yes	$41	59.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?	No	$57	80.0¢	Won

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 17?Lost
No$71 @ 87.1¢
Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5Won
Over$70 @ 81.0¢
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-29?Lost
Yes$46 @ 57.0¢
Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 163.5Won
Under$36 @ 56.0¢
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-08-29?Won
Yes$46 @ 74.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?Won
No$60 @ 86.0¢
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-08-30?Won
Yes$71 @ 69.0¢
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Won
Inter Miami CF$41 @ 51.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-26?Won
Yes$71 @ 73.0¢
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-08-15?Lost
Yes$41 @ 56.0¢
Cincinnati Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Magdalena FrechLost
Jelena Ostapenko$36 @ 51.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$26 @ 59.2¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$31 @ 19.1¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Lost
Yes$16 @ 12.6¢
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?Won
No$20 @ 50.0¢
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Lost
No$42 @ 51.0¢
Prague 2: Florian Broska vs Sean CueninWon
Sean Cuenin$36 @ 57.0¢
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-30?Won
No$46 @ 63.0¢
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Lost
Yes$26 @ 6.0¢
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Won
Yes$52 @ 80.0¢
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$5 @ 4.8¢
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Lost
Yes$51 @ 57.0¢
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Won
Yes$79 @ 71.0¢
Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?Lost
No$51 @ 58.6¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$52 @ 5.2¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseLost
No$17 @ 55.0¢
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?Won
Yes$26 @ 29.0¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06?Won
No$36 @ 51.0¢
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers Lost
Lakers$6 @ 7.0¢
Istanbul 3: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Maxim ZhukovWon
Samir Hamza Reguig$51 @ 71.0¢
US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Yunchaokete BuWon
Yunchaokete Bu$71 @ 64.0¢
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston AstrosWon
Houston Astros$51 @ 60.0¢
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-08-19?Won
No$51 @ 44.0¢
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?Won
Yes$158 @ 74.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Lost
Yes$48 @ 31.4¢
Colorado Rockies vs. Washington NationalsWon
Washington Nationals$46 @ 57.0¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group CWon
PARIVISION$36 @ 55.0¢
Will CF América win on 2026-08-13?Won
No$41 @ 55.0¢
Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan KumstatWon
Jan Kumstat$41 @ 60.0¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta BravesWon
Atlanta Braves$46 @ 53.0¢
Cavaliers vs. RaptorsLost
Cavaliers$8 @ 20.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 6?Won
Yes$46 @ 71.4¢
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?Won
Yes$51 @ 74.0¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Lost
Yes$30 @ 49.0¢
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Won
Coventry City FC$46 @ 40.0¢
Spread: Delaware (-4.5)Won
Delaware$25 @ 54.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?Won
No$51 @ 65.0¢
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex MichelsenLost
Alex Michelsen$51 @ 43.0¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Lost
Yes$41 @ 59.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?Won
No$57 @ 80.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs	—	Team Falcons	$90	66.7¢
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$77	58.4¢
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Economy	Yes	$70	69.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	—	Yes	$60	72.0¢
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays	—	Tampa Bay Rays	$60	56.0¢
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-09-13?	—	Yes	$55	57.0¢
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs	—	B8	$55	56.0¢
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	—	Ekaterina Alexandrova	$55	52.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Politics	No	$55	51.0¢
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins	—	Atlanta Braves	$55	51.0¢
Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-10?	—	Yes	$50	50.0¢
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres	—	Yes	$50	43.1¢
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$50	68.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?	—	Yes	$50	67.0¢
49ers vs. Rams	—	Rams	$50	65.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in August?	—	No	$50	60.0¢
Augsburg: Calvin Hemery vs Hynek Barton	—	Calvin Hemery	$50	57.0¢
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Sports	Yes	$50	57.0¢
US Open, Qualification WTA: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Julia Riera	—	Julia Riera	$50	57.0¢
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox	—	Chicago White Sox	$50	55.0¢
US Open, Qualification ATP: Andre Ilagan vs Tristan Boyer	—	Tristan Boyer	$50	51.0¢
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-08-25?	—	Yes	$50	44.7¢
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-09-09?	—	Yes	$50	45.0¢
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-09-08?	—	Yes	$50	45.0¢
Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton	—	Adam Walton	$50	42.0¢
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-08-16?	—	Yes	$45	50.0¢
Hibernian FC vs. KAA Gent: O/U 2.5	—	Under	$45	60.0¢
Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	—	Yes	$45	62.1¢
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-29?	—	Yes	$45	68.0¢
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-05?	—	Yes	$45	66.0¢

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs—
Team Falcons$90 @ 66.7¢
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$77 @ 58.4¢
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy
Yes$70 @ 69.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?—
Yes$60 @ 72.0¢
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays—
Tampa Bay Rays$60 @ 56.0¢
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-09-13?—
Yes$55 @ 57.0¢
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs—
B8$55 @ 56.0¢
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Ekaterina Alexandrova—
Ekaterina Alexandrova$55 @ 52.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics
No$55 @ 51.0¢
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins—
Atlanta Braves$55 @ 51.0¢
Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-10?—
Yes$50 @ 50.0¢
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres—
Yes$50 @ 43.1¢
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$50 @ 68.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?—
Yes$50 @ 67.0¢
49ers vs. Rams—
Rams$50 @ 65.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in August?—
No$50 @ 60.0¢
Augsburg: Calvin Hemery vs Hynek Barton—
Calvin Hemery$50 @ 57.0¢
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Sports
Yes$50 @ 57.0¢
US Open, Qualification WTA: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Julia Riera—
Julia Riera$50 @ 57.0¢
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox—
Chicago White Sox$50 @ 55.0¢
US Open, Qualification ATP: Andre Ilagan vs Tristan Boyer—
Tristan Boyer$50 @ 51.0¢
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-08-25?—
Yes$50 @ 44.7¢
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-09-09?—
Yes$50 @ 45.0¢
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-09-08?—
Yes$50 @ 45.0¢
Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton—
Adam Walton$50 @ 42.0¢
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-08-16?—
Yes$45 @ 50.0¢
Hibernian FC vs. KAA Gent: O/U 2.5—
Under$45 @ 60.0¢
Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?—
Yes$45 @ 62.1¢
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-29?—
Yes$45 @ 68.0¢
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-05?—
Yes$45 @ 66.0¢