0x2b4a…7bd0

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other27 bets

  Hit rate

  48% (13/27)

  ROI

  +10%

• Politics24 bets

  Hit rate

  25% (6/24)

  ROI

  +4%

• Geopolitics5 bets

  Hit rate

  20% (1/5)

  ROI

  -63%

• Sports2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  -31%

• Crypto1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +275%

• US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Won
  No$4 @ 79.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$22 @ 74.2¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$36 @ 14.2¢
• US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Won
  No$10 @ 48.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
  Yes$30 @ 14.3¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Won
  No$6 @ 72.0¢
• Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026?Lost
  No$0 @ 1.2¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
  No$22 @ 61.7¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
  Yes$20 @ 26.0¢
• US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
  Yes$1 @ 89.0¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$35 @ 26.6¢
• US strikes Iraq by February 28?Won
  Yes$6 @ 13.5¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
• Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 1.4¢
• Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 4.1¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Lost
  Yes$6 @ 1.4¢
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Won
  Yes$3 @ 10.1¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$9 @ 10.6¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$24 @ 50.6¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$79 @ 38.9¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
• US forces enter Iran by April 30?Lost
  No$12 @ 28.5¢
• Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?Won
  No$3 @ 82.0¢
• Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 86.0¢
• Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?Won
  No$20 @ 74.0¢
• UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Gokhan Saricam (Heavyweight, Main Card)Won
  Gokhan Saricam$3 @ 59.0¢
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Lost
  No$0 @ 3.6¢
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Won
  Yes$1 @ 28.6¢
• Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 5.1¢
• Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 12.6¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$21 @ 26.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 6.8¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 4.0¢
• Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Lost
  No$0 @ 2.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 11.0¢
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Won
  Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Won
  No$3 @ 68.0¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 4.9¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
• Iran leadership change by April 30?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 1.1¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Won
  No$13 @ 63.5¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 8.0¢
• US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 1.9¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
• Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  Yes$4 @ 85.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$4 @ 55.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$22 @ 49.1¢
• Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Lost
  No$6 @ 10.2¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 6.9¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Won
  No$7 @ 72.0¢

Current positions

• Trump out as President by June 30?Politics
  No$80 @ 98.8¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Geopolitics
  No$48 @ 99.6¢
• Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?Politics
  No$21 @ 99.2¢
• Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Politics
  No$13 @ 99.1¢
• Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Politics
  No$8 @ 93.0¢
• Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Politics
  Yes$8 @ 76.0¢
• Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Geopolitics
  No$7 @ 99.5¢
• New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30? Culture
  No$7 @ 99.2¢
• Iran leadership change by June 30?Politics
  No$6 @ 96.5¢
• Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?Politics
  No$5 @ 99.1¢
• Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?Politics
  No$4 @ 99.8¢
• New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? Culture
  No$3 @ 94.0¢
• Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$3 @ 94.0¢
• DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30?Politics
  No$2 @ 98.7¢
• Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Politics
  Yes$2 @ 35.0¢
• Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by June 30, 2026?—
  No$1 @ 99.3¢
• Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?Politics
  No$1 @ 99.4¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Geopolitics
  No$1 @ 99.1¢
• Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?Tech
  No$1 @ 99.5¢
• Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
  Yes$1 @ 13.7¢
• Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Politics
  No$1 @ 25.0¢
• Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? Geopolitics
  No$1 @ 99.2¢
• Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?Politics
  No$1 @ 97.2¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics
  No$1 @ 55.3¢