0x2b40…ced4

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x2b407c1091b0e0de5fa5e6d96a2edda2cee3ced4
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.4pp

ROI

+41%

Win rate

34% @ 27.4¢

Brier

0.182

Resolved

2074

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	45% (144/320)	+59%	320
Science	23% (18/79)	-33%	79
Politics	31% (4/13)	-3%	13
Sports	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other320 bets
Hit rate
45% (144/320)
ROI
+59%
Science79 bets
Hit rate
23% (18/79)
ROI
-33%
Politics13 bets
Hit rate
31% (4/13)
ROI
-3%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

40% hit · 166/413

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 29?	No	$15	10.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on September 29?	No	$9	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 29?	No	$3	8.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 29?	No	$15	18.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 29?	No	$16	7.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 9?	No	$11	55.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 29?	No	$7	6.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 20?	No	$15	15.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 12?	No	$15	30.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 20?	No	$49	77.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 19?	No	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 24?	No	$15	15.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 4?	No	$8	20.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 1?	No	$10	44.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 27?	No	$7	6.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 9?	No	$11	2.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 12?	No	$9	6.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 9?	No	$35	77.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 24?	No	$2	0.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20?	No	$44	13.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 22?	No	$16	68.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21?	No	$11	7.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 17?	No	$6	9.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 26?	No	$10	3.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 11?	No	$22	31.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 17?	No	$71	71.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 19?	No	$4	12.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 19?	Yes	$163	72.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 30?	No	$24	59.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on July 2?	No	$1	1.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on August 30?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 30?	No	$24	40.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31?	No	$56	15.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 26?	No	$34	80.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 18?	No	$2	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 18?	No	$102	40.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on September 7?	No	$16	8.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 10?	No	$226	77.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 11?	No	$24	51.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 6?	No	$9	4.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or below on July 6?	No	$17	59.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 28?	No	$36	15.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 30?	No	$46	76.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 15?	No	$6	73.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 5?	Yes	$74	81.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 20?	No	$5	3.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 17?	No	$69	35.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 12?	No	$120	12.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on June 30?	No	$11	7.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 5?	No	$28	18.6¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 29?Lost
No$15 @ 10.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on September 29?Lost
No$9 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 29?Lost
No$3 @ 8.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 29?Lost
No$15 @ 18.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 29?Lost
No$16 @ 7.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 9?Won
No$11 @ 55.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 29?Lost
No$7 @ 6.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 20?Lost
No$15 @ 15.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 12?Lost
No$15 @ 30.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 20?Won
No$49 @ 77.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 19?Lost
No$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 24?Won
No$15 @ 15.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 4?Lost
No$8 @ 20.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 1?Won
No$10 @ 44.8¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 27?Lost
No$7 @ 6.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 9?Lost
No$11 @ 2.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 12?Lost
No$9 @ 6.4¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 9?Won
No$35 @ 77.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 24?Lost
No$2 @ 0.7¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20?Lost
No$44 @ 13.8¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 22?Won
No$16 @ 68.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21?Lost
No$11 @ 7.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 17?Lost
No$6 @ 9.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 26?Lost
No$10 @ 3.2¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 11?Lost
No$22 @ 31.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 17?Won
No$71 @ 71.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 19?Lost
No$4 @ 12.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 19?Won
Yes$163 @ 72.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 30?Won
No$24 @ 59.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on July 2?Lost
No$1 @ 1.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on August 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 30?Won
No$24 @ 40.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31?Lost
No$56 @ 15.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 26?Won
No$34 @ 80.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 18?Lost
No$2 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 18?Lost
No$102 @ 40.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on September 7?Won
No$16 @ 8.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 10?Won
No$226 @ 77.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 11?Won
No$24 @ 51.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 6?Lost
No$9 @ 4.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or below on July 6?Won
No$17 @ 59.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 28?Lost
No$36 @ 15.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 30?Won
No$46 @ 76.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 15?Won
No$6 @ 73.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 5?Won
Yes$74 @ 81.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 20?Lost
No$5 @ 3.9¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 17?Lost
No$69 @ 35.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 12?Lost
No$120 @ 12.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on June 30?Lost
No$11 @ 7.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 5?Lost
No$28 @ 18.6¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 29?	Politics	No	$15	10.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 29?	Science	No	$15	18.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on September 29?	Science	No	$10	3.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 29?	Science	No	$3	8.0¢

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 29?Politics
No$15 @ 10.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 29?Science
No$15 @ 18.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on September 29?Science
No$10 @ 3.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 29?Science
No$3 @ 8.0¢