0x2b40…ced4

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x2b407c1091b0e0de5fa5e6d96a2edda2cee3ced4
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.8pp

ROI

+39%

Win rate

32% @ 25.7¢

Brier

0.180

Resolved

2416

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	23% (144/633)	+23%	633
Science	26% (72/276)	-7%	276
Politics	19% (7/37)	-20%	37
Sports	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other633 bets
Hit rate
23% (144/633)
ROI
+23%
Science276 bets
Hit rate
26% (72/276)
ROI
-7%
Politics37 bets
Hit rate
19% (7/37)
ROI
-20%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

24% hit · 223/947

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on March 19?	Yes	$0	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 23?	No	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 25?	No	$7	8.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 3?	No	$8	16.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 11?	Yes	$3	21.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 24?	No	$24	7.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 28?	No	$0	4.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 6?	No	$7	16.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on September 9?	No	$24	13.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on April 4?	Yes	$1	2.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 24?	No	$1	2.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or below on July 15?	No	$1	2.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 30?	No	$15	4.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 14?	No	$2	2.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on March 30?	No	$3	29.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 19?	No	$61	17.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on September 1?	No	$8	4.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on March 30?	Yes	$1	10.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 18?	No	$6	7.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 18?	No	$3	14.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 5?	No	$17	9.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 30?	No	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 31?	No	$1	7.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 9?	Yes	$2	3.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on November 5?	No	$26	18.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 28?	No	$1	2.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 15?	No	$2	21.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 9?	No	$26	13.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C on November 7?	No	$1	4.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on November 5?	No	$12	13.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on November 3?	No	$4	2.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 1?	No	$2	2.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 20?	No	$3	3.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on August 28?	No	$2	0.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 2?	No	$14	17.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on September 5?	No	$1	0.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 20?	Yes	$8	54.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9?	No	$10	13.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 31?	No	$7	11.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 28?	No	$17	12.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 18?	No	$10	8.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 18?	No	$10	6.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 31?	No	$2	10.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 23?	No	$12	2.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 21?	No	$3	14.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on April 29?	No	$1	7.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 7?	No	$35	25.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 14?	No	$35	11.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 16?	No	$1	3.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 21?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on March 19?Lost
Yes$0 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 23?Lost
No$0 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 25?Lost
No$7 @ 8.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 3?Lost
No$8 @ 16.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 11?Lost
Yes$3 @ 21.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 24?Lost
No$24 @ 7.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 28?Lost
No$0 @ 4.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 6?Lost
No$7 @ 16.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on September 9?Lost
No$24 @ 13.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on April 4?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 24?Lost
No$1 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or below on July 15?Lost
No$1 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 30?Lost
No$15 @ 4.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 14?Lost
No$2 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on March 30?Lost
No$3 @ 29.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 19?Lost
No$61 @ 17.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on September 1?Lost
No$8 @ 4.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on March 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 18?Lost
No$6 @ 7.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 18?Lost
No$3 @ 14.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 5?Lost
No$17 @ 9.9¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 30?Lost
No$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 31?Lost
No$1 @ 7.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 9?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on November 5?Lost
No$26 @ 18.9¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 28?Lost
No$1 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 15?Lost
No$2 @ 21.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 9?Lost
No$26 @ 13.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C on November 7?Lost
No$1 @ 4.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on November 5?Lost
No$12 @ 13.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on November 3?Lost
No$4 @ 2.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 1?Lost
No$2 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 20?Lost
No$3 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on August 28?Lost
No$2 @ 0.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 2?Lost
No$14 @ 17.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on September 5?Lost
No$1 @ 0.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 20?Lost
Yes$8 @ 54.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9?Lost
No$10 @ 13.6¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 31?Lost
No$7 @ 11.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 28?Lost
No$17 @ 12.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 18?Lost
No$10 @ 8.2¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 18?Lost
No$10 @ 6.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 31?Lost
No$2 @ 10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 23?Lost
No$12 @ 2.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 21?Lost
No$3 @ 14.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on April 29?Lost
No$1 @ 7.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 7?Lost
No$35 @ 25.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 14?Lost
No$35 @ 11.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 16?Lost
No$1 @ 3.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 21?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 26?	—	No	$120	34.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 27?	Science	No	$95	18.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 8?	Science	No	$77	16.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 10?	—	No	$70	16.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 25?	—	No	$67	16.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 19?	—	No	$61	17.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 14?	Science	No	$52	24.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 17?	—	No	$51	21.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 28?	Science	No	$49	43.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 12?	—	No	$49	28.9¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 24?	Science	No	$47	26.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 28?	—	No	$43	18.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 31?	—	No	$43	12.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 13?	—	No	$42	22.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on September 2?	—	No	$40	14.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 29?	—	No	$39	24.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 5?	—	No	$39	17.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on August 15?	—	No	$39	29.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 22?	Politics	No	$37	19.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 24?	—	Yes	$36	72.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 10?	Science	No	$36	24.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 29?	—	No	$36	11.6¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 14?	—	No	$35	11.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 17?	—	No	$35	16.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 7?	—	No	$35	25.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 28?	Science	No	$35	15.7¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 13?	Science	No	$35	18.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 29?	—	No	$35	7.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 19?	—	No	$34	16.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 31?	—	No	$34	34.6¢

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 26?—
No$120 @ 34.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 27?Science
No$95 @ 18.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 8?Science
No$77 @ 16.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 10?—
No$70 @ 16.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 25?—
No$67 @ 16.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 19?—
No$61 @ 17.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 14?Science
No$52 @ 24.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 17?—
No$51 @ 21.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 28?Science
No$49 @ 43.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 12?—
No$49 @ 28.9¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 24?Science
No$47 @ 26.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 28?—
No$43 @ 18.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 31?—
No$43 @ 12.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 13?—
No$42 @ 22.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on September 2?—
No$40 @ 14.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 29?—
No$39 @ 24.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 5?—
No$39 @ 17.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on August 15?—
No$39 @ 29.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 22?Politics
No$37 @ 19.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 24?—
Yes$36 @ 72.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 10?Science
No$36 @ 24.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 29?—
No$36 @ 11.6¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 14?—
No$35 @ 11.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 17?—
No$35 @ 16.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 7?—
No$35 @ 25.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 28?Science
No$35 @ 15.7¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 13?Science
No$35 @ 18.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 29?—
No$35 @ 7.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 19?—
No$34 @ 16.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 31?—
No$34 @ 34.6¢