0x2b24…1586

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x2b240b8e098f3701ae34fcbc749059c07adc1586
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+18.5pp

ROI

+23%

Win rate

59% @ 40.1¢

Brier

0.242

Resolved

157

Avg size

$10

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	57% (26/46)	+21%	46
Economy	100% (2/2)	+52%	2

Other46 bets
Hit rate
57% (26/46)
ROI
+21%
Economy2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+52%

Track record

58% hit · 28/48

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 10?	No	$15	73.0¢	Won
Will the median home value in Chicago be between $339,000 and $342,000 on June 30?	Yes	$66	43.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on April 19?	Yes	$15	76.0¢	Won
Will "Hoppers" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	$12	57.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on April 13?	Yes	$75	33.1¢	Lost
Will the median home value in the Austin, Texas metro area be greater than $495,000 on June 30?	No	$49	59.6¢	Won
Will the median home value in the US be between $427,500 and $430,000 on April 1?	Yes	$24	39.2¢	Won
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,220,000 and $1,240,000 on April 1?	Yes	$8	84.7¢	Won
Will the median home value in New York City be between $606,000 and $613,000 on June 30?	Yes	$48	50.9¢	Lost
Will 0 judges rule in favor of Trump's Tarriffs?	No	$74	87.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on April 10?	No	$26	37.6¢	Won
Will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be between $1,175,000 and $1,180,000 on April 1?	Yes	$18	44.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 13?	Yes	$48	40.0¢	Won
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$102	24.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on April 10?	No	$15	51.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on April 13?	Yes	$38	30.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 11?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be greater than $1,244,000 on June 30?	Yes	$58	71.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 23?	Yes	$12	28.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 11?	Yes	$31	41.0¢	Won
Will "Hoppers" score at least 97 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	$31	12.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 10?	Yes	$23	10.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on April 14?	Yes	$30	22.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 11?	Yes	$24	16.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 10?	No	$11	57.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 10?	Yes	$55	64.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 13?	Yes	$9	28.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on April 9?	Yes	$12	22.0¢	Won
Will "Cold Storage" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	$76	69.8¢	Won
Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be between $1,175,000 and $1,185,000 on April 1?	Yes	$19	37.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?	Yes	$51	85.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 11?	No	$7	45.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on April 13?	Yes	$5	4.5¢	Lost
Will the median home value in the US be between $425,000 and $427,500 on April 1?	No	$9	86.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 13?	Yes	$1	1.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 4?	Yes	$37	74.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 20?	Yes	$35	54.8¢	Won
Will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be between $1,181,000 and $1,190,000 on June 30?	Yes	$128	62.7¢	Won
Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be between $1,080,000 and $1,100,000 by March 1?	Yes	$40	54.4¢	Won
Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be between $1,060,000 and $1,080,000 by March 1?	No	$26	62.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 15?	Yes	$15	30.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 10?	No	$20	58.0¢	Won
Will the median home value in Chicago be less than $339,000 on June 30?	Yes	$17	23.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on May 11?	Yes	$29	52.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 9?	No	$13	82.0¢	Won
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?	No	$66	17.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?	No	$17	49.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?	Yes	$19	76.0¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 10?Won
No$15 @ 73.0¢
Will the median home value in Chicago be between $339,000 and $342,000 on June 30?Won
Yes$66 @ 43.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on April 19?Won
Yes$15 @ 76.0¢
Will "Hoppers" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Lost
Yes$12 @ 57.1¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on April 13?Lost
Yes$75 @ 33.1¢
Will the median home value in the Austin, Texas metro area be greater than $495,000 on June 30?Won
No$49 @ 59.6¢
Will the median home value in the US be between $427,500 and $430,000 on April 1?Won
Yes$24 @ 39.2¢
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,220,000 and $1,240,000 on April 1?Won
Yes$8 @ 84.7¢
Will the median home value in New York City be between $606,000 and $613,000 on June 30?Lost
Yes$48 @ 50.9¢
Will 0 judges rule in favor of Trump's Tarriffs?Won
No$74 @ 87.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on April 10?Won
No$26 @ 37.6¢
Will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be between $1,175,000 and $1,180,000 on April 1?Won
Yes$18 @ 44.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 13?Won
Yes$48 @ 40.0¢
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$102 @ 24.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on April 10?Won
No$15 @ 51.1¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on April 13?Lost
Yes$38 @ 30.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 11?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be greater than $1,244,000 on June 30?Won
Yes$58 @ 71.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 23?Lost
Yes$12 @ 28.8¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 11?Won
Yes$31 @ 41.0¢
Will "Hoppers" score at least 97 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Lost
Yes$31 @ 12.7¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 10?Won
Yes$23 @ 10.9¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on April 14?Lost
Yes$30 @ 22.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 11?Lost
Yes$24 @ 16.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 10?Lost
No$11 @ 57.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 10?Won
Yes$55 @ 64.4¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 13?Won
Yes$9 @ 28.2¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on April 9?Won
Yes$12 @ 22.0¢
Will "Cold Storage" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Won
Yes$76 @ 69.8¢
Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be between $1,175,000 and $1,185,000 on April 1?Won
Yes$19 @ 37.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Lost
Yes$51 @ 85.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 11?Lost
No$7 @ 45.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on April 13?Lost
Yes$5 @ 4.5¢
Will the median home value in the US be between $425,000 and $427,500 on April 1?Won
No$9 @ 86.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 13?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 4?Won
Yes$37 @ 74.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 20?Won
Yes$35 @ 54.8¢
Will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be between $1,181,000 and $1,190,000 on June 30?Won
Yes$128 @ 62.7¢
Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be between $1,080,000 and $1,100,000 by March 1?Won
Yes$40 @ 54.4¢
Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be between $1,060,000 and $1,080,000 by March 1?Won
No$26 @ 62.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 15?Lost
Yes$15 @ 30.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 10?Won
No$20 @ 58.0¢
Will the median home value in Chicago be less than $339,000 on June 30?Lost
Yes$17 @ 23.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on May 11?Lost
Yes$29 @ 52.2¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 9?Won
No$13 @ 82.0¢
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?Lost
No$66 @ 17.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Won
No$17 @ 49.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Lost
Yes$19 @ 76.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30?	Economy	Yes	$273	65.0¢
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?	Economy	Yes	$250	48.4¢
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $524,000 and $530,000 on September 30?	Economy	Yes	$186	70.1¢
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $518,000 and $524,000 on September 30?	Economy	No	$82	81.6¢
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?	Economy	No	$59	75.4¢
Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?	Economy	Yes	$53	66.3¢
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30?	Economy	Yes	$33	51.5¢

Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30?Economy
Yes$273 @ 65.0¢
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?Economy
Yes$250 @ 48.4¢
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $524,000 and $530,000 on September 30?Economy
Yes$186 @ 70.1¢
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $518,000 and $524,000 on September 30?Economy
No$82 @ 81.6¢
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?Economy
No$59 @ 75.4¢
Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?Economy
Yes$53 @ 66.3¢
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30?Economy
Yes$33 @ 51.5¢