← Smart money
0x2ada…2f28
ProfitableEdge
+3.2pp
ROI
+4%
Win rate
33% @ 29.7¢
Brier
0.049
Resolved
717
Avg size
$55
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 49% (106/218) | +3% | 218 |
| Other | 20% (17/85) | -30% | 85 |
- Sports218 bets
- Hit rate
- 49% (106/218)
- ROI
- +3%
- Other85 bets
- Hit rate
- 20% (17/85)
- ROI
- -30%
Track record
41% hit · 123/303- Clemson$100 @ 56.0¢
- Boise State$196 @ 83.0¢
- BYU vs. UCFLostBYU$14 @ 70.0¢
- UCLA$446 @ 85.0¢
- Oregon$10 @ 77.0¢
- LSU$490 @ 72.0¢
- Indiana$82 @ 73.0¢
- Northwestern$270 @ 87.0¢
- Lakers$85 @ 77.0¢
- Thunder$74 @ 74.0¢
- Raptors$190 @ 79.0¢
- 76ers vs. KnicksLostKnicks$9 @ 61.0¢
- LSU$136 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
- No$0 @ 0.0¢
- LSU vs. KentuckyLostLSU$304 @ 76.0¢
- Ohio State$43 @ 98.5¢
- UCLA vs. OregonLostOregon$188 @ 79.0¢
- Tennessee$84 @ 84.0¢
- Army$675 @ 99.0¢
- Sacramento State$0 @ 0.1¢
- BYU$390 @ 78.0¢
- Red Wings$2 @ 0.6¢
- Rams vs. EaglesLostEagles$345 @ 72.0¢
- Rams$42 @ 63.0¢
- Los Angeles Dodgers$67 @ 74.0¢
- Southern Miss$1 @ 1.1¢
- Michigan$310 @ 66.0¢
- Colorado Rockies$102 @ 0.4¢
- Indiana Fever$500 @ 82.0¢
- Pittsburgh Pirates$0 @ 0.4¢
- New York Liberty$2 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$34 @ 0.6¢
- Boston Red Sox$4 @ 1.0¢
- Saints$28 @ 53.0¢
- Chiefs$1.1k @ 71.0¢
- Colts vs. ChiefsLostColts$6 @ 2.0¢
- Cincinnati Reds$20 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$17 @ 0.5¢
- Colts$46 @ 66.0¢
- New York Liberty$112 @ 76.0¢
- Kansas City Royals$10 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$35 @ 8.1¢
- Athletics$27 @ 0.2¢
- Giants$36 @ 73.0¢
- Penn State$339 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.2¢
- Colorado Rockies$3 @ 0.1¢
- No$1 @ 0.1¢
- No$4 @ 1.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $3.8k | 96.0¢ |
- No$3.8k @ 96.0¢