0x2aac…a718

Specialization by sphere

• Politics19 bets

  Hit rate

  26% (5/19)

  ROI

  -94%

• Other19 bets

  Hit rate

  32% (6/19)

  ROI

  +121%

• Geopolitics1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 6?Lost
  Yes$713 @ 3.5¢
• Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$192 @ 4.7¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$1.7k @ 29.2¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Lost
  Yes$1.1k @ 7.8¢
• JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Won
  Yes$11.0k @ 87.5¢
• Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Lost
  Yes$905 @ 29.6¢
• Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Lost
  Yes$145 @ 17.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Lost
  Yes$364 @ 17.0¢
• US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Lost
  Yes$7 @ 9.0¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Won
  Yes$40 @ 40.0¢
• Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$126 @ 89.7¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
  Yes$1.1k @ 15.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?Lost
  Yes$1.9k @ 55.4¢
• Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$178 @ 4.7¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Won
  Yes$2.7k @ 3.6¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Lost
  Yes$410 @ 68.3¢
• US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?Lost
  Yes$767 @ 45.0¢
• US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$3.5k @ 27.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Lost
  Yes$634 @ 51.1¢
• US forces enter Iran by April 30?Won
  Yes$3.6k @ 60.5¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Won
  Yes$1.0k @ 10.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Lost
  Yes$80 @ 40.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Won
  Yes$4.1k @ 27.1¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Won
  Yes$14 @ 87.0¢
• Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Lost
  Yes$1.8k @ 11.6¢
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Lost
  Yes$17 @ 57.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?Lost
  Yes$8.9k @ 69.9¢
• Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$240 @ 48.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Lost
  Yes$295 @ 31.1¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Lost
  Yes$6.8k @ 19.4¢
• US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Lost
  Yes$5.1k @ 86.6¢
• Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$8 @ 41.0¢
• Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?Lost
  Yes$1.4k @ 17.1¢
• Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Lost
  Yes$68 @ 68.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$4.4k @ 35.1¢
• Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?Won
  Yes$40 @ 40.0¢
• Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Lost
  Yes$1.5k @ 20.3¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?Lost
  Yes$884 @ 49.0¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Lost
  Yes$3.7k @ 40.5¢

Current positions

• US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?Politics
  Yes$1.8k @ 16.0¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Politics
  Yes$1.1k @ 24.0¢
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Politics
  Yes$818 @ 27.3¢
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 6?Politics
  Yes$319 @ 3.5¢