← Smart money
0x2a7e…eda0
SharpEdge
+9.0pp
ROI
+18%
Win rate
53% @ 44.2¢
Brier
0.114
Resolved
374
Avg size
$29
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 47% (44/94) | +24% | 94 |
| Politics | 29% (4/14) | -38% | 14 |
| Geopolitics | 56% (5/9) | +6% | 9 |
| Sports | 50% (1/2) | -10% | 2 |
| Tech | 100% (1/1) | +32% | 1 |
- Other94 bets
- Hit rate
- 47% (44/94)
- ROI
- +24%
- Politics14 bets
- Hit rate
- 29% (4/14)
- ROI
- -38%
- Geopolitics9 bets
- Hit rate
- 56% (5/9)
- ROI
- +6%
- Sports2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -10%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +32%
Track record
46% hit · 55/120- Yes$1.5k @ 98.7¢
- No$35 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$95 @ 35.3¢
- Yes$200 @ 89.6¢
- No$40 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
- No$30 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$45 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 8.0¢
- No$1 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$229 @ 82.9¢
- No$12 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$31 @ 52.1¢
- Yes$75 @ 68.1¢
- Yes$14 @ 81.0¢
- No$4 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$157 @ 87.5¢
- Yes$129 @ 28.3¢
- Yes$10 @ 18.0¢
- No$1 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$822 @ 70.5¢
- Yes$43 @ 43.0¢
- No$6 @ 1.9¢
- No$412 @ 83.6¢
- No$4 @ 3.9¢
- Yes$173 @ 63.7¢
- No$99 @ 76.2¢
- Yes$30 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$92 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
- No$57 @ 57.0¢
- Yes$274 @ 85.6¢
- Yes$65 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$55 @ 86.0¢
- No$108 @ 13.8¢
- Yes$534 @ 69.2¢
- No$160 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$44 @ 88.1¢
- Yes$17 @ 16.7¢
- No$57 @ 6.7¢
- Yes$20 @ 11.2¢
- Yes$24 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$528 @ 80.9¢
- Yes$120 @ 19.2¢
- Yes$20 @ 30.4¢
- No$88 @ 73.7¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | $559 | 58.4¢ |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | Geopolitics | Yes | $182 | 91.0¢ |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Geopolitics | Yes | $136 | 85.1¢ |
| Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Politics | Yes | $82 | 35.5¢ |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Politics | No | $70 | 70.0¢ |
| Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Politics | Yes | $35 | 46.9¢ |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Politics | Yes | $23 | 28.5¢ |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Science | Yes | $8 | 8.0¢ |
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$559 @ 58.4¢
- Yes$182 @ 91.0¢
- Yes$136 @ 85.1¢
- Yes$82 @ 35.5¢
- No$70 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$35 @ 46.9¢
- Yes$23 @ 28.5¢
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?ScienceYes$8 @ 8.0¢