0x296b…a965

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x296b267127e6dca893cfe8ff74e54cb8f63ba965
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+9.7pp

ROI

+16%

Win rate

81% @ 71.5¢

Brier

0.124

Resolved

303

Avg size

$34

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	74% (90/121)	+9%	121
Crypto	74% (14/19)	+29%	19
Sports	100% (9/9)	+21%	9
Culture	33% (1/3)	+19%	3
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Science	100% (1/1)	+61%	1

Other121 bets
Hit rate
74% (90/121)
ROI
+9%
Crypto19 bets
Hit rate
74% (14/19)
ROI
+29%
Sports9 bets
Hit rate
100% (9/9)
ROI
+21%
Culture3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+19%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Science1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+61%

Track record

75% hit · 115/154

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Sunoco (SUN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$3	33.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13?	No	$26	85.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 18?	No	$36	89.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September?	No	$42	83.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?	No	$18	87.0¢	Won
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?	Yes	$0	4.7¢	Lost
Will Amplitude (AMPL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$7	74.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?	No	$642	76.6¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 11?	No	$45	89.0¢	Won
Will XRP reach $3.40 in November?	No	$80	80.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 December 8-14?	No	$42	84.0¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $215 before 2026??	No	$44	88.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?	No	$43	86.0¢	Won
Will Palantir Technologies (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$8	82.0¢	Won
Will Tesla (TSLA) hit $505 before 2026??	No	$85	85.0¢	Won
S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?	Yes	$20	39.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?	No	$52	74.9¢	Won
Will T-Mobile (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$16	80.0¢	Lost
Will Toast (TOST) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$7	69.0¢	Won
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?	No	$78	78.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	$84	70.7¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?	No	$51	85.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?	No	$40	81.0¢	Won
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	$300	75.3¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 December 8-14?	No	$22	75.0¢	Won
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$17	83.0¢	Won
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?	No	$58	58.0¢	Lost
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	$123	76.6¢	Won
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$14	86.0¢	Won
Will XRP dip to $1.80 in November?	Yes	$44	44.0¢	Lost
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	$12	10.3¢	Lost
Will Micron Tech (MU) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?	Yes	$9	87.0¢	Won
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$42	84.0¢	Won
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?	No	$419	87.8¢	Won
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	$59	13.0¢	Won
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?	No	$35	88.0¢	Won
Will Papa John’s International (PZZA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$4	79.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	$94	85.0¢	Won
Will Franklin Resources (BEN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$7	66.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	$15	59.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on October 9?	Yes	$79	79.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 9?	No	$43	87.0¢	Won
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?	Yes	$3	25.0¢	Lost
Will BNB reach $950 in December?	No	$86	86.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	$73	73.0¢	Won
Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$8	83.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 12?	No	$45	89.0¢	Won
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	Yes	$9	85.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $124,000 September 29-October 5?	Yes	$19	6.3¢	Won
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	$135	83.8¢	Lost

Will Sunoco (SUN) beat quarterly earnings?Lost
Yes$3 @ 33.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13?Won
No$26 @ 85.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 18?Won
No$36 @ 89.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September?Won
No$42 @ 83.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?Won
No$18 @ 87.0¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 4.7¢
Will Amplitude (AMPL) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$7 @ 74.0¢
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?Won
No$642 @ 76.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 11?Won
No$45 @ 89.0¢
Will XRP reach $3.40 in November?Won
No$80 @ 80.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 December 8-14?Lost
No$42 @ 84.0¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $215 before 2026??Won
No$44 @ 88.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Won
No$43 @ 86.0¢
Will Palantir Technologies (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$8 @ 82.0¢
Will Tesla (TSLA) hit $505 before 2026??Won
No$85 @ 85.0¢
S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?Won
Yes$20 @ 39.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?Won
No$52 @ 74.9¢
Will T-Mobile (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings?Lost
Yes$16 @ 80.0¢
Will Toast (TOST) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$7 @ 69.0¢
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?Lost
No$78 @ 78.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?Won
Yes$84 @ 70.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?Won
No$51 @ 85.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?Won
No$40 @ 81.0¢
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?Won
No$300 @ 75.3¢
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 December 8-14?Won
No$22 @ 75.0¢
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$17 @ 83.0¢
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?Lost
No$58 @ 58.0¢
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?Won
No$123 @ 76.6¢
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$14 @ 86.0¢
Will XRP dip to $1.80 in November?Lost
Yes$44 @ 44.0¢
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Lost
Yes$12 @ 10.3¢
Will Micron Tech (MU) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?Won
Yes$9 @ 87.0¢
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$42 @ 84.0¢
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?Won
No$419 @ 87.8¢
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?Won
No$59 @ 13.0¢
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?Won
No$35 @ 88.0¢
Will Papa John’s International (PZZA) beat quarterly earnings?Lost
Yes$4 @ 79.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Won
No$94 @ 85.0¢
Will Franklin Resources (BEN) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$7 @ 66.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Won
No$15 @ 59.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on October 9?Lost
Yes$79 @ 79.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 9?Won
No$43 @ 87.0¢
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?Lost
Yes$3 @ 25.0¢
Will BNB reach $950 in December?Won
No$86 @ 86.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Won
Yes$73 @ 73.0¢
Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$8 @ 83.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 12?Won
No$45 @ 89.0¢
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?Won
Yes$9 @ 85.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $124,000 September 29-October 5?Won
Yes$19 @ 6.3¢
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Lost
Yes$135 @ 83.8¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$476	69.8¢
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$472	86.9¢
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?	Crypto	No	$268	68.1¢
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$241	64.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$230	92.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$180	90.0¢
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?	Crypto	No	$176	86.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$158	79.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$137	91.0¢
Will XRP reach $3.80 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$120	93.7¢
Trump out as President before 2027?	Politics	No	$119	91.7¢
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$112	70.5¢
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$96	96.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$87	51.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$87	87.0¢
XRP all time high by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$76	62.2¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Politics	No	$61	87.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$59	59.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$45	45.0¢
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$37	92.0¢
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	Crypto	Yes	$34	57.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?	Other	No	$34	68.0¢
Will XRP reach $4.20 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$31	89.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$29	90.0¢
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Crypto	No	$23	77.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Politics	Yes	$23	46.0¢
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Crypto	No	$23	45.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Politics	Yes	$21	41.0¢
Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$17	69.0¢
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$16	87.0¢

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$476 @ 69.8¢
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$472 @ 86.9¢
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?Crypto
No$268 @ 68.1¢
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$241 @ 64.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$230 @ 92.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$180 @ 90.0¢
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Crypto
No$176 @ 86.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$158 @ 79.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$137 @ 91.0¢
Will XRP reach $3.80 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$120 @ 93.7¢
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics
No$119 @ 91.7¢
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Crypto
Yes$112 @ 70.5¢
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$96 @ 96.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$87 @ 51.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$87 @ 87.0¢
XRP all time high by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$76 @ 62.2¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics
No$61 @ 87.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$59 @ 59.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$45 @ 45.0¢
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? Crypto
No$37 @ 92.0¢
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Crypto
Yes$34 @ 57.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?Other
No$34 @ 68.0¢
Will XRP reach $4.20 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$31 @ 89.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$29 @ 90.0¢
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Crypto
No$23 @ 77.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
Yes$23 @ 46.0¢
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Crypto
No$23 @ 45.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics
Yes$21 @ 41.0¢
Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$17 @ 69.0¢
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$16 @ 87.0¢