0x28a0…9884

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x28a07344a49830d6f0274fe57dc41bfcbd929884
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.6pp

ROI

+10%

Win rate

36% @ 32.6¢

Brier

0.112

Resolved

3889

Avg size

$51

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	48% (92/190)	+10%	190
Sports	33% (2/6)	+20%	6
Politics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Other190 bets
Hit rate
48% (92/190)
ROI
+10%
Sports6 bets
Hit rate
33% (2/6)
ROI
+20%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Track record

47% hit · 94/198

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will $TRUMP hit $25B FDV by Sunday?	No	$100	24.0¢	Lost
Will $TRUMP hit $25B FDV by Sunday?	Yes	$1.0k	72.8¢	Won
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 14-21?	Yes	$7.0k	59.9¢	Won
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$455	16.9¢	Lost
Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	$126	29.5¢	Won
Will Powell say "immigrant" or "immigration" during January press conference?	No	$3	72.0¢	Lost
Will Elon tweet less than 450 times March 7-14?	No	$528	72.8¢	Won
Will Elon tweet less than 450 times March 7-14?	Yes	$3.7k	18.3¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	No	$541	88.5¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Group B	Bounty Hunters Esports	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Group B	Imperial	$30	67.3¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$434	63.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$195	18.4¢	Lost
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?	No	$2.6k	74.3¢	Won
Will Elon tweet 700-724 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 7-14?	No	$155	89.9¢	Won
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 7-14?	Yes	$910	10.8¢	Lost
Will Kai and Speed take 50-74 attempts to beat Fortnite?	Yes	$438	24.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?	Yes	$62	6.2¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Kentucky visit?	No	$86	88.8¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?	Yes	$2.0k	47.3¢	Won
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?	No	$82	0.8¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?	Yes	$42	2.4¢	Lost
Will Elon tweet 850-874 times Feb 7-14?	No	$3.8k	78.8¢	Lost
Will Elon tweet 850-874 times Feb 7-14?	Yes	$1.2k	26.1¢	Won
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?	SD	$27	26.5¢	Lost
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Under	$39	56.8¢	Won
Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28?	Yes	$1.8k	41.4¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $81000 and $83000 on Mar 21?	Yes	$75	3.2¢	Lost
Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 14-21?	No	$781	85.6¢	Won
Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 14-21?	Yes	$1.0k	14.4¢	Lost
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?	No	$2.8k	80.7¢	Won
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?	Yes	$2.2k	20.6¢	Lost
Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Feb 28 - March 7?	No	$1.1k	85.8¢	Won
Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Feb 28 - March 7?	Yes	$116	14.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	Yes	$66	84.9¢	Won
Will Elon Musk tweet 600-649 times February 7-14?	No	$2.6k	81.3¢	Won
Will Elon Musk tweet 600-649 times February 7-14?	Yes	$354	13.8¢	Lost
Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?	Yes	$735	24.0¢	Won
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?	No	$130	0.2¢	Lost
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2	2.1¢	Lost
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 21-28?	Yes	$7.0k	83.4¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	Yes	$375	7.1¢	Lost
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$225	2.7¢	Lost
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 7-14?	Yes	$305	8.1¢	Lost
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?	Yes	$288	48.2¢	Won
Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?	No	$180	71.5¢	Won
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 28 - March 7?	No	$1.3k	83.6¢	Won
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 28 - March 7?	Yes	$144	12.6¢	Lost
Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 28 - March 7?	Yes	$2.2k	42.0¢	Won

Will $TRUMP hit $25B FDV by Sunday?Lost
No$100 @ 24.0¢
Will $TRUMP hit $25B FDV by Sunday?Won
Yes$1.0k @ 72.8¢
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 14-21?Won
Yes$7.0k @ 59.9¢
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Lost
Yes$455 @ 16.9¢
Fight to Go the Distance?Won
Yes$126 @ 29.5¢
Will Powell say "immigrant" or "immigration" during January press conference?Lost
No$3 @ 72.0¢
Will Elon tweet less than 450 times March 7-14?Won
No$528 @ 72.8¢
Will Elon tweet less than 450 times March 7-14?Lost
Yes$3.7k @ 18.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Won
No$541 @ 88.5¢
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Group BLost
Bounty Hunters Esports$1 @ 1.0¢
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Group BWon
Imperial$30 @ 67.3¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$434 @ 63.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$195 @ 18.4¢
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?Won
No$2.6k @ 74.3¢
Will Elon tweet 700-724 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 7-14?Won
No$155 @ 89.9¢
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 7-14?Lost
Yes$910 @ 10.8¢
Will Kai and Speed take 50-74 attempts to beat Fortnite?Lost
Yes$438 @ 24.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?Lost
Yes$62 @ 6.2¢
Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Kentucky visit?Won
No$86 @ 88.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?Won
Yes$2.0k @ 47.3¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?Lost
No$82 @ 0.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?Lost
Yes$42 @ 2.4¢
Will Elon tweet 850-874 times Feb 7-14?Lost
No$3.8k @ 78.8¢
Will Elon tweet 850-874 times Feb 7-14?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 26.1¢
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?Lost
SD$27 @ 26.5¢
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Won
Under$39 @ 56.8¢
Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28?Won
Yes$1.8k @ 41.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $81000 and $83000 on Mar 21?Lost
Yes$75 @ 3.2¢
Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 14-21?Won
No$781 @ 85.6¢
Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 14-21?Lost
Yes$1.0k @ 14.4¢
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?Won
No$2.8k @ 80.7¢
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?Lost
Yes$2.2k @ 20.6¢
Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Feb 28 - March 7?Won
No$1.1k @ 85.8¢
Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Feb 28 - March 7?Lost
Yes$116 @ 14.0¢
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?Won
Yes$66 @ 84.9¢
Will Elon Musk tweet 600-649 times February 7-14?Won
No$2.6k @ 81.3¢
Will Elon Musk tweet 600-649 times February 7-14?Lost
Yes$354 @ 13.8¢
Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?Won
Yes$735 @ 24.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?Lost
No$130 @ 0.2¢
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.1¢
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 21-28?Won
Yes$7.0k @ 83.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$375 @ 7.1¢
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$225 @ 2.7¢
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 7-14?Lost
Yes$305 @ 8.1¢
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?Won
Yes$288 @ 48.2¢
Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?Won
No$180 @ 71.5¢
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 28 - March 7?Won
No$1.3k @ 83.6¢
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 28 - March 7?Lost
Yes$144 @ 12.6¢
Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 28 - March 7?Won
Yes$2.2k @ 42.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Sports	Team Falcons	$45	45.0¢

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsSports
Team Falcons$45 @ 45.0¢