0x282d…8a32

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x282da00220a504266eb5b175581a4631c8c08a32
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+11.9pp

ROI

+9%

Win rate

50% @ 38.1¢

Brier

0.176

Resolved

142

Avg size

$16

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	41% (23/56)	+4%	56
Sports	64% (25/39)	+16%	39

Other56 bets
Hit rate
41% (23/56)
ROI
+4%
Sports39 bets
Hit rate
64% (25/39)
ROI
+16%

Track record

51% hit · 48/95

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Mali win on 2025-12-26?	Yes	$3	12.0¢	Lost
No airdrop in 2025?	Yes	$16	10.0¢	Lost
Will Algeria win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?	Yes	$10	15.0¢	Lost
Will Russia win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	$20	70.0¢	Lost
Will Kosovo vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	$10	28.0¢	Won
Will Latvia vs. Cyprus end in a draw?	Yes	$5	44.0¢	Won
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?	Yes	$121	62.9¢	Won
Will Malta vs. Andorra end in a draw?	Yes	$5	19.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 28?	No	$5	23.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 28?	Yes	$25	39.0¢	Won
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	$25	71.0¢	Won
Will Morocco vs. Mali end in a draw?	Yes	$4	27.6¢	Won
Will Republic of Ireland vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	$10	30.0¢	Won
Will Denmark vs. Portugal end in a draw?	Yes	$10	26.0¢	Lost
Will Angola vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	$10	33.0¢	Won
Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	$10	49.0¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	$102	69.0¢	Lost
Will Tunisia vs. Botswana end in a draw?	Yes	$5	24.0¢	Won
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?	Yes	$30	25.9¢	Won
Will Ivory Coast win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?	Yes	$10	11.0¢	Lost
Will Hungary win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	$15	43.0¢	Won
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	$5	24.0¢	Lost
Will Zimbabwe win on 2025-12-29?	Yes	$5	17.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 4?	Yes	$20	35.9¢	Lost
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?	No	$2	25.0¢	Won
Will Sudan win on 2025-12-24?	Yes	$2	7.0¢	Lost
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	$31	29.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 1-7?	No	$5	57.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 1-7?	Yes	$5	47.0¢	Lost
Will Zambia win on 2025-12-26?	Yes	$14	27.2¢	Lost
Kinetiq FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	$15	6.0¢	Lost
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2025-12-27?	Yes	$25	67.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 28?	No	$15	7.0¢	Lost
Will DR Congo win on 2025-12-27?	Yes	$12	12.1¢	Lost
Will Madagascar vs. Tanzania end in a draw?	Yes	$5	34.0¢	Won
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-24?	Yes	$41	78.0¢	Won
Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	$102	63.0¢	Won
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	$16	27.0¢	Won
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?	No	$51	10.1¢	Lost
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?	Yes	$6	11.5¢	Won
Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	$34	82.5¢	Won
Will Algeria vs. Niger end in a draw?	Yes	$52	31.0¢	Lost
Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?	Yes	$40	35.0¢	Lost
Will Georgia win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	$18	41.0¢	Lost
Will Gabon win on 2025-12-24?	Yes	$21	16.8¢	Lost
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-30?	Yes	$25	79.0¢	Won
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?	Yes	$1	2.6¢	Lost
Will Uganda win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	$10	49.1¢	Won
Will Burkina Faso vs. Equatorial Guinea end in a draw?	No	$59	64.0¢	Won
Will Burkina Faso vs. Equatorial Guinea end in a draw?	Yes	$25	28.2¢	Lost

Will Mali win on 2025-12-26?Lost
Yes$3 @ 12.0¢
No airdrop in 2025?Lost
Yes$16 @ 10.0¢
Will Algeria win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?Lost
Yes$10 @ 15.0¢
Will Russia win on 2026-10-06?Lost
Yes$20 @ 70.0¢
Will Kosovo vs. Austria end in a draw?Won
Yes$10 @ 28.0¢
Will Latvia vs. Cyprus end in a draw?Won
Yes$5 @ 44.0¢
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?Won
Yes$121 @ 62.9¢
Will Malta vs. Andorra end in a draw?Lost
Yes$5 @ 19.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 28?Lost
No$5 @ 23.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 28?Won
Yes$25 @ 39.0¢
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-10-04?Won
Yes$25 @ 71.0¢
Will Morocco vs. Mali end in a draw?Won
Yes$4 @ 27.6¢
Will Republic of Ireland vs. Austria end in a draw?Won
Yes$10 @ 30.0¢
Will Denmark vs. Portugal end in a draw?Lost
Yes$10 @ 26.0¢
Will Angola vs. Egypt end in a draw?Won
Yes$10 @ 33.0¢
Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28?Won
Yes$10 @ 49.0¢
Will France win on 2026-10-02?Lost
Yes$102 @ 69.0¢
Will Tunisia vs. Botswana end in a draw?Won
Yes$5 @ 24.0¢
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?Won
Yes$30 @ 25.9¢
Will Ivory Coast win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?Lost
Yes$10 @ 11.0¢
Will Hungary win on 2026-10-02?Won
Yes$15 @ 43.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?Lost
Yes$5 @ 24.0¢
Will Zimbabwe win on 2025-12-29?Lost
Yes$5 @ 17.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 4?Lost
Yes$20 @ 35.9¢
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?Won
No$2 @ 25.0¢
Will Sudan win on 2025-12-24?Lost
Yes$2 @ 7.0¢
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-10-05?Won
Yes$31 @ 29.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 1-7?Won
No$5 @ 57.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 1-7?Lost
Yes$5 @ 47.0¢
Will Zambia win on 2025-12-26?Lost
Yes$14 @ 27.2¢
Kinetiq FDV above $100M one day after launch?Lost
No$15 @ 6.0¢
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2025-12-27?Won
Yes$25 @ 67.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 28?Lost
No$15 @ 7.0¢
Will DR Congo win on 2025-12-27?Lost
Yes$12 @ 12.1¢
Will Madagascar vs. Tanzania end in a draw?Won
Yes$5 @ 34.0¢
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-24?Won
Yes$41 @ 78.0¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?Won
Yes$102 @ 63.0¢
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Sweden end in a draw?Won
Yes$16 @ 27.0¢
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?Lost
No$51 @ 10.1¢
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?Won
Yes$6 @ 11.5¢
Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?Won
Yes$34 @ 82.5¢
Will Algeria vs. Niger end in a draw?Lost
Yes$52 @ 31.0¢
Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?Lost
Yes$40 @ 35.0¢
Will Georgia win on 2026-09-28?Lost
Yes$18 @ 41.0¢
Will Gabon win on 2025-12-24?Lost
Yes$21 @ 16.8¢
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-30?Won
Yes$25 @ 79.0¢
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.6¢
Will Uganda win on 2026-09-29?Won
Yes$10 @ 49.1¢
Will Burkina Faso vs. Equatorial Guinea end in a draw?Won
No$59 @ 64.0¢
Will Burkina Faso vs. Equatorial Guinea end in a draw?Lost
Yes$25 @ 28.2¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will France win on 2026-10-02?	Sports	Yes	$100	69.0¢
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-04?	Sports	Yes	$80	46.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?	—	Yes	$50	68.0¢
Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?	—	Yes	$41	75.9¢
Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?	—	Yes	$40	35.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 8?	—	Yes	$25	42.0¢
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on November 28?	—	Yes	$25	22.0¢
Will Gabon win on 2025-12-24?	—	Yes	$21	16.8¢
Will Russia win on 2026-10-06?	Sports	Yes	$20	70.0¢
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-26?	—	Yes	$20	62.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 4?	—	Yes	$20	35.9¢
Will Georgia win on 2026-09-28?	Sports	Yes	$17	41.0¢
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-26?	—	Yes	$16	66.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 29?	—	Yes	$15	27.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 28?	—	No	$15	7.0¢
Will Zambia win on 2025-12-26?	—	Yes	$14	27.2¢
Will Comoros win on 2025-12-26?	—	Yes	$13	32.0¢
Will Eritrea vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Sports	Yes	$11	16.0¢
Will FC Lorient vs. Paris FC end in a draw?	Sports	Yes	$10	29.0¢
Will Denmark vs. Portugal end in a draw?	Sports	Yes	$10	26.0¢
Will Algeria win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?	—	Yes	$10	15.0¢
Will Ivory Coast win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?	—	Yes	$10	11.0¢
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?	—	No	$6	1.5¢
Will Burkina Faso vs. Equatorial Guinea end in a draw?	—	Yes	$5	20.7¢
Will Mozambique vs. Sudan end in a draw?	Sports	Yes	$5	28.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Sports	Yes	$5	24.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 28?	—	No	$5	23.0¢
Will Sudan win on 2025-12-24?	—	Yes	$2	7.0¢

Will France win on 2026-10-02?Sports
Yes$100 @ 69.0¢
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-04?Sports
Yes$80 @ 46.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?—
Yes$50 @ 68.0¢
Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?—
Yes$41 @ 75.9¢
Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?—
Yes$40 @ 35.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 8?—
Yes$25 @ 42.0¢
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on November 28?—
Yes$25 @ 22.0¢
Will Gabon win on 2025-12-24?—
Yes$21 @ 16.8¢
Will Russia win on 2026-10-06?Sports
Yes$20 @ 70.0¢
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-26?—
Yes$20 @ 62.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 4?—
Yes$20 @ 35.9¢
Will Georgia win on 2026-09-28?Sports
Yes$17 @ 41.0¢
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-26?—
Yes$16 @ 66.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 29?—
Yes$15 @ 27.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 28?—
No$15 @ 7.0¢
Will Zambia win on 2025-12-26?—
Yes$14 @ 27.2¢
Will Comoros win on 2025-12-26?—
Yes$13 @ 32.0¢
Will Eritrea vs. South Africa end in a draw?Sports
Yes$11 @ 16.0¢
Will FC Lorient vs. Paris FC end in a draw?Sports
Yes$10 @ 29.0¢
Will Denmark vs. Portugal end in a draw?Sports
Yes$10 @ 26.0¢
Will Algeria win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?—
Yes$10 @ 15.0¢
Will Ivory Coast win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?—
Yes$10 @ 11.0¢
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? —
No$6 @ 1.5¢
Will Burkina Faso vs. Equatorial Guinea end in a draw?—
Yes$5 @ 20.7¢
Will Mozambique vs. Sudan end in a draw?Sports
Yes$5 @ 28.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?Sports
Yes$5 @ 24.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 28?—
No$5 @ 23.0¢
Will Sudan win on 2025-12-24?—
Yes$2 @ 7.0¢