0x2821…a869

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x2821809f644fc0aa36109808c150b4d4b80ca869
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+31.1pp

ROI

+65%

Win rate

78% @ 46.6¢

Brier

0.245

Resolved

153

Avg size

$132

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	65% (13/20)	+64%	20
Politics	33% (1/3)	-53%	3
Sports	100% (1/1)	+104%	1

Other20 bets
Hit rate
65% (13/20)
ROI
+64%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-53%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+104%

Track record

63% hit · 15/24

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$29	28.7¢	Lost
Nets vs. Lakers	Lakers	$303	82.0¢	Won
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?	No	$5	6.6¢	Lost
Mariners vs. Blue Jays	Blue Jays	$904	54.0¢	Won
Bears vs. Eagles	Bears	$20	26.0¢	Won
Pelicans vs. Grizzlies	Pelicans	$213	19.0¢	Lost
Thunder vs. 76ers	Thunder	$870	87.0¢	Won
Rockets vs. Thunder	Rockets	$1.7k	30.1¢	Lost
Cavaliers vs. 76ers	76ers	$440	21.0¢	Won
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 1.5	Over	$39	83.0¢	Won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	$1.3k	81.0¢	Won
Giants vs. Patriots	Giants	$77	24.0¢	Lost
Heat vs. Clippers	Clippers	$380	74.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?	No	$12	80.0¢	Lost
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?	Yes	$9.3k	46.0¢	Won
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals	San Diego Padres	$864	49.0¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	$13	49.6¢	Won
Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	$936	72.0¢	Lost
Kings vs. Red Wings	Red Wings	$862	43.0¢	Won
Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	$465	31.0¢	Lost
Nets vs. Clippers	Clippers	$174	86.0¢	Won
Hornets vs. Suns	Suns	$1.2k	71.0¢	Won
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	$67	70.0¢	Lost
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$50	74.0¢	Won

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$29 @ 28.7¢
Nets vs. LakersWon
Lakers$303 @ 82.0¢
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Lost
No$5 @ 6.6¢
Mariners vs. Blue JaysWon
Blue Jays$904 @ 54.0¢
Bears vs. EaglesWon
Bears$20 @ 26.0¢
Pelicans vs. GrizzliesLost
Pelicans$213 @ 19.0¢
Thunder vs. 76ersWon
Thunder$870 @ 87.0¢
Rockets vs. ThunderLost
Rockets$1.7k @ 30.1¢
Cavaliers vs. 76ersWon
76ers$440 @ 21.0¢
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 1.5Won
Over$39 @ 83.0¢
Pistons vs. CavaliersWon
Cavaliers$1.3k @ 81.0¢
Giants vs. PatriotsLost
Giants$77 @ 24.0¢
Heat vs. ClippersWon
Clippers$380 @ 74.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?Lost
No$12 @ 80.0¢
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?Won
Yes$9.3k @ 46.0¢
San Diego Padres vs. Washington NationalsWon
San Diego Padres$864 @ 49.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Won
Yes$13 @ 49.6¢
Pistons vs. KnicksLost
Knicks$936 @ 72.0¢
Kings vs. Red WingsWon
Red Wings$862 @ 43.0¢
Knicks vs. 76ersLost
76ers$465 @ 31.0¢
Nets vs. ClippersWon
Clippers$174 @ 86.0¢
Hornets vs. SunsWon
Suns$1.2k @ 71.0¢
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Lost
Yes$67 @ 70.0¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Won
Yes$50 @ 74.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$54	40.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$29	28.7¢

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
Yes$54 @ 40.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$29 @ 28.7¢