0x280f…1963

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x280f44c76822f4bff0b11d25a5f1f414102d1963
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+11.6pp

ROI

+6%

Win rate

65% @ 53.2¢

Brier

0.144

Resolved

1430

Avg size

$17

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	13% (19/149)	+52%	149
Other	37% (43/116)	+0%	116
Crypto	50% (1/2)	+90%	2

Politics149 bets
Hit rate
13% (19/149)
ROI
+52%
Other116 bets
Hit rate
37% (43/116)
ROI
+0%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+90%

Track record

24% hit · 63/267

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	$7	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	$7	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	$7	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	$7	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	$7	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	$7	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	$7	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	$7	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	$7	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	$7	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	$7	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	$7	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	$7	1.7¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	$7	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	$7	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	$7	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	$7	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	$7	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	$7	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	$7	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	$7	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	$7	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	$7	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	$7	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	$7	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	$7	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	$7	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	$7	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	$7	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	$7	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	$5	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	$5	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	$5	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	$5	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	$5	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	$5	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	$5	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	$5	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	$5	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	$5	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	$5	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	$5	1.7¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	$5	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	$5	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	$7	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	$5	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	$7	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	$5	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	$7	1.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	$5	1.7¢	Lost

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Won
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Won
Yes$5 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.7¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$200	50.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$14	14.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$11	4.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$7	1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$7	1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$7	1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$7	1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$7	1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$7	1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$7	1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$7	1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$7	1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$7	1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$7	1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$7	1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$7	1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$7	1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$7	1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$7	1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$7	1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$7	1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$7	1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$7	1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$7	1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$7	1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$7	1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$7	1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$7	1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$7	1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$7	1.7¢

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?Politics
Yes$200 @ 50.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
Yes$14 @ 14.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?Politics
Yes$11 @ 4.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?Politics
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?Politics
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?Politics
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?Politics
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?Politics
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?Politics
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?Politics
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?Politics
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?Politics
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?Politics
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?Politics
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?Politics
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?Politics
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?Politics
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?Politics
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?Politics
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?Politics
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?Politics
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?Politics
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?Politics
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?Politics
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?Politics
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?Politics
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?Politics
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?Politics
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?Politics
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?Politics
Yes$7 @ 1.7¢