← Smart money
0x277e…7d32
SharpEdge
+16.3pp
ROI
+19%
Win rate
83% @ 66.9¢
Brier
0.118
Resolved
311
Avg size
$118
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 76% (16/21) | +20% | 21 |
| Geopolitics | 75% (3/4) | +17% | 4 |
| Tech | 33% (1/3) | -46% | 3 |
| Politics | 100% (3/3) | +29% | 3 |
| Crypto | 100% (3/3) | +33% | 3 |
| Sports | 100% (1/1) | +29% | 1 |
- Other21 bets
- Hit rate
- 76% (16/21)
- ROI
- +20%
- Geopolitics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (3/4)
- ROI
- +17%
- Tech3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- -46%
- Politics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (3/3)
- ROI
- +29%
- Crypto3 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (3/3)
- ROI
- +33%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +29%
Track record
77% hit · 27/35- No$840 @ 84.0¢
- No$445 @ 89.0¢
- No$839 @ 83.3¢
- Yes$420 @ 84.0¢
- No$651 @ 72.3¢
- Yes$380 @ 38.0¢
- No$3.9k @ 77.8¢
- No$425 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$405 @ 36.8¢
- Yes$747 @ 59.8¢
- Yes$34 @ 8.5¢
- Yes$800 @ 80.0¢
- No$1.5k @ 72.8¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 77.3¢
- Yes$305 @ 60.9¢
- Yes$165 @ 82.5¢
- Yes$350 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$265 @ 74.4¢
- Yes$907 @ 82.4¢
- No$5.8k @ 77.2¢
- Yes$997 @ 76.8¢
- Yes$516 @ 51.6¢
- Yes$2.8k @ 78.9¢
- No$420 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$350 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$460 @ 18.4¢
- Yes$679 @ 42.4¢
- Yes$399 @ 39.9¢
- Yes$117 @ 29.3¢
- Yes$4.1k @ 86.6¢
- No$293 @ 58.6¢
- No$870 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$90 @ 89.6¢
- Yes$1.9k @ 76.4¢
- No$1.3k @ 86.3¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$22.9k @ 69.3¢
- Yes$11.4k @ 92.9¢
- No$9.2k @ 83.6¢
- Yes$5.9k @ 74.1¢
- Yes$5.2k @ 64.9¢
- No$3.7k @ 74.8¢
- Yes$3.7k @ 73.0¢
- Yes$3.3k @ 82.7¢
- Kash Patel out by June 30?PoliticsNo$1.9k @ 95.0¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 23.1¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 34.0¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 69.9¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 39.4¢
- No$807 @ 80.7¢
- No$767 @ 80.1¢
- Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsYes$706 @ 70.6¢
- Yes$550 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$395 @ 19.7¢
- Yes$320 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$290 @ 58.0¢
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?ScienceYes$98 @ 9.8¢