0x277e…7d32

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x277e6718cdf00f4f887d17589895ae031a337d32
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.6pp

ROI

+7%

Win rate

71% @ 66.2¢

Brier

0.163

Resolved

1539

Avg size

$151

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	73% (120/164)	+14%	164
Politics	63% (12/19)	-26%	19
Crypto	77% (10/13)	-9%	13
Geopolitics	86% (6/7)	+18%	7
Tech	67% (4/6)	-17%	6
Economy	83% (5/6)	-29%	6
Sports	80% (4/5)	+18%	5

Other164 bets
Hit rate
73% (120/164)
ROI
+14%
Politics19 bets
Hit rate
63% (12/19)
ROI
-26%
Crypto13 bets
Hit rate
77% (10/13)
ROI
-9%
Geopolitics7 bets
Hit rate
86% (6/7)
ROI
+18%
Tech6 bets
Hit rate
67% (4/6)
ROI
-17%
Economy6 bets
Hit rate
83% (5/6)
ROI
-29%
Sports5 bets
Hit rate
80% (4/5)
ROI
+18%

Track record

73% hit · 161/220

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	$6.9k	96.3¢	Lost
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	Yes	$684	82.7¢	Won
Will Solana dip to $130 in November?	Yes	$368	61.3¢	Won
Warriors vs. Spurs	Warriors	$83	83.0¢	Won
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?	Yes	$120	60.0¢	Won
Buccaneers vs. Panthers	Buccaneers	$55	55.0¢	Lost
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?	Yes	$572	71.5¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of February?	Yes	$52	40.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?	Yes	$401	50.2¢	Won
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?	Yes	$2.6k	59.6¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?	Yes	$44	88.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$840	84.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?	Yes	$650	65.0¢	Won
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	No	$445	89.0¢	Won
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	Yes	$272	68.0¢	Lost
Will Solana reach $100 in April?	No	$839	83.3¢	Won
Will Solana dip to $170 in November?	Yes	$317	79.2¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?	No	$146	77.0¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?	Yes	$1.0k	70.1¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?	No	$392	78.5¢	Lost
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	$151	50.3¢	Won
Will Solana reach $120 in February?	No	$1.3k	84.9¢	Won
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	Gold	$3.8k	69.1¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.3k	86.7¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$834	83.4¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?	Yes	$316	63.2¢	Won
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	Yes	$805	80.5¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?	Yes	$33	33.0¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	$420	84.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?	No	$651	72.3¢	Won
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	$284	57.0¢	Lost
Vikings vs. Giants	Vikings	$50	50.0¢	Won
Falcons vs. Cardinals	Cardinals	$48	48.0¢	Lost
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by March 15?	No	$61	70.0¢	Won
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$570	57.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?	Yes	$159	31.8¢	Won
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $335 before 2026??	Yes	$552	69.1¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?	No	$1.2k	78.0¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	$1.1k	47.6¢	Won
Will Solana reach $110 in March?	No	$861	86.1¢	Won
Will Google dip to $300 in January?	No	$400	80.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$380	38.0¢	Lost
Packers vs. Broncos	Broncos	$45	45.0¢	Won
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)	Patriots	$51	51.0¢	Won
Will Solana reach $230 in November?	No	$1	78.0¢	Won
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$204	40.8¢	Won
Will Solana reach $170 in January?	No	$800	80.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	No	$3.4k	69.0¢	Won
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$1.0k	49.0¢	Won
US government shutdown Saturday?	No	$510	51.0¢	Lost

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$6.9k @ 96.3¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Won
Yes$684 @ 82.7¢
Will Solana dip to $130 in November?Won
Yes$368 @ 61.3¢
Warriors vs. SpursWon
Warriors$83 @ 83.0¢
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?Won
Yes$120 @ 60.0¢
Buccaneers vs. PanthersLost
Buccaneers$55 @ 55.0¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?Won
Yes$572 @ 71.5¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of February?Won
Yes$52 @ 40.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?Won
Yes$401 @ 50.2¢
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?Lost
Yes$2.6k @ 59.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?Won
Yes$44 @ 88.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$840 @ 84.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?Won
Yes$650 @ 65.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Won
No$445 @ 89.0¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Lost
Yes$272 @ 68.0¢
Will Solana reach $100 in April?Won
No$839 @ 83.3¢
Will Solana dip to $170 in November?Won
Yes$317 @ 79.2¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?Won
No$146 @ 77.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?Lost
Yes$1.0k @ 70.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?Lost
No$392 @ 78.5¢
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?Won
Yes$151 @ 50.3¢
Will Solana reach $120 in February?Won
No$1.3k @ 84.9¢
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?Won
Gold$3.8k @ 69.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$1.3k @ 86.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
No$834 @ 83.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?Won
Yes$316 @ 63.2¢
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Won
Yes$805 @ 80.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$33 @ 33.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$420 @ 84.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?Won
No$651 @ 72.3¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Lost
Yes$284 @ 57.0¢
Vikings vs. GiantsWon
Vikings$50 @ 50.0¢
Falcons vs. CardinalsLost
Cardinals$48 @ 48.0¢
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by March 15?Won
No$61 @ 70.0¢
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$570 @ 57.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?Won
Yes$159 @ 31.8¢
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $335 before 2026??Lost
Yes$552 @ 69.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?Won
No$1.2k @ 78.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Won
Yes$1.1k @ 47.6¢
Will Solana reach $110 in March?Won
No$861 @ 86.1¢
Will Google dip to $300 in January?Won
No$400 @ 80.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$380 @ 38.0¢
Packers vs. BroncosWon
Broncos$45 @ 45.0¢
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)Won
Patriots$51 @ 51.0¢
Will Solana reach $230 in November?Won
No$1 @ 78.0¢
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$204 @ 40.8¢
Will Solana reach $170 in January?Won
No$800 @ 80.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Won
No$3.4k @ 69.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Won
Yes$1.0k @ 49.0¢
US government shutdown Saturday?Lost
No$510 @ 51.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Business	Yes	$12.0k	85.7¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Economy	Yes	$7.4k	73.6¢
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$6.3k	84.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$5.2k	51.5¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Tech	Yes	$5.1k	92.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$4.9k	82.5¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Politics	No	$4.7k	93.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$2.7k	89.0¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$2.2k	22.1¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	Business	Yes	$840	84.0¢

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Business
Yes$12.0k @ 85.7¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy
Yes$7.4k @ 73.6¢
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy
Yes$6.3k @ 84.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$5.2k @ 51.5¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech
Yes$5.1k @ 92.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$4.9k @ 82.5¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics
No$4.7k @ 93.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$2.7k @ 89.0¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$2.2k @ 22.1¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Business
Yes$840 @ 84.0¢