0x277e…7d32

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x277e6718cdf00f4f887d17589895ae031a337d32
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+15.7pp

ROI

+23%

Win rate

85% @ 69.0¢

Brier

0.084

Resolved

137

Avg size

$185

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	73% (30/41)	+9%	41
Politics	64% (7/11)	-23%	11
Geopolitics	86% (6/7)	+18%	7
Crypto	100% (6/6)	+36%	6
Tech	50% (2/4)	-27%	4
Economy	100% (2/2)	+8%	2
Sports	100% (1/1)	+29%	1

Other41 bets
Hit rate
73% (30/41)
ROI
+9%
Politics11 bets
Hit rate
64% (7/11)
ROI
-23%
Geopolitics7 bets
Hit rate
86% (6/7)
ROI
+18%
Crypto6 bets
Hit rate
100% (6/6)
ROI
+36%
Tech4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
-27%
Economy2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+8%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+29%

Track record

75% hit · 54/72

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$2.3k	75.0¢	Lost
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	$115	69.0¢	Won
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	$332	85.0¢	Won
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	$2.5k	83.1¢	Won
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	$480	48.0¢	Won
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	$1.1k	59.0¢	Lost
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	$1.9k	95.0¢	Won
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	$298	59.5¢	Won
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$114	22.8¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	$721	88.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$284	56.8¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	$11.1k	92.8¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	$420	84.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?	Yes	$410	41.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?	Yes	$2.5k	68.0¢	Won
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	$405	26.4¢	Lost
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	$450	98.6¢	Won
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?	Yes	$440	69.9¢	Won
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	$349	79.0¢	Won
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	$690	69.0¢	Won
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?	Yes	$96	48.0¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.3k	64.0¢	Lost
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$320	32.0¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$9.2k	83.6¢	Won
Kash Patel out by June 30?	No	$1.8k	95.0¢	Won
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	No	$81	81.0¢	Lost
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	Yes	$699	69.9¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$83	76.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$21	53.0¢	Won
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	$1.8k	90.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.4k	71.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	No	$3.7k	74.8¢	Won
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?	No	$767	80.1¢	Won
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$807	80.7¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$800	80.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	$5.2k	64.9¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$840	84.0¢	Won
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	No	$445	89.0¢	Won
Will Solana reach $100 in April?	No	$839	83.3¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	$420	84.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$380	38.0¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$3.9k	77.8¢	Won
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	$225	37.5¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	$747	59.8¢	Won
Will Jason Myers win the Super Bowl LX MVP?	Yes	$34	8.5¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	$1.5k	72.8¢	Won
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$2.3k	77.3¢	Won
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?	Yes	$305	60.9¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$265	74.4¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$5.8k	77.2¢	Won

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$2.3k @ 75.0¢
Fed rate hike in 2026?Won
Yes$115 @ 69.0¢
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Won
No$332 @ 85.0¢
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Won
Yes$2.5k @ 83.1¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Won
Yes$480 @ 48.0¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 59.0¢
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Won
No$1.9k @ 95.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Won
Yes$298 @ 59.5¢
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$114 @ 22.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Won
No$721 @ 88.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$284 @ 56.8¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Won
Yes$11.1k @ 92.8¢
Will France win on 2026-07-04?Won
Yes$420 @ 84.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?Lost
Yes$410 @ 41.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Won
Yes$2.5k @ 68.0¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Lost
Yes$405 @ 26.4¢
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Won
No$450 @ 98.6¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?Won
Yes$440 @ 69.9¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Won
Yes$349 @ 79.0¢
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?Won
Yes$690 @ 69.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?Won
Yes$96 @ 48.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$1.3k @ 64.0¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$320 @ 32.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
No$9.2k @ 83.6¢
Kash Patel out by June 30?Won
No$1.8k @ 95.0¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Lost
No$81 @ 81.0¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Won
Yes$699 @ 69.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$83 @ 76.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$21 @ 53.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Won
No$1.8k @ 90.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$1.4k @ 71.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Won
No$3.7k @ 74.8¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?Won
No$767 @ 80.1¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
No$807 @ 80.7¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$800 @ 80.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Lost
Yes$5.2k @ 64.9¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$840 @ 84.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Won
No$445 @ 89.0¢
Will Solana reach $100 in April?Won
No$839 @ 83.3¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$420 @ 84.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$380 @ 38.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
No$3.9k @ 77.8¢
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Won
Yes$225 @ 37.5¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Won
Yes$747 @ 59.8¢
Will Jason Myers win the Super Bowl LX MVP?Lost
Yes$34 @ 8.5¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Won
No$1.5k @ 72.8¢
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Won
Yes$2.3k @ 77.3¢
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?Won
Yes$305 @ 60.9¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$265 @ 74.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
No$5.8k @ 77.2¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	—	Yes	$7.6k	93.4¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$5.4k	89.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$3.8k	63.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$3.8k	62.7¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Tech	Yes	$3.7k	92.5¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$1.8k	23.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$1.7k	84.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Business	Yes	$1.7k	83.0¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	—	No	$1.6k	95.9¢

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?—
Yes$7.6k @ 93.4¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$5.4k @ 89.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$3.8k @ 63.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$3.8k @ 62.7¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech
Yes$3.7k @ 92.5¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$1.8k @ 23.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$1.7k @ 84.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Business
Yes$1.7k @ 83.0¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?—
No$1.6k @ 95.9¢