← Smart money
0x277e…7d32
SharpEdge
+20.6pp
ROI
+25%
Win rate
86% @ 65.7¢
Brier
0.116
Resolved
175
Avg size
$154
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 77% (17/22) | +19% | 22 |
| Geopolitics | 75% (3/4) | +17% | 4 |
| Tech | 33% (1/3) | -46% | 3 |
| Politics | 100% (3/3) | +29% | 3 |
| Crypto | 100% (3/3) | +33% | 3 |
| Sports | 100% (1/1) | +29% | 1 |
- Other22 bets
- Hit rate
- 77% (17/22)
- ROI
- +19%
- Geopolitics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (3/4)
- ROI
- +17%
- Tech3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- -46%
- Politics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (3/3)
- ROI
- +29%
- Crypto3 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (3/3)
- ROI
- +33%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +29%
Track record
78% hit · 28/36- No$840 @ 84.0¢
- No$445 @ 89.0¢
- No$839 @ 83.3¢
- Yes$420 @ 84.0¢
- No$651 @ 72.3¢
- Yes$380 @ 38.0¢
- No$3.9k @ 77.8¢
- No$425 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$363 @ 40.3¢
- Yes$747 @ 59.8¢
- Yes$34 @ 8.5¢
- No$1.5k @ 72.8¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 77.3¢
- Yes$305 @ 60.9¢
- Yes$265 @ 74.4¢
- No$5.8k @ 77.2¢
- Yes$516 @ 51.6¢
- Yes$2.8k @ 78.9¢
- No$420 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$350 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$399 @ 39.9¢
- Yes$117 @ 29.3¢
- No$211 @ 70.3¢
- No$870 @ 87.0¢
- No$1.3k @ 86.3¢
- No$850 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$165 @ 82.5¢
- Yes$800 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$350 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$907 @ 82.4¢
- Yes$997 @ 76.8¢
- Yes$460 @ 18.4¢
- Yes$679 @ 42.4¢
- Yes$4.1k @ 86.6¢
- Yes$90 @ 89.6¢
- Yes$1.9k @ 76.4¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$21.0k @ 70.0¢
- No$11.5k @ 88.4¢
- Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$9.1k @ 65.1¢
- Yes$4.4k @ 72.8¢
- No$4.0k @ 92.4¢
- Yes$3.6k @ 88.8¢
- Yes$3.5k @ 70.5¢
- Yes$3.3k @ 81.9¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 23.1¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 83.0¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 81.5¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 59.0¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 55.8¢
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?GeopoliticsYes$660 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$342 @ 33.8¢