0x275c…6090

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics81 bets

  Hit rate

  90% (73/81)

  ROI

  +8%

• Other35 bets

  Hit rate

  83% (29/35)

  ROI

  +4%

• Geopolitics20 bets

  Hit rate

  95% (19/20)

  ROI

  +11%

• Sports8 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (8/8)

  ROI

  +18%

• Crypto5 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (5/5)

  ROI

  +16%

• Science1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +22%

• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Won
  No$202 @ 76.0¢
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Won
  No$96 @ 88.0¢
• Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
  No$185 @ 88.4¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Won
  No$206 @ 87.0¢
• Ebola case in the US by June 30?Won
  No$233 @ 82.0¢
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Won
  Yes$994 @ 89.0¢
• S&P 500 all time high by December 31?Lost
  No$748 @ 68.0¢
• Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$236 @ 86.0¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Lost
  Yes$172 @ 78.7¢
• Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
  No$57 @ 84.0¢
• Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Won
  No$106 @ 87.1¢
• Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026?Won
  Yes$34 @ 85.5¢
• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?Won
  No$24 @ 83.5¢
• Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?Won
  Yes$191 @ 89.9¢
• Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?Won
  Yes$207 @ 78.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?Won
  No$207 @ 83.0¢
• Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Won
  No$21 @ 79.8¢
• Will Marcelo Maranata win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?Won
  No$25 @ 88.7¢
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Won
  No$225 @ 87.0¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Won
  No$168 @ 84.0¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Won
  No$201 @ 77.0¢
• Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?Won
  Yes$164 @ 83.9¢
• Will Matt Heilala advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?Won
  No$154 @ 88.0¢
• Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$24 @ 89.7¢
• Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Won
  No$169 @ 82.0¢
• Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Won
  No$30 @ 78.8¢
• Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  No$51 @ 79.1¢
• Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$60 @ 80.0¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Won
  Yes$29 @ 80.0¢
• Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?Won
  No$23 @ 88.6¢
• Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)Won
  Yes$231 @ 87.0¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Won
  No$8 @ 82.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
  No$236 @ 85.0¢
• Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Won
  No$28 @ 76.0¢
• Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$222 @ 90.0¢
• Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Won
  No$155 @ 78.0¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Won
  No$153 @ 77.9¢
• Will Bryce Dettloff win Love Island USA Season 8?Won
  Yes$238 @ 80.7¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Won
  No$20 @ 82.0¢
• Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by September 30, 2026?Won
  No$20 @ 86.0¢
• Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?Won
  No$14 @ 81.7¢
• Will Trump visit China by April 30?Lost
  Yes$1.9k @ 82.6¢
• Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Won
  No$204 @ 79.0¢
• Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Won
  Yes$56 @ 89.8¢
• Starmer out by October 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$67 @ 85.6¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
  No$402 @ 82.0¢
• Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?Won
  No$32 @ 88.6¢
• Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?Won
  No$186 @ 89.0¢
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Won
  No$37 @ 86.0¢
• Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Won
  No$169 @ 88.0¢

Current positions

• Trump out as President before 2027?Politics
  No$562 @ 84.0¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics
  No$538 @ 90.0¢
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics
  No$533 @ 84.0¢
• Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$515 @ 90.2¢
• US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics
  No$350 @ 91.0¢
• Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Politics
  No$310 @ 93.9¢
• Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Geopolitics
  No$280 @ 81.5¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics
  No$254 @ 80.5¢
• Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$243 @ 90.0¢
• Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?Politics
  No$243 @ 94.0¢
• Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics
  No$242 @ 88.0¢
• Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Sports
  No$242 @ 75.0¢
• Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?Politics
  Yes$236 @ 77.2¢
• Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Politics
  No$236 @ 93.0¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$236 @ 94.0¢
• Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Geopolitics
  No$236 @ 90.0¢
• US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics
  No$236 @ 87.0¢
• Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?Sports
  Yes$236 @ 78.0¢
• Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$235 @ 94.0¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$235 @ 81.0¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$233 @ 91.0¢
• Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?Politics
  No$232 @ 90.7¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$232 @ 83.0¢
• Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Politics
  No$232 @ 82.0¢
• Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Geopolitics
  Yes$231 @ 78.0¢
• Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Politics
  No$231 @ 89.0¢
• Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Politics
  No$231 @ 94.0¢
• Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$222 @ 94.0¢
• Iran nuclear test before 2027?Politics
  No$222 @ 93.5¢
• U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?Politics
  No$222 @ 91.4¢