0x2755…5016

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x275575bb11522eb29f82fe0a601d7c4dc94b5016
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+30.8pp

ROI

+72%

Win rate

67% @ 36.3¢

Brier

0.336

Resolved

4195

Avg size

$272

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	43% (62/143)	+73%	143
Politics	100% (2/2)	+31%	2
Geopolitics	100% (2/2)	+45%	2

Other143 bets
Hit rate
43% (62/143)
ROI
+73%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+31%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+45%

Track record

45% hit · 66/147

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Kamala flips a 2020 Trump state?	No	$20.4k	61.0¢	Won
Will the Republican candidate win Arizona by 4.0% or more?	Yes	$1.3k	36.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	No	$5.3k	84.6¢	Won
Will Ripple hit in $3.00 in December?	No	$5.8k	58.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?	No	$13.4k	87.5¢	Won
GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?	Yes	$6.3k	6.4¢	Lost
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?	No	$7.7k	77.0¢	Won
Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?	Yes	$1.6k	32.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?	No	$899	75.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?	No	$4.1k	82.5¢	Won
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?	No	$4.3k	61.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 November 3-9?	No	$870	87.0¢	Won
Ethereum above $2,800 on May 30?	Yes	$350	3.5¢	Lost
Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?	Yes	$1.3k	49.0¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?	No	$6.6k	39.4¢	Won
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?	Yes	$56.9k	33.5¢	Won
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on October 18?	Yes	$1.2k	38.7¢	Lost
GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?	Yes	$1.6k	10.8¢	Lost
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	$127	38.0¢	Lost
GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?	Yes	$88	7.5¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in November?	No	$1.5k	76.0¢	Won
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?	Yes	$612	47.1¢	Lost
Will Trump win Texas by 10+ points?	Yes	$12.6k	36.6¢	Won
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?	No	$750	5.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum hit $4,300.00 in December?	Yes	$5.3k	53.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	No	$5.6k	66.8¢	Won
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?	No	$360	36.0¢	Lost
Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep?	No	$2.2k	57.0¢	Won
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?	Yes	$167	20.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 February 23-March 1?	No	$198	88.0¢	Won
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154	Yes	$769	9.6¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in January?	No	$576	24.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?	No	$2.7k	52.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $113K on June 3?	Yes	$900	9.0¢	Lost
Will Russia enter Toretske by January 15?	No	$1.1k	89.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $3,900 November 3-9?	No	$790	79.0¢	Won
Ethereum all time high in 2024?	Yes	$12.6k	16.9¢	Lost
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?	Yes	$4.1k	67.6¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by March 31?	No	$3.5k	35.0¢	Lost
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$5	32.0¢	Won
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei	Yes	$49	22.0¢	Lost
Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?	Yes	$46.4k	55.3¢	Won
Will Ethereum hit $4,200.00 in December?	Yes	$6.5k	65.0¢	Lost
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 9-12%?	Yes	$43	24.0¢	Lost
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?	No	$66	73.0¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	No	$1.6k	71.9¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$1.3k	25.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $103000 on May 9?	Yes	$152	7.6¢	Lost
Bitcoin all time high before 2026?	No	$170	17.0¢	Lost
Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?	Yes	$6.3k	63.0¢	Won

Kamala flips a 2020 Trump state?Won
No$20.4k @ 61.0¢
Will the Republican candidate win Arizona by 4.0% or more? Won
Yes$1.3k @ 36.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Won
No$5.3k @ 84.6¢
Will Ripple hit in $3.00 in December?Won
No$5.8k @ 58.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?Won
No$13.4k @ 87.5¢
GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?Lost
Yes$6.3k @ 6.4¢
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?Won
No$7.7k @ 77.0¢
Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?Lost
Yes$1.6k @ 32.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?Won
No$899 @ 75.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Won
No$4.1k @ 82.5¢
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Lost
No$4.3k @ 61.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 November 3-9?Won
No$870 @ 87.0¢
Ethereum above $2,800 on May 30?Lost
Yes$350 @ 3.5¢
Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Won
Yes$1.3k @ 49.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Won
No$6.6k @ 39.4¢
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? Won
Yes$56.9k @ 33.5¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on October 18?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 38.7¢
GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?Lost
Yes$1.6k @ 10.8¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Lost
No$127 @ 38.0¢
GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?Lost
Yes$88 @ 7.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in November?Won
No$1.5k @ 76.0¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?Lost
Yes$612 @ 47.1¢
Will Trump win Texas by 10+ points?Won
Yes$12.6k @ 36.6¢
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Lost
No$750 @ 5.0¢
Will Ethereum hit $4,300.00 in December?Lost
Yes$5.3k @ 53.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Won
No$5.6k @ 66.8¢
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Lost
No$360 @ 36.0¢
Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep?Won
No$2.2k @ 57.0¢
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?Lost
Yes$167 @ 20.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 February 23-March 1?Won
No$198 @ 88.0¢
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154Lost
Yes$769 @ 9.6¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in January?Lost
No$576 @ 24.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?Lost
No$2.7k @ 52.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $113K on June 3?Lost
Yes$900 @ 9.0¢
Will Russia enter Toretske by January 15?Won
No$1.1k @ 89.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,900 November 3-9?Won
No$790 @ 79.0¢
Ethereum all time high in 2024?Lost
Yes$12.6k @ 16.9¢
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Won
Yes$4.1k @ 67.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by March 31?Lost
No$3.5k @ 35.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Won
Yes$5 @ 32.0¢
Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiLost
Yes$49 @ 22.0¢
Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?Won
Yes$46.4k @ 55.3¢
Will Ethereum hit $4,200.00 in December?Lost
Yes$6.5k @ 65.0¢
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 9-12%?Lost
Yes$43 @ 24.0¢
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?Won
No$66 @ 73.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Won
No$1.6k @ 71.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?Lost
No$1.3k @ 25.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $103000 on May 9?Lost
Yes$152 @ 7.6¢
Bitcoin all time high before 2026?Lost
No$170 @ 17.0¢
Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?Won
Yes$6.3k @ 63.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Politics	Yes	$26.5k	50.4¢
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$14.2k	42.1¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$12.3k	50.5¢
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$9.7k	29.0¢
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$6.4k	37.9¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	No	$4.0k	47.5¢
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo	Geopolitics	No	$3.4k	74.0¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1.5k	36.0¢
Blue tsunami in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1.1k	38.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1.0k	42.0¢
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$1.0k	35.8¢
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$805	52.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Politics	No	$783	26.0¢
Blue wave in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$653	71.0¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 3%-6%?	Politics	Yes	$276	24.0¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 0%-3%?	Politics	Yes	$136	20.1¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$80	56.0¢
Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$13	27.0¢

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
Yes$26.5k @ 50.4¢
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$14.2k @ 42.1¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$12.3k @ 50.5¢
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$9.7k @ 29.0¢
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics
Yes$6.4k @ 37.9¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
No$4.0k @ 47.5¢
Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboGeopolitics
No$3.4k @ 74.0¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
Yes$1.5k @ 36.0¢
Blue tsunami in 2026?Politics
Yes$1.1k @ 38.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$1.0k @ 42.0¢
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics
Yes$1.0k @ 35.8¢
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$805 @ 52.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?Politics
No$783 @ 26.0¢
Blue wave in 2026?Politics
Yes$653 @ 71.0¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 3%-6%?Politics
Yes$276 @ 24.0¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 0%-3%?Politics
Yes$136 @ 20.1¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$80 @ 56.0¢
Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?Politics
Yes$13 @ 27.0¢