0x272d…9e36

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x272df07434614e735c7896b0eb9d3d26c78d9e36
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+11.0pp

ROI

+21%

Win rate

54% @ 42.9¢

Brier

0.134

Resolved

3174

Avg size

$72

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	39% (145/369)	+2%	369
Politics	14% (8/59)	-27%	59
Tech	29% (16/56)	-29%	56
Culture	39% (15/38)	-21%	38
Sports	47% (16/34)	+28%	34
Geopolitics	16% (3/19)	-36%	19
Crypto	50% (1/2)	-13%	2

Other369 bets
Hit rate
39% (145/369)
ROI
+2%
Politics59 bets
Hit rate
14% (8/59)
ROI
-27%
Tech56 bets
Hit rate
29% (16/56)
ROI
-29%
Culture38 bets
Hit rate
39% (15/38)
ROI
-21%
Sports34 bets
Hit rate
47% (16/34)
ROI
+28%
Geopolitics19 bets
Hit rate
16% (3/19)
ROI
-36%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-13%

Track record

35% hit · 204/577

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Ecuador be the worst-placed South American nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	20.0¢	Lost
Spread: Nuggets (-22.5)	Nuggets	$520	52.0¢	Lost
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$3	6.5¢	Lost
Suns vs. Thunder	Suns	$310	31.0¢	Won
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by June 30?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5	Over	$41	46.6¢	Won
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5	Under	$470	47.0¢	Won
Will Drew Campbell win Big Brother season 28?	No	$45	89.1¢	Won
Will Drew Campbell win Big Brother season 28?	Yes	$34	11.9¢	Lost
Will Drew Campbell come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?	Yes	$8	7.5¢	Won
Pacers vs. Nets: O/U 224.5	Under	$51	50.0¢	Won
Will Heather Luper be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	No	$14	68.0¢	Lost
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	No	$390	39.0¢	Lost
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	$610	61.0¢	Won
Will Drake feature Chris Brown on ICEMAN?	Yes	$20	33.0¢	Lost
Celtics vs. Knicks	Celtics	$571	38.0¢	Lost
Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5	Under	$5	44.0¢	Won
Will Julián Alvarez be in Argentina's Starting 11?	No	$15	36.5¢	Won
Will Julián Alvarez be in Argentina's Starting 11?	Yes	$24	61.0¢	Lost
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $18B by June 30?	No	$36	72.0¢	Lost
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by June 30?	Yes	$11	10.5¢	Lost
Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$5	3.7¢	Lost
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)	Celtics	$49	49.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$28.6k	83.1¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$6.0k	40.6¢	Lost
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)	Cavaliers	$81	49.0¢	Won
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)	Wizards	$5	51.0¢	Lost
Suns vs. Lakers	Lakers	$4	43.0¢	Won
Suns vs. Lakers	Suns	$228	55.0¢	Lost
Will Christopher Oldfield be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$170	42.5¢	Lost
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	No	$278	72.2¢	Lost
Will Zachariah Wooden advance from the CA-07 primary election?	Yes	$2	9.0¢	Lost
Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?	Yes	$105	10.0¢	Lost
Will Adrien Rabiot be in France's Starting 11?	No	$3	16.9¢	Lost
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?	No	$4	22.0¢	Lost
Will Leigha Messick be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?	Yes	$1	1.4¢	Lost
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of March 30 2026?	Yes	$0	1.9¢	Lost
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by June 30?	No	$16	15.0¢	Lost
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by June 30?	Yes	$42	84.0¢	Won
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$5	5.8¢	Lost
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?	No	$4	20.0¢	Lost
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by June 30?	Yes	$4	7.0¢	Lost
Will Lautaro Martínez be in Argentina's Starting 11?	Yes	$16	82.0¢	Won
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by June 30?	No	$42	84.0¢	Won
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by June 30?	Yes	$20	27.0¢	Lost
Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Score	No	$451	45.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by April 30, 2026?	No	$17	86.0¢	Lost
Will Ezri Konsa be in England's Starting 11?	No	$5	25.0¢	Lost

Will Ecuador be the worst-placed South American nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1 @ 20.0¢
Spread: Nuggets (-22.5)Lost
Nuggets$520 @ 52.0¢
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 6.5¢
Suns vs. ThunderWon
Suns$310 @ 31.0¢
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by June 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5Won
Over$41 @ 46.6¢
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5Won
Under$470 @ 47.0¢
Will Drew Campbell win Big Brother season 28?Won
No$45 @ 89.1¢
Will Drew Campbell win Big Brother season 28?Lost
Yes$34 @ 11.9¢
Will Drew Campbell come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?Won
Yes$8 @ 7.5¢
Pacers vs. Nets: O/U 224.5Won
Under$51 @ 50.0¢
Will Heather Luper be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Lost
No$14 @ 68.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?Lost
No$390 @ 39.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?Won
Yes$610 @ 61.0¢
Will Drake feature Chris Brown on ICEMAN?Lost
Yes$20 @ 33.0¢
Celtics vs. KnicksLost
Celtics$571 @ 38.0¢
Hornets vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Won
Under$5 @ 44.0¢
Will Julián Alvarez be in Argentina's Starting 11?Won
No$15 @ 36.5¢
Will Julián Alvarez be in Argentina's Starting 11?Lost
Yes$24 @ 61.0¢
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $18B by June 30?Lost
No$36 @ 72.0¢
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by June 30?Lost
Yes$11 @ 10.5¢
Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 3.7¢
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Lost
Celtics$49 @ 49.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$28.6k @ 83.1¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$6.0k @ 40.6¢
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Won
Cavaliers$81 @ 49.0¢
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Lost
Wizards$5 @ 51.0¢
Suns vs. LakersWon
Lakers$4 @ 43.0¢
Suns vs. LakersLost
Suns$228 @ 55.0¢
Will Christopher Oldfield be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$170 @ 42.5¢
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?Lost
No$278 @ 72.2¢
Will Zachariah Wooden advance from the CA-07 primary election?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.0¢
Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?Lost
Yes$105 @ 10.0¢
Will Adrien Rabiot be in France's Starting 11?Lost
No$3 @ 16.9¢
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?Lost
No$4 @ 22.0¢
Will Leigha Messick be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.4¢
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of March 30 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.9¢
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by June 30?Lost
No$16 @ 15.0¢
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by June 30?Won
Yes$42 @ 84.0¢
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.8¢
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?Lost
No$4 @ 20.0¢
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by June 30?Lost
Yes$4 @ 7.0¢
Will Lautaro Martínez be in Argentina's Starting 11?Won
Yes$16 @ 82.0¢
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by June 30?Won
No$42 @ 84.0¢
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by June 30?Lost
Yes$20 @ 27.0¢
Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to ScoreWon
No$451 @ 45.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by April 30, 2026?Lost
No$17 @ 86.0¢
Will Ezri Konsa be in England's Starting 11?Lost
No$5 @ 25.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$81	80.5¢
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	—	No	$31	61.0¢
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Culture	No	$22	98.4¢
Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?	—	Yes	$19	38.0¢
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?	Crypto	No	$15	14.8¢
Will Jean-Michel Fauvergue be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$9	22.5¢
Will Karim Bouamrane be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$6	31.0¢
Will Mathilde Panot be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$6	15.0¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	No	$6	97.6¢
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?	Politics	No	$5	96.0¢
Will NetNet be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	Crypto	Yes	$0	1.0¢
Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	Crypto	Yes	$0	3.2¢

Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?Crypto
No$81 @ 80.5¢
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?—
No$31 @ 61.0¢
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Culture
No$22 @ 98.4¢
Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?—
Yes$19 @ 38.0¢
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?Crypto
No$15 @ 14.8¢
Will Jean-Michel Fauvergue be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$9 @ 22.5¢
Will Karim Bouamrane be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$6 @ 31.0¢
Will Mathilde Panot be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$6 @ 15.0¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
No$6 @ 97.6¢
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?Politics
No$5 @ 96.0¢
Will NetNet be the first to hit a $1B FDV?Crypto
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV?Crypto
Yes$0 @ 3.2¢