← Smart money
0x2710…03cb
SharpEdge
+15.6pp
ROI
+27%
Win rate
84% @ 68.1¢
Brier
0.133
Resolved
281
Avg size
$48
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 83% (10/12) | +27% | 12 |
- Other12 bets
- Hit rate
- 83% (10/12)
- ROI
- +27%
Track record
83% hit · 10/12| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026? | No | $165 | 82.7¢ | Won |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | No | $427 | 87.3¢ | Won |
| Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025? | No | $968 | 72.4¢ | Won |
| Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election? | No | $1.4k | 87.3¢ | Won |
| Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31? | No | $254 | 31.3¢ | Lost |
| Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? | Yes | $260 | 86.7¢ | Won |
| Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025? | Yes | $859 | 75.2¢ | Won |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | No | $5.8k | 62.8¢ | Won |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | $88 | 88.0¢ | Won |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | Yes | $176 | 88.0¢ | Won |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | No | $968 | 60.6¢ | Lost |
| Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election? | No | $2.1k | 84.5¢ | Won |
- No$165 @ 82.7¢
- No$427 @ 87.3¢
- No$968 @ 72.4¢
- No$1.4k @ 87.3¢
- No$254 @ 31.3¢
- Yes$260 @ 86.7¢
- Yes$859 @ 75.2¢
- No$5.8k @ 62.8¢
- No$88 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$176 @ 88.0¢
- No$968 @ 60.6¢
- No$2.1k @ 84.5¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
- No$339 @ 96.8¢
- No$247 @ 98.8¢
- No$245 @ 98.2¢
- No$245 @ 98.0¢
- No$245 @ 97.9¢
- No$242 @ 96.9¢
- No$241 @ 96.4¢
- No$240 @ 96.0¢
- No$239 @ 95.8¢
- No$234 @ 93.5¢
- No$209 @ 83.8¢
- No$197 @ 97.8¢
- No$195 @ 97.5¢
- No$98 @ 97.7¢
- No$98 @ 97.5¢
- No$96 @ 96.1¢
- No$92 @ 92.2¢