0x270a…4246

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x270a34538f7c315f01cc751a5d88557751604246
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+23.9pp

ROI

+66%

Win rate

60% @ 36.5¢

Brier

0.171

Resolved

Avg size

$33

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	36% (4/11)	+13%	11
Other	67% (2/3)	+84%	3
Politics	100% (1/1)	+11%	1
Culture	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Sports11 bets
Hit rate
36% (4/11)
ROI
+13%
Other3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+84%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+11%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

44% hit · 7/16

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	No	$15	2.6¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	No	$9	37.0¢	Lost
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	No	$25	50.0¢	Won
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	No	$17	33.0¢	Lost
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	$9	29.0¢	Won
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	No	$8	37.0¢	Won
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$8	40.0¢	Lost
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$4	19.0¢	Lost
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?	Yes	$1.3k	50.5¢	Won
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$1	4.0¢	Lost
No one announced as next James Bond?	No	$40	5.7¢	Lost
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?	Yes	$79	10.3¢	Lost
Will England win on 2026-06-17?	No	$6	42.0¢	Lost
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	No	$5	24.0¢	Won
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on June 30, 2026?	Yes	$55	78.6¢	Won
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$201	89.9¢	Won

Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Lost
No$15 @ 2.6¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Lost
No$9 @ 37.0¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Won
No$25 @ 50.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Lost
No$17 @ 33.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Won
Yes$9 @ 29.0¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Won
No$8 @ 37.0¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Lost
Yes$8 @ 40.0¢
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?Lost
Yes$4 @ 19.0¢
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?Won
Yes$1.3k @ 50.5¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.0¢
No one announced as next James Bond?Lost
No$40 @ 5.7¢
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?Lost
Yes$79 @ 10.3¢
Will England win on 2026-06-17?Lost
No$6 @ 42.0¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Won
No$5 @ 24.0¢
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$55 @ 78.6¢
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$201 @ 89.9¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?	—	Yes	$91	37.2¢
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?	—	Yes	$77	10.3¢
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?	—	Yes	$50	7.9¢
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?	—	No	$24	60.0¢
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$21	35.0¢
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 6, 2026?	—	Yes	$7	2.7¢
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$6	11.0¢

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?—
Yes$91 @ 37.2¢
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?—
Yes$77 @ 10.3¢
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?—
Yes$50 @ 7.9¢
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?—
No$24 @ 60.0¢
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?—
Yes$21 @ 35.0¢
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 6, 2026?—
Yes$7 @ 2.7¢
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?—
Yes$6 @ 11.0¢