← Smart money
0x26fe…41de
SharpEdge
+19.7pp
ROI
+42%
Win rate
84% @ 64.3¢
Brier
0.163
Resolved
194
Avg size
$5
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 66% (19/29) | +61% | 29 |
| Other | 62% (8/13) | -11% | 13 |
| Politics | 100% (7/7) | +46% | 7 |
| Culture | 50% (1/2) | -59% | 2 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +61% | 1 |
- Sports29 bets
- Hit rate
- 66% (19/29)
- ROI
- +61%
- Other13 bets
- Hit rate
- 62% (8/13)
- ROI
- -11%
- Politics7 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (7/7)
- ROI
- +46%
- Culture2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -59%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +61%
Track record
69% hit · 36/52- No$5 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 74.0¢
- No$10 @ 73.2¢
- No$15 @ 74.5¢
- No$5 @ 51.0¢
- No$40 @ 34.8¢
- No$30 @ 75.8¢
- Yes$5 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 1.4¢
- No$10 @ 62.3¢
- No$10 @ 79.8¢
- Under$5 @ 1.0¢
- No$1 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 85.5¢
- Over$55 @ 65.0¢
- No$10 @ 86.3¢
- Yes$5 @ 79.0¢
- Over$5 @ 67.0¢
- No$65 @ 87.4¢
- Yes$5 @ 19.0¢
- No$15 @ 80.2¢
- No$10 @ 66.0¢
- No$5 @ 86.0¢
- No$15 @ 59.8¢
- Yes$10 @ 49.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 12.6¢
- Yes$5 @ 45.0¢
- No$20 @ 83.1¢
- Yes$70 @ 75.9¢
- Over$30 @ 77.3¢
- Yes$45 @ 28.5¢
- Over$25 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 79.0¢
- Team Liquid$25 @ 37.6¢
- No$9 @ 20.1¢
- Yes$5 @ 86.0¢
- Over$25 @ 66.2¢
- Yes$115 @ 63.0¢
- Jan-Lennard Struff$5 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 16.0¢
- No$25 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$55 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 83.0¢
- No$5 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 42.4¢
- Yes$65 @ 78.8¢
- No$5 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 33.7¢
- Over$5 @ 65.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Sports | No | $10 | 72.3¢ |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $5 | 50.0¢ |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Politics | No | $5 | 50.0¢ |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Sports | No | $5 | 57.1¢ |
| Will Ipswich Town be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | Sports | No | $4 | 55.0¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $3 | 56.0¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | No | $3 | 50.0¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $3 | 50.0¢ |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Sports | Yes | $2 | 27.0¢ |
- No$10 @ 72.3¢
- Yes$5 @ 50.0¢
- No$5 @ 50.0¢
- No$5 @ 57.1¢
- No$4 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 56.0¢
- No$3 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 27.0¢