0x26db…6191

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x26dbcc2e2166c41e25d6f3dc3141b7f1ada26191
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.3pp

ROI

+13%

Win rate

74% @ 65.6¢

Brier

0.156

Resolved

341

Avg size

$142

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	63% (78/123)	+15%	123
Sports	33% (5/15)	-22%	15
Politics	67% (2/3)	-14%	3
Crypto	67% (2/3)	-1%	3
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other123 bets
Hit rate
63% (78/123)
ROI
+15%
Sports15 bets
Hit rate
33% (5/15)
ROI
-22%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
-14%
Crypto3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
-1%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

60% hit · 87/145

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Spread: Spain (-1.5)	France	$1.1k	89.0¢	Lost
France vs. England: Team to Win	France	$195	65.0¢	Lost
Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	$6	57.0¢	Lost
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23?	Up	$5	52.0¢	Lost
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	$10	95.0¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	$46	76.0¢	Won
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Syracuse Orange	North Carolina Tar Heels	$5	55.0¢	Won
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5	Under	$5	49.0¢	Lost
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$609	67.0¢	Won
US government shutdown by October 1?	No	$30	36.3¢	Lost
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?	Yes	$20	69.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$533	11.8¢	Lost
Nets vs. Hawks	Hawks	$52	89.0¢	Won
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?	Yes	$10	39.0¢	Won
Knicks vs. Rockets	Knicks	$10	51.0¢	Lost
Pelicans vs. Kings	Pelicans	$33	66.0¢	Won
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	$215	21.0¢	Won
Thunder vs. Bulls	Thunder	$39	78.0¢	Won
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$489	6.2¢	Lost
Raptors vs. Lakers	Lakers	$2.6k	73.0¢	Won
Pacers vs. Bucks	Bucks	$88	73.0¢	Won
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	$123	12.0¢	Won
Bucks vs. Hawks	Hawks	$40	77.0¢	Won
Heat vs. Jazz	Heat	$7	70.0¢	Won
Kings vs. 76ers	76ers	$366	82.0¢	Won
North Carolina Central Eagles vs. Howard Bison	Howard Bison	$5	88.0¢	Won
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	$15	82.6¢	Won
Binghamton Bearcats vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks	Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks	$6	80.3¢	Won
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?	Yes	$10	70.0¢	Won
Bucks vs. Suns	Suns	$500	84.0¢	Lost
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	$522	64.6¢	Won
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	$209	23.0¢	Lost
Creighton Bluejays vs. St. John's Red Storm	St. Johns Red Storm	$5	89.0¢	Won
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)	Raptors	$11	53.0¢	Lost
East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs. UNCG Spartans	East Tennessee State Buccaneers	$1	71.0¢	Won
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	$107	21.0¢	Lost
Knicks vs. Pistons	Pistons	$809	75.6¢	Won
Trail Blazers vs. Clippers	Clippers	$48	69.0¢	Lost
Mavericks vs. Grizzlies	Mavericks	$100	66.0¢	Won
Suns vs. Magic	Magic	$5	53.0¢	Won
Spurs vs. Lakers	Spurs	$7	72.0¢	Won
Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-10.5)	Yale Bulldogs	$5	53.0¢	Lost
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	$29	58.0¢	Lost
Knicks vs. Celtics	Celtics	$12	62.0¢	Lost
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Saint Joseph's Hawks	Saint Josephs Hawks	$5	83.0¢	Won
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Kansas Jayhawks	Kansas Jayhawks	$1	85.0¢	Lost
Warriors vs. Thunder	Thunder	$87	86.9¢	Won
Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5	Over	$400	50.0¢	Lost
Hornets vs. Bulls	Hornets	$37	74.0¢	Won
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-8.5)	Miami Hurricanes	$5	54.0¢	Won

Spread: Spain (-1.5)Lost
France$1.1k @ 89.0¢
France vs. England: Team to WinLost
France$195 @ 65.0¢
Spurs vs. ThunderLost
Thunder$6 @ 57.0¢
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23?Lost
Up$5 @ 52.0¢
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
No$10 @ 95.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$46 @ 76.0¢
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Syracuse OrangeWon
North Carolina Tar Heels$5 @ 55.0¢
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5Lost
Under$5 @ 49.0¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Won
Yes$609 @ 67.0¢
US government shutdown by October 1?Lost
No$30 @ 36.3¢
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?Lost
Yes$20 @ 69.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$533 @ 11.8¢
Nets vs. HawksWon
Hawks$52 @ 89.0¢
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?Won
Yes$10 @ 39.0¢
Knicks vs. RocketsLost
Knicks$10 @ 51.0¢
Pelicans vs. KingsWon
Pelicans$33 @ 66.0¢
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Won
Yes$215 @ 21.0¢
Thunder vs. BullsWon
Thunder$39 @ 78.0¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$489 @ 6.2¢
Raptors vs. LakersWon
Lakers$2.6k @ 73.0¢
Pacers vs. BucksWon
Bucks$88 @ 73.0¢
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?Won
Yes$123 @ 12.0¢
Bucks vs. HawksWon
Hawks$40 @ 77.0¢
Heat vs. JazzWon
Heat$7 @ 70.0¢
Kings vs. 76ersWon
76ers$366 @ 82.0¢
North Carolina Central Eagles vs. Howard BisonWon
Howard Bison$5 @ 88.0¢
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?Won
Yes$15 @ 82.6¢
Binghamton Bearcats vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River HawksWon
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks$6 @ 80.3¢
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?Won
Yes$10 @ 70.0¢
Bucks vs. SunsLost
Suns$500 @ 84.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Won
Yes$522 @ 64.6¢
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?Lost
Yes$209 @ 23.0¢
Creighton Bluejays vs. St. John's Red StormWon
St. Johns Red Storm$5 @ 89.0¢
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Lost
Raptors$11 @ 53.0¢
East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs. UNCG SpartansWon
East Tennessee State Buccaneers$1 @ 71.0¢
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?Lost
Yes$107 @ 21.0¢
Knicks vs. PistonsWon
Pistons$809 @ 75.6¢
Trail Blazers vs. ClippersLost
Clippers$48 @ 69.0¢
Mavericks vs. GrizzliesWon
Mavericks$100 @ 66.0¢
Suns vs. MagicWon
Magic$5 @ 53.0¢
Spurs vs. LakersWon
Spurs$7 @ 72.0¢
Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-10.5)Lost
Yale Bulldogs$5 @ 53.0¢
Timberwolves vs. NuggetsLost
Nuggets$29 @ 58.0¢
Knicks vs. CelticsLost
Celtics$12 @ 62.0¢
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Saint Joseph's HawksWon
Saint Josephs Hawks$5 @ 83.0¢
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Kansas JayhawksLost
Kansas Jayhawks$1 @ 85.0¢
Warriors vs. ThunderWon
Thunder$87 @ 86.9¢
Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5Lost
Over$400 @ 50.0¢
Hornets vs. BullsWon
Hornets$37 @ 74.0¢
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-8.5)Won
Miami Hurricanes$5 @ 54.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Hornets vs. Nuggets	—	Nuggets	$2.1k	51.0¢
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	—	Spurs	$1.7k	77.7¢
Spread: Spain (-1.5)	—	France	$1.1k	89.0¢
Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Sports	Yes	$840	84.0¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Sports	Yes	$680	68.0¢
Bucks vs. Suns	—	Suns	$500	84.0¢
Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5	—	Over	$400	50.0¢
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?	—	No	$363	67.1¢
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?	Sports	Yes	$204	23.0¢
France vs. England: Team to Win	—	France	$195	65.0¢
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?	Sports	Yes	$176	22.0¢
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Sports	Yes	$105	21.0¢
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	—	Nuggets	$72	72.0¢
Pacers vs. Bulls	—	Bulls	$70	64.7¢
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	—	Yes	$69	69.0¢
Pacers vs. Nets: O/U 223.5	—	Over	$60	52.8¢
Trail Blazers vs. Clippers	—	Clippers	$48	69.6¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$44	58.8¢
Heat vs. Hornets	—	Hornets	$36	72.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	—	Down	$30	50.0¢
US government shutdown by October 1?	—	No	$30	36.3¢
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	—	Nuggets	$29	58.0¢
Hawks vs. Pistons	—	Pistons	$25	59.0¢
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?	—	Yes	$22	25.0¢
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 7?	—	No	$20	54.4¢
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?	—	Yes	$20	69.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	—	Up	$20	57.0¢
Bulls vs. Pacers	—	Bulls	$17	55.0¢
Knicks vs. Celtics	—	Celtics	$12	62.0¢
Cavaliers vs. Magic	—	Cavaliers	$12	60.9¢

Hornets vs. Nuggets—
Nuggets$2.1k @ 51.0¢
Spurs vs. Timberwolves—
Spurs$1.7k @ 77.7¢
Spread: Spain (-1.5)—
France$1.1k @ 89.0¢
Will England win on 2026-06-23?Sports
Yes$840 @ 84.0¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?Sports
Yes$680 @ 68.0¢
Bucks vs. Suns—
Suns$500 @ 84.0¢
Pacers vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5—
Over$400 @ 50.0¢
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?—
No$363 @ 67.1¢
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?Sports
Yes$204 @ 23.0¢
France vs. England: Team to Win—
France$195 @ 65.0¢
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?Sports
Yes$176 @ 22.0¢
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?Sports
Yes$105 @ 21.0¢
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets—
Nuggets$72 @ 72.0¢
Pacers vs. Bulls—
Bulls$70 @ 64.7¢
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?—
Yes$69 @ 69.0¢
Pacers vs. Nets: O/U 223.5—
Over$60 @ 52.8¢
Trail Blazers vs. Clippers—
Clippers$48 @ 69.6¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$44 @ 58.8¢
Heat vs. Hornets—
Hornets$36 @ 72.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET—
Down$30 @ 50.0¢
US government shutdown by October 1?—
No$30 @ 36.3¢
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets—
Nuggets$29 @ 58.0¢
Hawks vs. Pistons—
Pistons$25 @ 59.0¢
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?—
Yes$22 @ 25.0¢
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 7?—
No$20 @ 54.4¢
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?—
Yes$20 @ 69.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET—
Up$20 @ 57.0¢
Bulls vs. Pacers—
Bulls$17 @ 55.0¢
Knicks vs. Celtics—
Celtics$12 @ 62.0¢
Cavaliers vs. Magic—
Cavaliers$12 @ 60.9¢