0x26bb…03cf

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x26bb798464eae4c24b2ddba0ea68d792e5a203cf
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.7pp

ROI

+11%

Win rate

62% @ 53.0¢

Brier

0.152

Resolved

409

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	63% (38/60)	+38%	60
Other	35% (19/54)	-46%	54
Sports	50% (16/32)	-25%	32
Geopolitics	69% (18/26)	+16%	26
Tech	50% (3/6)	-5%	6
Economy	100% (4/4)	+207%	4
Crypto	100% (2/2)	+38%	2

Politics60 bets
Hit rate
63% (38/60)
ROI
+38%
Other54 bets
Hit rate
35% (19/54)
ROI
-46%
Sports32 bets
Hit rate
50% (16/32)
ROI
-25%
Geopolitics26 bets
Hit rate
69% (18/26)
ROI
+16%
Tech6 bets
Hit rate
50% (3/6)
ROI
-5%
Economy4 bets
Hit rate
100% (4/4)
ROI
+207%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+38%

Track record

54% hit · 100/184

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	$25	84.0¢	Won
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$3	2.4¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	No	$9	84.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	$1	12.0¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	$1	89.3¢	Won
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	$11	57.0¢	Won
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	Yes	$11	18.0¢	Won
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	$29	87.1¢	Won
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	$7	7.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5	17.5¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$44	54.5¢	Won
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	$4	11.0¢	Lost
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?	Yes	$89	39.2¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner	Spirit	$7	54.0¢	Lost
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Yes	$12	41.3¢	Lost
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2	3.4¢	Lost
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?	No	$5	9.8¢	Lost
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	No	$19	69.0¢	Won
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?	Yes	$1	4.8¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?	Yes	$9	55.4¢	Lost
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?	No	$5	56.0¢	Won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance	Netherlands	$5	54.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	$52	83.1¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner	FURIA	$5	54.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$78	39.5¢	Won
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?	No	$6	84.0¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$26	78.5¢	Won
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?	No	$3	70.0¢	Won
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?	Yes	$9	4.8¢	Lost
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	$50	89.8¢	Won
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	No	$5	46.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	Yes	$19	55.3¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	$36	87.9¢	Won
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$6	72.0¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	No	$7	49.5¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	Yes	$3	46.9¢	Won
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	No	$18	78.2¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?	Yes	$7	24.0¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$82	36.7¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$55	16.1¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	No	$17	52.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	$18	72.8¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$28	59.0¢	Won
Will Portugal win the World Cup?	Yes	$10	8.6¢	Lost
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?	No	$5	83.0¢	Won
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?	No	$6	82.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	$23	27.7¢	Lost
Iran leadership change by August 31?	Yes	$7	5.9¢	Lost
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?	No	$5	80.1¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	$14	47.2¢	Won

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Won
No$25 @ 84.0¢
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$3 @ 2.4¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?Won
No$9 @ 84.0¢
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia?Lost
Yes$1 @ 12.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Won
No$1 @ 89.3¢
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Won
Yes$11 @ 57.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?Won
Yes$11 @ 18.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Won
No$29 @ 87.1¢
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?Lost
Yes$7 @ 7.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$5 @ 17.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$44 @ 54.5¢
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Lost
Yes$4 @ 11.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?Lost
Yes$89 @ 39.2¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerLost
Spirit$7 @ 54.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Lost
Yes$12 @ 41.3¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.4¢
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?Lost
No$5 @ 9.8¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Won
No$19 @ 69.0¢
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?Lost
Yes$9 @ 55.4¢
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?Won
No$5 @ 56.0¢
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceLost
Netherlands$5 @ 54.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Won
No$52 @ 83.1¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 WinnerWon
FURIA$5 @ 54.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$78 @ 39.5¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Won
No$6 @ 84.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Won
No$26 @ 78.5¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Won
No$3 @ 70.0¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Lost
Yes$9 @ 4.8¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Won
No$50 @ 89.8¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Won
No$5 @ 46.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?Won
Yes$19 @ 55.3¢
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Won
No$36 @ 87.9¢
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?Won
Yes$6 @ 72.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Lost
No$7 @ 49.5¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Won
Yes$3 @ 46.9¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Won
No$18 @ 78.2¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 24.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
No$82 @ 36.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Lost
Yes$55 @ 16.1¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Won
No$17 @ 52.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Won
No$18 @ 72.8¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$28 @ 59.0¢
Will Portugal win the World Cup?Lost
Yes$10 @ 8.6¢
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?Won
No$5 @ 83.0¢
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?Won
No$6 @ 82.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Lost
Yes$23 @ 27.7¢
Iran leadership change by August 31?Lost
Yes$7 @ 5.9¢
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?Lost
No$5 @ 80.1¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Won
No$14 @ 47.2¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$76	77.7¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Politics	No	$53	83.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$49	52.5¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	Tech	Yes	$48	9.0¢
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?	Tech	Yes	$45	98.0¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Geopolitics	No	$26	70.1¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Other	No	$25	79.0¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	Tech	Yes	$21	39.9¢
Will Chainlink reach $26 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$20	94.6¢
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$19	41.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Tech	No	$14	14.8¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$14	14.0¢
Will USD/JPY hit 120 (Low) in 2026?	Other	No	$12	92.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	—	Yes	$9	4.1¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	Geopolitics	No	$8	82.0¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Geopolitics	Yes	$6	10.0¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$5	90.0¢
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?	Tech	Yes	$5	55.4¢
Will USD/CAD hit 1.20 (Low) in 2026?	Politics	No	$4	96.0¢
Will USD/BRL hit 7.25 (High) in 2026?	Other	No	$4	97.0¢
Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$3	81.0¢
Will USD/JPY hit 190 (High) in 2026?	Other	No	$3	96.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$3	14.0¢
Will USD/BRL hit 3.75 (Low) in 2026?	Other	No	$2	97.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Other	No	$2	71.0¢
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$1	89.0¢
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31	Politics	Yes	$0	0.0¢

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Geopolitics
No$76 @ 77.7¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics
No$53 @ 83.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$49 @ 52.5¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Tech
Yes$48 @ 9.0¢
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?Tech
Yes$45 @ 98.0¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Geopolitics
No$26 @ 70.1¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
No$25 @ 79.0¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Tech
Yes$21 @ 39.9¢
Will Chainlink reach $26 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$20 @ 94.6¢
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$19 @ 41.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech
No$14 @ 14.8¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$14 @ 14.0¢
Will USD/JPY hit 120 (Low) in 2026?Other
No$12 @ 92.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?—
Yes$9 @ 4.1¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Geopolitics
No$8 @ 82.0¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Geopolitics
Yes$6 @ 10.0¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Geopolitics
No$5 @ 90.0¢
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?Tech
Yes$5 @ 55.4¢
Will USD/CAD hit 1.20 (Low) in 2026?Politics
No$4 @ 96.0¢
Will USD/BRL hit 7.25 (High) in 2026?Other
No$4 @ 97.0¢
Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$3 @ 81.0¢
Will USD/JPY hit 190 (High) in 2026?Other
No$3 @ 96.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
Yes$3 @ 14.0¢
Will USD/BRL hit 3.75 (Low) in 2026?Other
No$2 @ 97.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?Other
No$2 @ 71.0¢
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics
Yes$1 @ 89.0¢
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Politics
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢