← Smart money
0x2673…5ac9
ProfitableEdge
-2.3pp
ROI
+3%
Win rate
31% @ 33.2¢
Brier
0.191
Resolved
2577
Avg size
$17
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 39% (188/483) | +28% | 483 |
| Sports | 37% (46/123) | -35% | 123 |
| Politics | 28% (13/46) | -39% | 46 |
| Culture | 0% (0/3) | -100% | 3 |
| Tech | 50% (1/2) | -59% | 2 |
- Other483 bets
- Hit rate
- 39% (188/483)
- ROI
- +28%
- Sports123 bets
- Hit rate
- 37% (46/123)
- ROI
- -35%
- Politics46 bets
- Hit rate
- 28% (13/46)
- ROI
- -39%
- Culture3 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/3)
- ROI
- -100%
- Tech2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -59%
Track record
38% hit · 248/657- Yes$65 @ 13.7¢
- TheMongolz$18 @ 76.0¢
- Pittsburgh Pirates$31 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$43 @ 2.1¢
- Piero Guaylupo$40 @ 50.0¢
- Spirit$132 @ 22.5¢
- Yes$432 @ 13.9¢
- Yes$61 @ 28.2¢
- Yes$10 @ 4.6¢
- Yes$62 @ 28.0¢
- FaZe$9 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 51.0¢
- Team Yandex$29 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$27 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$38 @ 16.9¢
- Yes$20 @ 59.0¢
- Natus Vincere$97 @ 21.1¢
- Team Liquid$110 @ 50.4¢
- Team Spirit$25 @ 73.2¢
- Team Falcons$7 @ 53.0¢
- No$113 @ 38.2¢
- Yes$33 @ 18.4¢
- Spurs$212 @ 46.1¢
- Yes$31 @ 62.0¢
- PARIVISION$39 @ 76.0¢
- South America Rejects$27 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$113 @ 20.7¢
- Chiefs$19 @ 67.4¢
- Colts vs. ChiefsLostColts$19 @ 44.9¢
- Yes$39 @ 14.1¢
- Jim Miller$31 @ 27.0¢
- New York Yankees$29 @ 48.8¢
- Yes$41 @ 27.2¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 13.1¢
- Ciryl Gane$280 @ 51.2¢
- No$20 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$23 @ 56.0¢
- Yes$27 @ 71.4¢
- Yes$9 @ 50.2¢
- Yes$16 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 28.0¢
- No$23 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$168 @ 16.8¢
- Yes$65 @ 21.0¢
- Will "Trump" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 13)WonYes$1 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$40 @ 19.0¢
- Over$11 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$28 @ 12.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $17 | 29.0¢ |
| Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | Sports | Xtreme Gaming | $15 | 59.0¢ |
- Yes$17 @ 29.0¢
- Xtreme Gaming$15 @ 59.0¢