0x261b…2cb8

Specialization by sphere

• Other10 bets

  Hit rate

  40% (4/10)

  ROI

  +49%

• Politics5 bets

  Hit rate

  80% (4/5)

  ROI

  +29%

• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?Won
  Yes$16 @ 32.0¢
• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?Lost
  Yes$43 @ 43.0¢
• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?Won
  Yes$156 @ 62.0¢
• Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Won
  Yes$3.1k @ 64.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Won
  Yes$9.4k @ 77.5¢
• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?Won
  Yes$213 @ 72.5¢
• Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Won
  No$16.6k @ 73.1¢
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 18?Lost
  Yes$365 @ 31.6¢
• Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on November 5?Lost
  Yes$342 @ 40.3¢
• Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on November 5?Lost
  Yes$145 @ 43.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on November 5?Lost
  No$60 @ 60.0¢
• Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?Won
  Yes$9.0k @ 53.4¢
• Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on November 6?Lost
  Yes$32 @ 44.6¢
• Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on November 5?Lost
  No$50 @ 50.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on November 5?Won
  Yes$163 @ 79.0¢

Current positions

• Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?Politics
  Yes$43 @ 43.0¢
• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?Politics
  Yes$16 @ 32.0¢