← Smart money
0x2614…4442
ProfitableEdge
+3.1pp
ROI
+3%
Win rate
47% @ 43.6¢
Brier
0.184
Resolved
3352
Avg size
$64
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 48% (255/533) | -2% | 533 |
| Sports | 47% (132/279) | +13% | 279 |
| Culture | 50% (1/2) | -1% | 2 |
| Politics | 100% (1/1) | +208% | 1 |
- Other533 bets
- Hit rate
- 48% (255/533)
- ROI
- -2%
- Sports279 bets
- Hit rate
- 47% (132/279)
- ROI
- +13%
- Culture2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -1%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +208%
Track record
48% hit · 389/815- No$750 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$136 @ 3.4¢
- No$7 @ 6.6¢
- Nigma Galaxy$198 @ 84.0¢
- No$42 @ 66.0¢
- No$12 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$354 @ 4.5¢
- FUT Esports$97 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$17 @ 0.9¢
- No$82 @ 33.5¢
- Yes$483 @ 47.5¢
- No$140 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$330 @ 33.0¢
- Under$57 @ 56.0¢
- No$126 @ 70.1¢
- Yes$8 @ 31.2¢
- No$33 @ 43.0¢
- No$54 @ 86.0¢
- G2 Esports$849 @ 82.2¢
- Yes$2 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$33 @ 11.0¢
- 9z$30 @ 53.4¢
- Team Liquid$610 @ 53.5¢
- Team Spirit$155 @ 67.5¢
- M80$5 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$37 @ 59.0¢
- Under$8 @ 39.0¢
- No$202 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$196 @ 23.0¢
- No$951 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$35 @ 12.0¢
- Over$43 @ 43.0¢
- Under$58 @ 57.0¢
- No$31 @ 37.0¢
- No$51 @ 51.0¢
- Team Liquid$12 @ 69.0¢
- No$1.6k @ 79.4¢
- Yes$622 @ 20.7¢
- Team Falcons$172 @ 71.2¢
- No$61 @ 74.0¢
- Natus Vincere$282 @ 48.0¢
- Xtreme Gaming$156 @ 53.0¢
- Team Liquid$208 @ 88.0¢
- No$32 @ 74.0¢
- No$356 @ 53.8¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 48.7¢
- No$13 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$432 @ 21.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $282 | 35.4¢ |
| Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B? | Crypto | Yes | $245 | 52.0¢ |
| Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B? | Crypto | Yes | $137 | 38.8¢ |
| Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | No | $24 | 56.0¢ |
| Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Crypto | No | $24 | 70.0¢ |
| Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? | Economy | Yes | $8 | 16.0¢ |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $1 | 68.0¢ |
| Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Crypto | No | $1 | 39.0¢ |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Business | Yes | $1 | 47.0¢ |
- No$282 @ 35.4¢
- Yes$245 @ 52.0¢
- Yes$137 @ 38.8¢
- No$24 @ 56.0¢
- No$24 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 68.0¢
- No$1 @ 39.0¢
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?BusinessYes$1 @ 47.0¢