0x256c…e7d1

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x256c8ad6a66e545a74e50a462df0b94c78bde7d1
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+10.8pp

ROI

+63%

Win rate

38% @ 27.1¢

Brier

0.097

Resolved

Avg size

$139

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	15% (2/13)	+8%	13
Sports	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Politics	100% (1/1)	+69%	1

Other13 bets
Hit rate
15% (2/13)
ROI
+8%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+69%

Track record

20% hit · 3/15

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 5%?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	Yes	$11.0k	59.2¢	Won
Bitcoin above 63,200 on August 13, 2PM ET?	Yes	$50	50.0¢	Lost
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	$900	69.2¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?	Yes	$2	1.8¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 26?	No	$10	1.0¢	Lost
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-08-28?	Yes	$9	18.0¢	Lost
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5	Over	$51	51.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin above 63,400 on August 13, 2PM ET?	Yes	$1	8.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 21?	No	$5	0.5¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?	Yes	$4	4.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or higher on August 28?	Yes	$10	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 22?	No	$10	10.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 27?	Yes	$10	10.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 20?	Yes	$10	10.0¢	Lost

Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 5%?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Won
Yes$11.0k @ 59.2¢
Bitcoin above 63,200 on August 13, 2PM ET?Lost
Yes$50 @ 50.0¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Lost
No$900 @ 69.2¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 26?Lost
No$10 @ 1.0¢
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-08-28?Lost
Yes$9 @ 18.0¢
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Lost
Over$51 @ 51.0¢
Bitcoin above 63,400 on August 13, 2PM ET?Lost
Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 21?Won
No$5 @ 0.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?Lost
Yes$4 @ 4.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or higher on August 28?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 22?Won
No$10 @ 10.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 27?Lost
Yes$10 @ 10.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 20?Lost
Yes$10 @ 10.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Geopolitics	No	$1.0k	91.0¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$1000	92.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Politics	No	$980	70.0¢
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Sports	Yes	$180	36.0¢
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?	Sports	Yes	$174	87.0¢
Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?	Sports	Yes	$61	56.0¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$53	10.5¢
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Sports	Yes	$52	52.0¢
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Sports	Yes	$48	48.0¢
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Sports	Yes	$47	23.0¢
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Sports	Yes	$16	2.3¢
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Culture	Yes	$14	14.0¢

China x Japan military clash before 2027?Geopolitics
No$1.0k @ 91.0¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$1000 @ 92.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Politics
No$980 @ 70.0¢
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Sports
Yes$180 @ 36.0¢
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?Sports
Yes$174 @ 87.0¢
Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?Sports
Yes$61 @ 56.0¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$53 @ 10.5¢
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Sports
Yes$52 @ 52.0¢
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?Sports
Yes$48 @ 48.0¢
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Sports
Yes$47 @ 23.0¢
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Sports
Yes$16 @ 2.3¢
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Culture
Yes$14 @ 14.0¢