0x2546…5155

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x25467225154a9f11d7a6aaa7416de4fbddb45155
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.6pp

ROI

+18%

Win rate

63% @ 54.0¢

Brier

0.193

Resolved

230

Avg size

$64

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	44% (23/52)	+19%	52
Sports	53% (8/15)	+14%	15
Politics	67% (2/3)	+30%	3

Other52 bets
Hit rate
44% (23/52)
ROI
+19%
Sports15 bets
Hit rate
53% (8/15)
ROI
+14%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+30%

Track record

47% hit · 33/70

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Switzerland	$30	12.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$268	26.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 18?	No	$28	61.4¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 16?	Yes	$150	69.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 10?	Yes	$12	27.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 13?	Yes	$57	71.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 12?	No	$277	78.2¢	Won
Spread: France (-1.5)	France	$103	34.5¢	Won
Spread: France (-1.5)	Morocco	$30	15.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	$221	41.0¢	Lost
Will 4+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$60	11.5¢	Lost
Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	No	$799	63.3¢	Won
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?	Yes	$88	14.0¢	Lost
Will the announcers say "Gianni" or "Infantino" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?	Yes	$59	53.0¢	Won
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	No	$70	14.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	$516	57.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 12?	Yes	$19	38.5¢	Lost
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?	No	$428	44.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 16?	No	$164	79.5¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 13?	Yes	$321	39.1¢	Won
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	$388	79.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 12?	No	$132	87.8¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ex-Young Ninjas (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage	Just Players	$450	78.9¢	Won
Will Bradley Barcola stay at Paris Saint-Germain?	Yes	$17	29.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 11?	Yes	$1	34.0¢	Lost
Will Viking FK win on 2026-05-30?	No	$37	29.5¢	Lost
Will Viking FK win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	$120	48.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 12?	Yes	$23	25.6¢	Lost
Will Rodri join Barcelona?	Yes	$1.4k	86.0¢	Won
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?	No	$443	67.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 10?	No	$72	67.3¢	Lost
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-17?	Yes	$241	45.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 10?	No	$85	88.8¢	Won
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	$312	78.0¢	Won
Will FK Krasnodar win on 2026-09-17?	Yes	$162	61.0¢	Lost
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 26, 2026?	Yes	$9	23.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on August 30?	No	$50	76.6¢	Won
Will the semifinals be FRA vs ESP and ENG vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$323	50.0¢	Won
Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	$821	49.2¢	Won
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 18, 2026?	No	$66	58.6¢	Lost
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 18, 2026?	Yes	$231	84.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 11?	No	$17	33.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 11?	Yes	$210	82.7¢	Won
Will Elche CF win on 2026-08-08?	No	$229	59.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 24?	Yes	$279	63.8¢	Won
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	$396	79.1¢	Won
Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$287	85.1¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	No	$60	15.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	$380	61.3¢	Won
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	No	$16	1.2¢	Lost

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceLost
Switzerland$30 @ 12.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$268 @ 26.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 18?Lost
No$28 @ 61.4¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 16?Won
Yes$150 @ 69.9¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 10?Lost
Yes$12 @ 27.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 13?Won
Yes$57 @ 71.8¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 12?Won
No$277 @ 78.2¢
Spread: France (-1.5)Won
France$103 @ 34.5¢
Spread: France (-1.5)Lost
Morocco$30 @ 15.0¢
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Lost
Yes$221 @ 41.0¢
Will 4+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$60 @ 11.5¢
Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?Won
No$799 @ 63.3¢
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Lost
Yes$88 @ 14.0¢
Will the announcers say "Gianni" or "Infantino" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Won
Yes$59 @ 53.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Lost
No$70 @ 14.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Won
Yes$516 @ 57.3¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 12?Lost
Yes$19 @ 38.5¢
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Won
No$428 @ 44.7¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 16?Won
No$164 @ 79.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 13?Won
Yes$321 @ 39.1¢
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?Won
No$388 @ 79.3¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 12?Won
No$132 @ 87.8¢
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ex-Young Ninjas (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group StageWon
Just Players$450 @ 78.9¢
Will Bradley Barcola stay at Paris Saint-Germain?Lost
Yes$17 @ 29.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 11?Lost
Yes$1 @ 34.0¢
Will Viking FK win on 2026-05-30?Lost
No$37 @ 29.5¢
Will Viking FK win on 2026-05-30?Won
Yes$120 @ 48.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 12?Lost
Yes$23 @ 25.6¢
Will Rodri join Barcelona?Won
Yes$1.4k @ 86.0¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Lost
No$443 @ 67.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 10?Lost
No$72 @ 67.3¢
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-17?Won
Yes$241 @ 45.6¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 10?Won
No$85 @ 88.8¢
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?Won
Yes$312 @ 78.0¢
Will FK Krasnodar win on 2026-09-17?Lost
Yes$162 @ 61.0¢
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 26, 2026?Lost
Yes$9 @ 23.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on August 30?Won
No$50 @ 76.6¢
Will the semifinals be FRA vs ESP and ENG vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$323 @ 50.0¢
Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?Won
Yes$821 @ 49.2¢
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 18, 2026?Lost
No$66 @ 58.6¢
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 18, 2026?Won
Yes$231 @ 84.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 11?Lost
No$17 @ 33.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 11?Won
Yes$210 @ 82.7¢
Will Elche CF win on 2026-08-08?Lost
No$229 @ 59.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 24?Won
Yes$279 @ 63.8¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Won
No$396 @ 79.1¢
Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$287 @ 85.1¢
Will France win on 2026-07-09?Lost
No$60 @ 15.0¢
Will France win on 2026-07-09?Won
Yes$380 @ 61.3¢
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Lost
No$16 @ 1.2¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$816	80.0¢
Will Wayne Rooney be the next head coach of the England national team?	—	No	$740	84.5¢
Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by September 30?	—	No	$653	94.4¢
Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Politics	No	$608	96.5¢
Will United Russia (ER) win 60% or more of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?	—	No	$528	94.0¢
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 7, 2026?	—	No	$517	95.7¢
Will Gareth Southgate be the next head coach of the England national team?	—	No	$334	85.8¢
Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?	—	No	$270	90.0¢
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Politics	No	$195	78.0¢
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 12, 2026?	—	No	$179	53.1¢
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 12, 2026?	—	Yes	$132	79.2¢
Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Politics	No	$125	41.6¢
Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Politics	Yes	$107	35.0¢

Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto
No$816 @ 80.0¢
Will Wayne Rooney be the next head coach of the England national team?—
No$740 @ 84.5¢
Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by September 30?—
No$653 @ 94.4¢
Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics
No$608 @ 96.5¢
Will United Russia (ER) win 60% or more of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?—
No$528 @ 94.0¢
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 7, 2026?—
No$517 @ 95.7¢
Will Gareth Southgate be the next head coach of the England national team?—
No$334 @ 85.8¢
Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?—
No$270 @ 90.0¢
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Politics
No$195 @ 78.0¢
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 12, 2026?—
No$179 @ 53.1¢
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 12, 2026?—
Yes$132 @ 79.2¢
Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Politics
No$125 @ 41.6¢
Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Politics
Yes$107 @ 35.0¢