0x24c5…923d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x24c58fe04a5e039d2d4175fe59d41631a709923d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.3pp

ROI

+25%

Win rate

43% @ 35.9¢

Brier

0.190

Resolved

1185

Avg size

$82

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	38% (116/303)	+23%	303
Sports	33% (3/9)	+124%	9
Politics	17% (1/6)	-90%	6
Economy	33% (1/3)	+25%	3
Tech	50% (1/2)	+19%	2

Other303 bets
Hit rate
38% (116/303)
ROI
+23%
Sports9 bets
Hit rate
33% (3/9)
ROI
+124%
Politics6 bets
Hit rate
17% (1/6)
ROI
-90%
Economy3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+25%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+19%

Track record

38% hit · 122/323

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Ethereum above $3,400 on February 7?	Yes	$234	7.3¢	Lost
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30?	No	$284	22.1¢	Lost
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30?	Yes	$160	41.2¢	Won
Will Panathinaikos Athens win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	$52	26.0¢	Lost
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30?	No	$150	35.5¢	Lost
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30?	Yes	$199	75.8¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88000 and $86000 on April 4?	Yes	$20	15.0¢	Lost
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?	Yes	$47	11.9¢	Lost
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?	Yes	$109	43.0¢	Lost
ETH above $4,000 next Friday?	Yes	$200	63.9¢	Lost
US government shutdown by October 1?	No	$60	38.2¢	Lost
Bitcoin all time high by next Friday?	Yes	$600	77.4¢	Won
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $1800 on Apr 25?	Yes	$71	25.0¢	Won
Will Barcelona vs PSG be a draw?	Yes	$9	27.0¢	Lost
Will April 2024 show an increase between 1.14°C-1.19°C?	Yes	$128	4.3¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?	Yes	$40	74.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$591	11.2¢	Lost
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17?	Yes	$365	23.3¢	Lost
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?	Yes	$20	47.0¢	Lost
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record?	Yes	$2.4k	79.1¢	Won
Will X unban Alex Jones in 2023?	Yes	$1.0k	44.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98000 and $100000 on May 16?	Yes	$15	8.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in October?	Yes	$134	63.8¢	Won
Will Elon say "Mars" during Baier interview on Thursday?	No	$20	75.0¢	Won
2024 August hottest on record?	No	$317	1.5¢	Lost
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?	Yes	$348	6.2¢	Lost
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?	Yes	$248	3.4¢	Lost
Will SpaceX's Starship lift 500m from pad by Nov 19?	Yes	$174	79.0¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	$8	31.5¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $4500 in September?	Yes	$200	84.0¢	Won
Argentina wins Copa America 2024?	Yes	$384	61.5¢	Won
Will Apple remain largest company through Sep 30?	No	$2.1k	43.5¢	Won
Will Apple remain largest company through Sep 30?	Yes	$1.7k	88.9¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin hit $100k again by January 15?	Yes	$227	77.2¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$20	14.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?	Yes	$3.1k	73.5¢	Lost
Ethereum all time high by October 31?	Yes	$212	55.1¢	Lost
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?	Yes	$80	37.2¢	Won
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?	No	$80	40.1¢	Won
Will Denmark win?	Yes	$11	44.0¢	Lost
2024 July hottest on record?	Yes	$37	44.0¢	Won
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?	No	$33	9.0¢	Lost
Will the Netherlands win?	Yes	$3	55.0¢	Lost
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 8 days?	Yes	$251	88.6¢	Lost
Will Portugal win the 2024 Euros?	Yes	$81	13.0¢	Lost
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?	Yes	$151	17.3¢	Lost
Will Man City win the 2023-24 Champions League?	Yes	$344	43.3¢	Lost
Ethereum above $2,400 on September 20?	Yes	$1.1k	45.3¢	Won
Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?	Yes	$60	40.0¢	Won
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	$741	50.8¢	Won

Ethereum above $3,400 on February 7?Lost
Yes$234 @ 7.3¢
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30?Lost
No$284 @ 22.1¢
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30?Won
Yes$160 @ 41.2¢
Will Panathinaikos Athens win on 2026-10-11?Lost
Yes$52 @ 26.0¢
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30?Lost
No$150 @ 35.5¢
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30?Won
Yes$199 @ 75.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88000 and $86000 on April 4?Lost
Yes$20 @ 15.0¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Lost
Yes$47 @ 11.9¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Lost
Yes$109 @ 43.0¢
ETH above $4,000 next Friday?Lost
Yes$200 @ 63.9¢
US government shutdown by October 1?Lost
No$60 @ 38.2¢
Bitcoin all time high by next Friday?Won
Yes$600 @ 77.4¢
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $1800 on Apr 25?Won
Yes$71 @ 25.0¢
Will Barcelona vs PSG be a draw?Lost
Yes$9 @ 27.0¢
Will April 2024 show an increase between 1.14°C-1.19°C?Lost
Yes$128 @ 4.3¢
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?Lost
Yes$40 @ 74.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$591 @ 11.2¢
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17?Lost
Yes$365 @ 23.3¢
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?Lost
Yes$20 @ 47.0¢
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record?Won
Yes$2.4k @ 79.1¢
Will X unban Alex Jones in 2023?Won
Yes$1.0k @ 44.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98000 and $100000 on May 16?Lost
Yes$15 @ 8.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in October?Won
Yes$134 @ 63.8¢
Will Elon say "Mars" during Baier interview on Thursday?Won
No$20 @ 75.0¢
2024 August hottest on record?Lost
No$317 @ 1.5¢
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Lost
Yes$348 @ 6.2¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?Lost
Yes$248 @ 3.4¢
Will SpaceX's Starship lift 500m from pad by Nov 19?Won
Yes$174 @ 79.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Lost
Yes$8 @ 31.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $4500 in September?Won
Yes$200 @ 84.0¢
Argentina wins Copa America 2024?Won
Yes$384 @ 61.5¢
Will Apple remain largest company through Sep 30?Won
No$2.1k @ 43.5¢
Will Apple remain largest company through Sep 30?Lost
Yes$1.7k @ 88.9¢
Will Bitcoin hit $100k again by January 15?Won
Yes$227 @ 77.2¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$20 @ 14.0¢
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?Lost
Yes$3.1k @ 73.5¢
Ethereum all time high by October 31?Lost
Yes$212 @ 55.1¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?Won
Yes$80 @ 37.2¢
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Won
No$80 @ 40.1¢
Will Denmark win?Lost
Yes$11 @ 44.0¢
2024 July hottest on record?Won
Yes$37 @ 44.0¢
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?Lost
No$33 @ 9.0¢
Will the Netherlands win?Lost
Yes$3 @ 55.0¢
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 8 days?Lost
Yes$251 @ 88.6¢
Will Portugal win the 2024 Euros?Lost
Yes$81 @ 13.0¢
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?Lost
Yes$151 @ 17.3¢
Will Man City win the 2023-24 Champions League?Lost
Yes$344 @ 43.3¢
Ethereum above $2,400 on September 20?Won
Yes$1.1k @ 45.3¢
Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?Won
Yes$60 @ 40.0¢
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record?Won
Yes$741 @ 50.8¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$227	9.2¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Economy	Yes	$186	29.0¢
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Tech	Yes	$80	21.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$64	10.0¢

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$227 @ 9.2¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Economy
Yes$186 @ 29.0¢
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Tech
Yes$80 @ 21.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$64 @ 10.0¢