0x241f…ef50

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x241f846866c2de4fb67cdb0ca6b963d85e56ef50
Creator: WhaleGraph

Sharp

Edge

+0.7pp

ROI

+709%

Win rate

1% @ 0.1¢

Brier

0.008

Resolved

1450

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Science	0% (0/342)	-100%	342
Crypto	4% (9/247)	+3681%	247
Politics	0% (0/207)	-100%	207
Sports	0% (0/144)	-100%	144
Other	0% (0/142)	-100%	142
Tech	0% (0/48)	-100%	48
Culture	0% (0/27)	-100%	27
Economy	0% (0/26)	-100%	26
Business	13% (1/8)	+10809%	8
Geopolitics	0% (0/5)	-100%	5

Science342 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/342)
ROI
-100%
Crypto247 bets
Hit rate
4% (9/247)
ROI
+3681%
Politics207 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/207)
ROI
-100%
Sports144 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/144)
ROI
-100%
Other142 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/142)
ROI
-100%
Tech48 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/48)
ROI
-100%
Culture27 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/27)
ROI
-100%
Economy26 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/26)
ROI
-100%
Business8 bets
Hit rate
13% (1/8)
ROI
+10809%
Geopolitics5 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/5)
ROI
-100%

Track record

1% hit · 10/1196

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 6?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on June 6?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 5?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on June 5?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Altimont Wilks be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will "Natasha Chivers" win Best Lighting Design of a Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 6?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Victor Aguilar Jr. advance from the CA-14 primary election?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in May?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on June 5?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 6?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,300 on June 10?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Tony Thurmond finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Los Angeles County?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on June 10?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Randy Zurcher be the Democratic Nominee for GA-01?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will any player score 60+ points in any game during the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will "Maid of Honor - Drake" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of June 13?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 9?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 21 be between 80 and 85?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on June 6?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on June 8?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C or higher on June 6?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Matt Kuchar finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Mike Smith be the Republican nominee for NV-02?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will FlyQuest win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on June 11?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 6?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on June 9?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Francis Hoffman advance from the CA-40 primary election?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on June 6?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C or below on June 6?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Ethan Agarwal advance from the CA-17 primary?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will "Mortal Kombat II" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 3 Curaçao?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 10?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Solana be above $30 on June 8?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 6?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 on June 5?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Mitchell Robinson record the highest scoring game of the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Partido Popular (PP) win 56-58 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on June 5?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will GAM Esports win LCP 2026 Split 2?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 6?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $780b and $800b on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 5?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Harrison Barnes lead the 2026 NBA Finals in total points?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on June 8?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 6?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on June 6?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 5?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on June 5?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Altimont Wilks be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will "Natasha Chivers" win Best Lighting Design of a Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 6?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Victor Aguilar Jr. advance from the CA-14 primary election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in May?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on June 5?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 6?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,300 on June 10?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of June 1 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Tony Thurmond finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Los Angeles County?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on June 10?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Randy Zurcher be the Democratic Nominee for GA-01?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will any player score 60+ points in any game during the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will "Maid of Honor - Drake" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of June 13?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 9?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 21 be between 80 and 85?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on June 6?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on June 8?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C or higher on June 6?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Matt Kuchar finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Mike Smith be the Republican nominee for NV-02?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will FlyQuest win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on June 11?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 6?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on June 9?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Francis Hoffman advance from the CA-40 primary election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on June 6?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C or below on June 6?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Ethan Agarwal advance from the CA-17 primary?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will "Mortal Kombat II" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 3 Curaçao?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 10?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Solana be above $30 on June 8?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 6?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 on June 5?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Mitchell Robinson record the highest scoring game of the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Partido Popular (PP) win 56-58 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on June 5?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will GAM Esports win LCP 2026 Split 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 6?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $780b and $800b on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 5?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Harrison Barnes lead the 2026 NBA Finals in total points?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on June 8?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	No	$5.0k	50.0¢
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$5.0k	50.0¢
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	No	$2.0k	50.0¢
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$2.0k	50.0¢
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$1	3.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	Culture	No	$0	0.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?	Culture	Yes	$0	0.1¢
Will Legacy win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Sports	Yes	$0	0.1¢
Will Chad Bianco win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election?	Politics	Yes	$0	0.1¢
Will some other outcome be the exact series result of the 2026 Stanley Cup?	Sports	Yes	$0	0.1¢
Will Nithya Raman win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?	Politics	Yes	$0	0.1¢
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?	Culture	Yes	$0	0.1¢
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by less than 3%?	Politics	Yes	$0	0.1¢
Will Paloma Valencia win between 25% and 30% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?	Politics	Yes	$0	0.1¢
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win between 35% and 40% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?	Politics	Yes	$0	0.1¢
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?	Sports	Yes	$0	0.1¢
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Crypto	Up	$0	0.1¢
World Cup: Winless Team?	Sports	No	$0	0.1¢
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Los Angeles County?	Politics	Yes	$0	0.1¢
Valorant: TEC Esports vs All Gamers - Map 1 Winner	Sports	TEC Esports	$0	0.1¢
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Diego County?	Politics	Yes	$0	0.1¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 14, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$0	0.1¢
Will Baidu have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?	Tech	Yes	$0	0.1¢
ITF Men Doboj: Completed Match: Gilberto Ravasio vs John Hallquist Lithen	Sports	No	$0	0.1¢
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 3 Curaçao?	Sports	Yes	$0	0.1¢
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?	Politics	Yes	$0	0.1¢
Will Iván Cepeda win between 50% and 55% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?	Politics	Yes	$0	0.1¢
Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Politics	Yes	$0	0.1¢
Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2?	Sports	Over	$0	0.1¢
Will Paloma Valencia win more than 35% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?	Politics	Yes	$0	0.1¢

Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
No$5.0k @ 50.0¢
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$5.0k @ 50.0¢
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
No$2.0k @ 50.0¢
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$2.0k @ 50.0¢
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$1 @ 3.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?Culture
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?Culture
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Legacy win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Sports
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Chad Bianco win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election?Politics
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will some other outcome be the exact series result of the 2026 Stanley Cup?Sports
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Nithya Raman win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?Politics
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?Culture
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by less than 3%?Politics
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Paloma Valencia win between 25% and 30% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?Politics
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win between 35% and 40% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?Politics
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?Sports
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETCrypto
Up$0 @ 0.1¢
World Cup: Winless Team?Sports
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Los Angeles County?Politics
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Valorant: TEC Esports vs All Gamers - Map 1 WinnerSports
TEC Esports$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Diego County?Politics
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 14, 2026?Tech
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Baidu have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
ITF Men Doboj: Completed Match: Gilberto Ravasio vs John Hallquist LithenSports
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 3 Curaçao?Sports
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?Politics
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Iván Cepeda win between 50% and 55% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?Politics
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Politics
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2?Sports
Over$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Paloma Valencia win more than 35% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?Politics
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢