0x23d1…743a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x23d1ef7c9e8e774db4e2b40b3021c9cd340e743a
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+27.1pp

ROI

+28%

Win rate

94% @ 67.1¢

Brier

0.141

Resolved

Avg size

$92

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Tech	75% (3/4)	+70%	4
Other	100% (2/2)	+18%	2

Tech4 bets
Hit rate
75% (3/4)
ROI
+70%
Other2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+18%

Track record

83% hit · 5/6

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?	Yes	$74	52.7¢	Lost
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?	Yes	$377	80.7¢	Won
Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026?	Yes	$15	74.0¢	Won
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$492	43.1¢	Won
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?	Yes	$459	72.1¢	Won
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	$3.4k	86.4¢	Won

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?Lost
Yes$74 @ 52.7¢
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?Won
Yes$377 @ 80.7¢
Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026?Won
Yes$15 @ 74.0¢
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$492 @ 43.1¢
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Won
Yes$459 @ 72.1¢
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?Won
Yes$3.4k @ 86.4¢

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