0x23c4…9c42

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x23c46463c281deb26a041fdcc24ae9c5d7629c42
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+14.8pp

ROI

+16%

Win rate

66% @ 51.2¢

Brier

0.179

Resolved

Avg size

$62

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	50% (8/16)	+17%	16
Politics	40% (2/5)	+2%	5

Other16 bets
Hit rate
50% (8/16)
ROI
+17%
Politics5 bets
Hit rate
40% (2/5)
ROI
+2%

Track record

48% hit · 10/21

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Trump say "UFC" or "Fight" during meeting with French President?	Yes	$156	77.5¢	Won
Will Trump say "Forever" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?	Yes	$198	65.0¢	Lost
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	$28	3.5¢	Lost
Will "Fuck" or "Fucking" be said 10+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 27?	Yes	$4	83.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 21, 2026?	Yes	$65	64.0¢	Won
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?	No	$349	32.1¢	Won
Will LGD Gaming Win the Shortest Game at EWC 2026?	Yes	$271	89.8¢	Won
Will Trump say "Ukraine" during his announcement on healthcare?	Yes	$180	89.5¢	Lost
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	$10	0.9¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Alaska" this week?	No	$5	50.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Alaska" this week?	Yes	$66	66.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 28, 2026?	No	$2	20.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?	No	$7	69.0¢	Lost
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?	Yes	$250	25.2¢	Lost
Will the announcers say "Stoppage Time" 4+ times during the South Africa vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?	Yes	$80	67.2¢	Won
Coastal Carolina vs. Delaware	Delaware	$178	69.3¢	Won
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	$41	2.5¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?	Yes	$1.4k	84.3¢	Won
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?	Yes	$17	13.2¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Midterm" this week?	No	$1	0.7¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Star" this week?	No	$21	82.0¢	Won

Will Trump say "UFC" or "Fight" during meeting with French President?Won
Yes$156 @ 77.5¢
Will Trump say "Forever" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Lost
Yes$198 @ 65.0¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Lost
Yes$28 @ 3.5¢
Will "Fuck" or "Fucking" be said 10+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 27?Won
Yes$4 @ 83.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 21, 2026?Won
Yes$65 @ 64.0¢
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?Won
No$349 @ 32.1¢
Will LGD Gaming Win the Shortest Game at EWC 2026?Won
Yes$271 @ 89.8¢
Will Trump say "Ukraine" during his announcement on healthcare?Lost
Yes$180 @ 89.5¢
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.9¢
Will Trump say "Alaska" this week?Lost
No$5 @ 50.0¢
Will Trump say "Alaska" this week?Won
Yes$66 @ 66.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 28, 2026?Lost
No$2 @ 20.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$7 @ 69.0¢
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?Lost
Yes$250 @ 25.2¢
Will the announcers say "Stoppage Time" 4+ times during the South Africa vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?Won
Yes$80 @ 67.2¢
Coastal Carolina vs. DelawareWon
Delaware$178 @ 69.3¢
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Lost
Yes$41 @ 2.5¢
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?Won
Yes$1.4k @ 84.3¢
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?Lost
Yes$17 @ 13.2¢
Will Trump say "Midterm" this week?Lost
No$1 @ 0.7¢
Will Trump say "Star" this week?Won
No$21 @ 82.0¢

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