0x23b4…8e7a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x23b4fbcc9edc3fd7a25d4ce3e41d2a5ce1028e7a
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+17.8pp

ROI

+21%

Win rate

98% @ 79.9¢

Brier

0.046

Resolved

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	92% (23/25)	+4%	25
Politics	100% (20/20)	+3%	20
Crypto	100% (6/6)	+0%	6
Sports	100% (3/3)	+1%	3
Geopolitics	100% (2/2)	+14%	2

Other25 bets
Hit rate
92% (23/25)
ROI
+4%
Politics20 bets
Hit rate
100% (20/20)
ROI
+3%
Crypto6 bets
Hit rate
100% (6/6)
ROI
+0%
Sports3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+1%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+14%

Track record

96% hit · 54/56

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$20	99.5¢	Won
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$20	99.1¢	Won
Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?	Yes	$20	98.7¢	Won
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	$20	99.4¢	Won
Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?	No	$20	98.8¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?	No	$35	99.9¢	Won
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	$1	97.2¢	Won
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	$20	98.6¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?	No	$34	98.4¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	No	$18	99.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	No	$40	99.0¢	Won
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?	No	$20	99.9¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?	No	$20	98.9¢	Won
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	No	$1	51.2¢	Won
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	$40	98.4¢	Won
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$21	99.7¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	$40	97.5¢	Won
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	$33	98.3¢	Won
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	$1	55.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July?	No	$5	99.6¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?	No	$32	98.3¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?	No	$7	99.4¢	Won
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?	No	$20	99.5¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?	No	$22	94.7¢	Won
Will Cristiano Ronaldo record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$20	99.9¢	Won
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?	No	$20	98.7¢	Won
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?	No	$1	99.3¢	Won
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	No	$36	99.6¢	Won
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	$50	99.5¢	Won
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?	No	$20	98.3¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$50	94.0¢	Won
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	$20	99.6¢	Won
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	$20	96.7¢	Won
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?	No	$43	97.4¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	No	$20	96.5¢	Won
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo	Messi	$20	98.9¢	Won
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	No	$1	97.9¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?	No	$16	99.8¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in June?	No	$20	99.9¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?	No	$20	99.9¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in June?	No	$20	99.8¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in June?	No	$13	99.9¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?	No	$20	99.5¢	Won
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	No	$40	98.0¢	Won
Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?	No	$2	98.3¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	$20	84.5¢	Won
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	$50	97.4¢	Won
Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	$9	72.7¢	Won
Canadiens vs. Sabres	Sabres	$1	51.0¢	Lost

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Won
No$20 @ 99.5¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Won
No$20 @ 99.1¢
Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?Won
Yes$20 @ 98.7¢
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Won
No$20 @ 99.4¢
Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?Won
No$20 @ 98.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?Won
No$35 @ 99.9¢
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Won
Yes$1 @ 97.2¢
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Won
No$20 @ 98.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?Won
No$34 @ 98.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?Won
No$18 @ 99.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Won
No$40 @ 99.0¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?Won
No$20 @ 99.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?Won
No$20 @ 98.9¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Won
No$1 @ 51.2¢
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Won
No$40 @ 98.4¢
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$21 @ 99.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Won
No$40 @ 97.5¢
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Won
Yes$33 @ 98.3¢
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?Lost
Yes$1 @ 55.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July?Won
No$5 @ 99.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?Won
No$32 @ 98.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?Won
No$7 @ 99.4¢
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?Won
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?Won
No$20 @ 99.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?Won
No$22 @ 94.7¢
Will Cristiano Ronaldo record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$20 @ 99.9¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Won
No$20 @ 98.7¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Won
No$1 @ 99.3¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Won
No$36 @ 99.6¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Won
No$50 @ 99.5¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Won
No$20 @ 98.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
No$50 @ 94.0¢
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Won
Yes$20 @ 99.6¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Won
No$20 @ 96.7¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? Won
No$43 @ 97.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Won
No$20 @ 96.5¢
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. RonaldoWon
Messi$20 @ 98.9¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Won
No$1 @ 97.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?Won
No$16 @ 99.8¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in June?Won
No$20 @ 99.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?Won
No$20 @ 99.9¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in June?Won
No$20 @ 99.8¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in June?Won
No$13 @ 99.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?Won
No$20 @ 99.5¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Won
No$40 @ 98.0¢
Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?Won
No$2 @ 98.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Won
No$20 @ 84.5¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Won
No$50 @ 97.4¢
Canadiens vs. SabresWon
Canadiens$9 @ 72.7¢
Canadiens vs. SabresLost
Sabres$1 @ 51.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	—	No	$50	97.2¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	—	No	$50	99.3¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?	—	No	$50	99.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	—	No	$50	99.4¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Politics	No	$48	87.1¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in September?	—	No	$21	99.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?	—	No	$20	98.2¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in September?	—	No	$20	99.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September?	—	No	$13	99.0¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Politics	No	$10	99.3¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?	—	No	$2	99.3¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September?	—	No	$1	34.0¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?—
No$50 @ 97.2¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?—
No$50 @ 99.3¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?—
No$50 @ 99.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?—
No$50 @ 99.4¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics
No$48 @ 87.1¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in September?—
No$21 @ 99.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?—
No$20 @ 98.2¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in September?—
No$20 @ 99.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September?—
No$13 @ 99.0¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics
No$10 @ 99.3¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?—
No$2 @ 99.3¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September?—
No$1 @ 34.0¢