0x23b4…8e7a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x23b4fbcc9edc3fd7a25d4ce3e41d2a5ce1028e7a
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+17.8pp

ROI

+21%

Win rate

98% @ 79.9¢

Brier

0.046

Resolved

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	75% (3/4)	+21%	4
Politics	100% (2/2)	+14%	2
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+21%	1

Other4 bets
Hit rate
75% (3/4)
ROI
+21%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+14%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+21%

Track record

86% hit · 6/7

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	$9	72.7¢	Won
Canadiens vs. Sabres	Sabres	$1	51.0¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$50	82.6¢	Won
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	$9	89.2¢	Won
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	$11	79.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	$1	74.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	$48	84.0¢	Won

Canadiens vs. SabresWon
Canadiens$9 @ 72.7¢
Canadiens vs. SabresLost
Sabres$1 @ 51.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
No$50 @ 82.6¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Won
No$9 @ 89.2¢
Canadiens vs. HurricanesWon
Hurricanes$11 @ 79.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Won
No$1 @ 74.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Won
No$48 @ 84.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Politics	No	$50	97.9¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Politics	No	$50	97.4¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Politics	No	$50	99.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Geopolitics	No	$50	94.0¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?	Politics	No	$50	97.4¢
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Politics	Yes	$20	99.6¢

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Politics
No$50 @ 97.9¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Politics
No$50 @ 97.4¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Politics
No$50 @ 99.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolitics
No$50 @ 94.0¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?Politics
No$50 @ 97.4¢
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Politics
Yes$20 @ 99.6¢