0x23b4…8e7a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x23b4fbcc9edc3fd7a25d4ce3e41d2a5ce1028e7a
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+17.8pp

ROI

+21%

Win rate

98% @ 79.9¢

Brier

0.046

Resolved

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	80% (4/5)	+14%	5
Politics	100% (2/2)	+14%	2
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+21%	1

Other5 bets
Hit rate
80% (4/5)
ROI
+14%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+14%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+21%

Track record

88% hit · 7/8

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	$9	72.7¢	Won
Canadiens vs. Sabres	Sabres	$1	51.0¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$50	82.6¢	Won
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	$9	89.2¢	Won
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	$11	79.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	$1	74.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	$48	84.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?	No	$40	97.9¢	Won

Canadiens vs. SabresWon
Canadiens$9 @ 72.7¢
Canadiens vs. SabresLost
Sabres$1 @ 51.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
No$50 @ 82.6¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Won
No$9 @ 89.2¢
Canadiens vs. HurricanesWon
Hurricanes$11 @ 79.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Won
No$1 @ 74.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Won
No$48 @ 84.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Won
No$40 @ 97.9¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Politics	Yes	$54	97.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	—	No	$50	99.0¢
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	—	No	$50	98.5¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?	—	No	$50	98.3¢
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Politics	No	$50	98.5¢
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	—	Yes	$50	98.3¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?	—	No	$35	99.3¢

Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Politics
Yes$54 @ 97.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?—
No$50 @ 99.0¢
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?—
No$50 @ 98.5¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?—
No$50 @ 98.3¢
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Politics
No$50 @ 98.5¢
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?—
Yes$50 @ 98.3¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?—
No$35 @ 99.3¢