0x23b4…8e7a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x23b4fbcc9edc3fd7a25d4ce3e41d2a5ce1028e7a
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+23.0pp

ROI

+24%

Win rate

94% @ 70.9¢

Brier

0.127

Resolved

229

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	100% (40/40)	+4%	40
Other	83% (29/35)	+13%	35
Crypto	96% (24/25)	+2%	25
Geopolitics	100% (8/8)	+7%	8
Sports	100% (3/3)	+1%	3

Politics40 bets
Hit rate
100% (40/40)
ROI
+4%
Other35 bets
Hit rate
83% (29/35)
ROI
+13%
Crypto25 bets
Hit rate
96% (24/25)
ROI
+2%
Geopolitics8 bets
Hit rate
100% (8/8)
ROI
+7%
Sports3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+1%

Track record

94% hit · 104/111

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?	No	$2	86.0¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?	Yes	$50	85.0¢	Won
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	No	$49	93.5¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	$5	93.0¢	Won
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	No	$26	94.5¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Yes	$36	93.7¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?	Yes	$54	95.3¢	Won
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?	No	$22	95.9¢	Won
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	No	$50	96.0¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$43	96.0¢	Won
Senate control favorite on November 2?	Democratic Party	$20	97.6¢	Won
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?	No	$20	99.5¢	Won
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	$47	99.3¢	Won
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	No	$34	97.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	No	$20	98.9¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	No	$20	97.8¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	$2	48.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?	No	$21	97.7¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	$40	98.4¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	No	$20	95.9¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	No	$40	96.7¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	$2	54.0¢	Lost
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	$30	56.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?	No	$49	75.7¢	Won
Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	$9	72.7¢	Won
Canadiens vs. Sabres	Sabres	$1	51.0¢	Lost
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	$8	76.8¢	Lost
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Golden Knights	$3	36.7¢	Won
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$1	18.7¢	Lost
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	$22	82.9¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$50	82.6¢	Won
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	$9	89.2¢	Won
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	$11	79.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?	No	$49	49.2¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?	No	$18	77.8¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	$1	74.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?	No	$49	89.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	$22	89.9¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?	No	$32	54.7¢	Won
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	$2	59.0¢	Lost
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Golden Knights	$11	80.7¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	$48	84.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	$38	97.3¢	Won
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$61	99.8¢	Won
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	$10	99.9¢	Won
Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	$70	98.9¢	Won
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	No	$20	99.3¢	Won
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?	No	$20	99.7¢	Won
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	$20	99.3¢	Won
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?	No	$40	99.5¢	Won

Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Won
No$2 @ 86.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Won
Yes$50 @ 85.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Won
No$49 @ 93.5¢
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Won
Yes$5 @ 93.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Won
No$26 @ 94.5¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Won
Yes$36 @ 93.7¢
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Won
Yes$54 @ 95.3¢
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?Won
No$22 @ 95.9¢
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Won
No$50 @ 96.0¢
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Won
Yes$43 @ 96.0¢
Senate control favorite on November 2?Won
Democratic Party$20 @ 97.6¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?Won
No$20 @ 99.5¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?Won
No$47 @ 99.3¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Won
No$34 @ 97.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?Won
No$20 @ 98.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?Won
No$20 @ 97.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?Won
No$2 @ 48.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?Won
No$21 @ 97.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?Won
No$40 @ 98.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?Won
No$20 @ 95.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?Won
No$40 @ 96.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?Lost
No$2 @ 54.0¢
Knicks vs. CavaliersLost
Cavaliers$30 @ 56.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?Won
No$49 @ 75.7¢
Canadiens vs. SabresWon
Canadiens$9 @ 72.7¢
Canadiens vs. SabresLost
Sabres$1 @ 51.0¢
Golden Knights vs. AvalancheLost
Avalanche$8 @ 76.8¢
Golden Knights vs. AvalancheWon
Golden Knights$3 @ 36.7¢
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$1 @ 18.7¢
Canadiens vs. HurricanesWon
Canadiens$22 @ 82.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
No$50 @ 82.6¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Won
No$9 @ 89.2¢
Canadiens vs. HurricanesWon
Hurricanes$11 @ 79.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?Won
No$49 @ 49.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?Won
No$18 @ 77.8¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Won
No$1 @ 74.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?Won
No$49 @ 89.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Won
Yes$22 @ 89.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Won
No$32 @ 54.7¢
Golden Knights vs. AvalancheLost
Avalanche$2 @ 59.0¢
Golden Knights vs. AvalancheWon
Golden Knights$11 @ 80.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Won
No$48 @ 84.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Won
No$38 @ 97.3¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
No$61 @ 99.8¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Won
Yes$10 @ 99.9¢
Iran leadership change by September 30?Won
No$70 @ 98.9¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Won
No$20 @ 99.3¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?Won
No$20 @ 99.7¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Won
No$20 @ 99.3¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?Won
No$40 @ 99.5¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$61	85.3¢
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$54	95.3¢
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$50	94.0¢
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$50	96.1¢
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$50	96.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$50	93.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$50	85.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$49	93.5¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$49	94.1¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Politics	No	$48	87.1¢
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$43	96.0¢
Senate control favorite on November 2?	Politics	Democratic Party	$40	98.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Politics	No	$14	98.2¢

Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Politics
No$61 @ 85.3¢
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$54 @ 95.3¢
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Politics
No$50 @ 94.0¢
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?Politics
No$50 @ 96.1¢
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$50 @ 96.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$50 @ 93.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$50 @ 85.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Politics
No$49 @ 93.5¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$49 @ 94.1¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics
No$48 @ 87.1¢
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$43 @ 96.0¢
Senate control favorite on November 2?Politics
Democratic Party$40 @ 98.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics
No$14 @ 98.2¢