0x2382…4628

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x2382bc1a87a891090a5a4f43ba30e013ceb04628
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+1.8pp

ROI

+11%

Win rate

40% @ 37.7¢

Brier

0.200

Resolved

4524

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	42% (960/2260)	+11%	2260
Politics	45% (23/51)	-11%	51
Tech	39% (7/18)	-19%	18
Sports	63% (5/8)	+48%	8
Culture	50% (2/4)	-15%	4

Other2260 bets
Hit rate
42% (960/2260)
ROI
+11%
Politics51 bets
Hit rate
45% (23/51)
ROI
-11%
Tech18 bets
Hit rate
39% (7/18)
ROI
-19%
Sports8 bets
Hit rate
63% (5/8)
ROI
+48%
Culture4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
-15%

Track record

43% hit · 997/2341

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will JD Vance say "Economy" or "Economic" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	$6	45.0¢	Lost
Will Delta Air Lines say "Trump" during earnings call?	Yes	$6	16.0¢	Lost
Will Delta Air Lines say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during earnings call?	Yes	$6	50.0¢	Won
Will Delta Air Lines say "Lounge" during earnings call?	Yes	$6	52.0¢	Won
Will Delta Air Lines say "Amazon" during earnings call?	No	$6	57.0¢	Lost
Will Delta Air Lines say "Headwind" during earnings call?	No	$6	22.0¢	Lost
Will Delta Air Lines say "Fuel" 15+ times during earnings call?	No	$6	36.0¢	Lost
Will Delta Air Lines say "Cargo" during earnings call?	Yes	$6	52.0¢	Won
Will Delta Air Lines say "Demand" 5+ times during earnings call?	Yes	$6	52.0¢	Won
Will Delta Air Lines say "Loyal" or "Loyalty" 3+ times during earnings call?	Yes	$6	52.0¢	Won
Will Delta Air Lines say "Domestic" during earnings call?	Yes	$6	52.0¢	Won
Will Delta Air Lines say "Amex" or "American Express" during earnings call?	Yes	$6	52.0¢	Won
Will Delta Air Lines say "International" during earnings call?	Yes	$6	52.0¢	Won
Will Delta Air Lines say "Corporate" during earnings call?	Yes	$6	52.0¢	Won
Will Delta Air Lines say "Premium" during earnings call?	Yes	$6	52.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Rigged Election" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	No	$6	80.0¢	Won
Will PepsiCo say "PBNA" during earnings call?	Yes	$6	63.0¢	Lost
Will PepsiCo say "Shipping" during earnings call?	No	$6	69.0¢	Won
Will PepsiCo say "Shipping" during earnings call?	Yes	$6	11.2¢	Lost
Will PepsiCo say "Fiscal" 5+ times during earnings call?	Yes	$6	7.0¢	Lost
Will PepsiCo say "GLP" or "GLP-1" during earnings call?	Yes	$6	50.0¢	Lost
Will PepsiCo say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during earnings call?	Yes	$6	50.0¢	Won
Will PepsiCo say "Organic" 5+ times during earnings call?	Yes	$6	51.0¢	Won
Will PepsiCo say "Inflation" during earnings call?	No	$6	26.0¢	Lost
Will PepsiCo say "Permissible" during earnings call?	Yes	$6	50.0¢	Won
Will PepsiCo say "Commercial" during earnings call?	No	$6	28.0¢	Lost
Will PepsiCo say "Tariff" during earnings call?	No	$3	32.0¢	Lost
Will PepsiCo say "Affordability" during earnings call?	Yes	$6	51.0¢	Won
Will PepsiCo say "Margin" during earnings call?	Yes	$6	78.0¢	Won
Will PepsiCo say "Snack" during earnings call?	Yes	$6	75.0¢	Won
Will PepsiCo say "Revenue" 5+ times during earnings call?	No	$6	50.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Fascism" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	No	$6	68.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Million", "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	Yes	$6	76.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	Yes	$6	41.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Mental Institution" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	No	$6	22.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 2+ times during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	Yes	$6	69.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Beat Meat" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	No	$6	61.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Alamo" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	No	$6	49.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Gulf of America" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	No	$5	53.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Toyota" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	No	$5	25.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Cartel" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	No	$6	64.0¢	Lost
Will Levi Strauss & Co. say "Discount" during earnings call?	Yes	$6	9.4¢	Lost
Will Levi Strauss & Co. say "World Cup" during earnings call?	No	$6	49.0¢	Won
Will Levi Strauss & Co. say "Income" 10+ times during earnings call?	Yes	$11	5.6¢	Lost
Will Levi Strauss & Co. say "Loose Prep" during earnings call?	No	$6	57.0¢	Won
Will Levi Strauss & Co. say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during earnings call?	No	$8	44.8¢	Lost
Will Levi Strauss & Co. say "International" during earnings call?	Yes	$6	50.0¢	Won
Will Levi Strauss & Co. say "Assortment" during earnings call?	Yes	$6	50.0¢	Won
Will Levi Strauss & Co. say "Premium" during earnings call?	No	$11	5.4¢	Lost
Will Levi Strauss & Co. say "Europe" during earnings call?	Yes	$6	51.0¢	Won

Will JD Vance say "Economy" or "Economic" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?Lost
No$6 @ 45.0¢
Will Delta Air Lines say "Trump" during earnings call?Lost
Yes$6 @ 16.0¢
Will Delta Air Lines say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during earnings call?Won
Yes$6 @ 50.0¢
Will Delta Air Lines say "Lounge" during earnings call?Won
Yes$6 @ 52.0¢
Will Delta Air Lines say "Amazon" during earnings call?Lost
No$6 @ 57.0¢
Will Delta Air Lines say "Headwind" during earnings call?Lost
No$6 @ 22.0¢
Will Delta Air Lines say "Fuel" 15+ times during earnings call?Lost
No$6 @ 36.0¢
Will Delta Air Lines say "Cargo" during earnings call?Won
Yes$6 @ 52.0¢
Will Delta Air Lines say "Demand" 5+ times during earnings call?Won
Yes$6 @ 52.0¢
Will Delta Air Lines say "Loyal" or "Loyalty" 3+ times during earnings call?Won
Yes$6 @ 52.0¢
Will Delta Air Lines say "Domestic" during earnings call?Won
Yes$6 @ 52.0¢
Will Delta Air Lines say "Amex" or "American Express" during earnings call?Won
Yes$6 @ 52.0¢
Will Delta Air Lines say "International" during earnings call?Won
Yes$6 @ 52.0¢
Will Delta Air Lines say "Corporate" during earnings call?Won
Yes$6 @ 52.0¢
Will Delta Air Lines say "Premium" during earnings call?Won
Yes$6 @ 52.0¢
Will Trump say "Rigged Election" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?Won
No$6 @ 80.0¢
Will PepsiCo say "PBNA" during earnings call?Lost
Yes$6 @ 63.0¢
Will PepsiCo say "Shipping" during earnings call?Won
No$6 @ 69.0¢
Will PepsiCo say "Shipping" during earnings call?Lost
Yes$6 @ 11.2¢
Will PepsiCo say "Fiscal" 5+ times during earnings call?Lost
Yes$6 @ 7.0¢
Will PepsiCo say "GLP" or "GLP-1" during earnings call?Lost
Yes$6 @ 50.0¢
Will PepsiCo say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during earnings call?Won
Yes$6 @ 50.0¢
Will PepsiCo say "Organic" 5+ times during earnings call?Won
Yes$6 @ 51.0¢
Will PepsiCo say "Inflation" during earnings call?Lost
No$6 @ 26.0¢
Will PepsiCo say "Permissible" during earnings call?Won
Yes$6 @ 50.0¢
Will PepsiCo say "Commercial" during earnings call?Lost
No$6 @ 28.0¢
Will PepsiCo say "Tariff" during earnings call?Lost
No$3 @ 32.0¢
Will PepsiCo say "Affordability" during earnings call?Won
Yes$6 @ 51.0¢
Will PepsiCo say "Margin" during earnings call?Won
Yes$6 @ 78.0¢
Will PepsiCo say "Snack" during earnings call?Won
Yes$6 @ 75.0¢
Will PepsiCo say "Revenue" 5+ times during earnings call?Lost
No$6 @ 50.0¢
Will Trump say "Fascism" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?Lost
No$6 @ 68.0¢
Will Trump say "Million", "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Texas?Won
Yes$6 @ 76.0¢
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in Texas?Lost
Yes$6 @ 41.0¢
Will Trump say "Mental Institution" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?Won
No$6 @ 22.0¢
Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 2+ times during his Midterm Rally in Texas?Lost
Yes$6 @ 69.0¢
Will Trump say "Beat Meat" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?Won
No$6 @ 61.0¢
Will Trump say "Alamo" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?Lost
No$6 @ 49.0¢
Will Trump say "Gulf of America" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?Lost
No$5 @ 53.0¢
Will Trump say "Toyota" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?Lost
No$5 @ 25.0¢
Will Trump say "Cartel" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?Lost
No$6 @ 64.0¢
Will Levi Strauss & Co. say "Discount" during earnings call?Lost
Yes$6 @ 9.4¢
Will Levi Strauss & Co. say "World Cup" during earnings call?Won
No$6 @ 49.0¢
Will Levi Strauss & Co. say "Income" 10+ times during earnings call?Lost
Yes$11 @ 5.6¢
Will Levi Strauss & Co. say "Loose Prep" during earnings call?Won
No$6 @ 57.0¢
Will Levi Strauss & Co. say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during earnings call?Lost
No$8 @ 44.8¢
Will Levi Strauss & Co. say "International" during earnings call?Won
Yes$6 @ 50.0¢
Will Levi Strauss & Co. say "Assortment" during earnings call?Won
Yes$6 @ 50.0¢
Will Levi Strauss & Co. say "Premium" during earnings call?Lost
No$11 @ 5.4¢
Will Levi Strauss & Co. say "Europe" during earnings call?Won
Yes$6 @ 51.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Delta Air Lines say "Demand" 5+ times during earnings call?	Other	Yes	$33	54.4¢
Will Delta Air Lines say "Cargo" during earnings call?	Other	Yes	$33	53.6¢
Will Delta Air Lines say "Lounge" during earnings call?	Other	Yes	$32	52.8¢
Will Domino's say "World Cup" during earnings call?	Other	No	$25	49.2¢
Will Andy Burnham say "Northern Ireland" during the next PMQ?	Politics	No	$6	50.0¢
Will Trump say "AOC" during his Midterm Rally in New York?	Politics	No	$6	65.0¢
Will Trump say "Buffalo" during his Midterm Rally in New York?	Politics	No	$6	63.0¢
Will Trump say "Clay" during his Midterm Rally in New York?	Politics	No	$6	63.0¢
Will Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during his Midterm Rally in New York?	Politics	No	$6	29.4¢
Will Domino's say "Delivery" 5+ times during earnings call?	Other	Yes	$6	85.0¢
Will Domino's say "Hungry" during earnings call?	Other	Yes	$6	80.0¢
Will Domino's say "Crispy" during earnings call?	Other	No	$6	76.0¢
Will Domino's say "DoorDash" during earnings call?	Other	Yes	$6	68.0¢
Will Domino's say "Closure" during earnings call?	Other	Yes	$6	64.0¢
Will Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?	Politics	Yes	$6	52.0¢
Will Andy Burnham say "Defence" during the next PMQ?	Politics	Yes	$6	51.0¢
Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?	Politics	No	$6	51.0¢
Will Andy Burnham say "Immigration" during the next PMQ?	Politics	No	$6	50.0¢
Will Domino's say "Retail" or "Retailer" during earnings call?	Other	Yes	$6	50.0¢
Will JPMorgan say "Real Estate" during earnings call?	Other	Yes	$6	50.0¢
Will Domino's say "Productivity" during earnings call?	Other	Yes	$6	46.0¢
Will Trump say "Pipeline" during his Midterm Rally in New York?	Politics	No	$6	45.0¢
Will JD Vance say "Economy" or "Economic" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Politics	No	$6	45.0¢
Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 2+ times during his Midterm Rally in New York?	Politics	No	$6	36.0¢
Will Andy Burnham say "Budget" during the next PMQ?	Politics	No	$6	26.0¢
Will Domino's say "Flywheel" during earnings call?	Other	Yes	$6	21.0¢
Will Delta Air Lines say "Premium" during earnings call?	Other	Yes	$6	52.0¢
Will Delta Air Lines say "Corporate" during earnings call?	Other	Yes	$6	52.0¢
Will Delta Air Lines say "Amex" or "American Express" during earnings call?	Other	Yes	$6	52.0¢
Will Delta Air Lines say "Loyal" or "Loyalty" 3+ times during earnings call?	Other	Yes	$6	52.0¢

Will Delta Air Lines say "Demand" 5+ times during earnings call?Other
Yes$33 @ 54.4¢
Will Delta Air Lines say "Cargo" during earnings call?Other
Yes$33 @ 53.6¢
Will Delta Air Lines say "Lounge" during earnings call?Other
Yes$32 @ 52.8¢
Will Domino's say "World Cup" during earnings call?Other
No$25 @ 49.2¢
Will Andy Burnham say "Northern Ireland" during the next PMQ?Politics
No$6 @ 50.0¢
Will Trump say "AOC" during his Midterm Rally in New York?Politics
No$6 @ 65.0¢
Will Trump say "Buffalo" during his Midterm Rally in New York?Politics
No$6 @ 63.0¢
Will Trump say "Clay" during his Midterm Rally in New York?Politics
No$6 @ 63.0¢
Will Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during his Midterm Rally in New York?Politics
No$6 @ 29.4¢
Will Domino's say "Delivery" 5+ times during earnings call?Other
Yes$6 @ 85.0¢
Will Domino's say "Hungry" during earnings call?Other
Yes$6 @ 80.0¢
Will Domino's say "Crispy" during earnings call?Other
No$6 @ 76.0¢
Will Domino's say "DoorDash" during earnings call?Other
Yes$6 @ 68.0¢
Will Domino's say "Closure" during earnings call?Other
Yes$6 @ 64.0¢
Will Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?Politics
Yes$6 @ 52.0¢
Will Andy Burnham say "Defence" during the next PMQ?Politics
Yes$6 @ 51.0¢
Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?Politics
No$6 @ 51.0¢
Will Andy Burnham say "Immigration" during the next PMQ?Politics
No$6 @ 50.0¢
Will Domino's say "Retail" or "Retailer" during earnings call?Other
Yes$6 @ 50.0¢
Will JPMorgan say "Real Estate" during earnings call?Other
Yes$6 @ 50.0¢
Will Domino's say "Productivity" during earnings call?Other
Yes$6 @ 46.0¢
Will Trump say "Pipeline" during his Midterm Rally in New York?Politics
No$6 @ 45.0¢
Will JD Vance say "Economy" or "Economic" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?Politics
No$6 @ 45.0¢
Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 2+ times during his Midterm Rally in New York?Politics
No$6 @ 36.0¢
Will Andy Burnham say "Budget" during the next PMQ?Politics
No$6 @ 26.0¢
Will Domino's say "Flywheel" during earnings call?Other
Yes$6 @ 21.0¢
Will Delta Air Lines say "Premium" during earnings call?Other
Yes$6 @ 52.0¢
Will Delta Air Lines say "Corporate" during earnings call?Other
Yes$6 @ 52.0¢
Will Delta Air Lines say "Amex" or "American Express" during earnings call?Other
Yes$6 @ 52.0¢
Will Delta Air Lines say "Loyal" or "Loyalty" 3+ times during earnings call?Other
Yes$6 @ 52.0¢