← Smart money
0x2375…691f
SharpEdge
+6.9pp
ROI
+24%
Win rate
53% @ 45.9¢
Brier
0.159
Resolved
3809
Avg size
$23
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 50% (211/425) | +28% | 425 |
| Politics | 51% (46/90) | +28% | 90 |
| Sports | 44% (15/34) | -15% | 34 |
| Culture | 36% (8/22) | -39% | 22 |
| Geopolitics | 50% (4/8) | +10% | 8 |
- Other425 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (211/425)
- ROI
- +28%
- Politics90 bets
- Hit rate
- 51% (46/90)
- ROI
- +28%
- Sports34 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (15/34)
- ROI
- -15%
- Culture22 bets
- Hit rate
- 36% (8/22)
- ROI
- -39%
- Geopolitics8 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (4/8)
- ROI
- +10%
Track record
49% hit · 284/579- No$284 @ 75.0¢
- No$57 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$29 @ 70.0¢
- Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during his remarks at the Andrew W. Mellon Auditorium?LostNo$10 @ 30.0¢
- No$33 @ 32.6¢
- No$43 @ 19.7¢
- Yes$4 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$31 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$122 @ 39.1¢
- No$4 @ 4.1¢
- Yes$35 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$40 @ 69.0¢
- No$313 @ 19.8¢
- No$16 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 7.0¢
- No$169 @ 64.8¢
- Yes$194 @ 46.1¢
- Yes$17 @ 34.0¢
- No$8 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.6¢
- No$369 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$208 @ 36.9¢
- Yes$84 @ 9.9¢
- No$2 @ 1.0¢
- No$364 @ 77.4¢
- No$1 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$56 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 3.6¢
- No$2 @ 73.0¢
- No$78 @ 78.6¢
- No$14 @ 89.0¢
- No$14 @ 34.0¢
- No$236 @ 64.6¢
- Yes$2.8k @ 31.1¢
- Yes$4 @ 34.0¢
- No$21 @ 58.4¢
- No$1 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$81 @ 79.7¢
- No$15 @ 29.0¢
- No$156 @ 74.8¢
- Yes$262 @ 81.6¢
- Yes$125 @ 38.0¢
- No$160 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 27.3¢
- No$79 @ 58.5¢
- Yes$6 @ 57.5¢
- No$71 @ 5.9¢
- Yes$4.7k @ 70.1¢
- No$2 @ 74.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Aluminum" during his rally in Oklahoma? | Politics | Yes | $80 | 82.0¢ |
| Will Trump say "Made in America" or "American Made" during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company? | Politics | No | $49 | 31.1¢ |
| Will Trump say "ICE" during his rally in Oklahoma? | Politics | No | $24 | 27.4¢ |
| Will Trump say "Manufacture" or "Manufacturing" during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company? | Politics | No | $18 | 12.0¢ |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" during his rally in Oklahoma? | Politics | Yes | $12 | 77.0¢ |
| Will Trump say "Save America Act" during his rally in Oklahoma? | Politics | No | $12 | 11.0¢ |
| Will Trump say "Electric Vehicle" or "EV" during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company? | Politics | Yes | $3 | 63.0¢ |
| Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during his rally in Oklahoma? | Politics | No | $1 | 38.0¢ |
- Yes$80 @ 82.0¢
- Will Trump say "Made in America" or "American Made" during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company?PoliticsNo$49 @ 31.1¢
- No$24 @ 27.4¢
- Will Trump say "Manufacture" or "Manufacturing" during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company?PoliticsNo$18 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 77.0¢
- No$12 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 63.0¢
- No$1 @ 38.0¢